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JPMorgan expects pent-up demand to help lift auto sales 14% Y/Y in December to 15.4M vehicles,...
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Monday, December 31, 2012, 6:57 AM ETJPMorgan expects pent-up demand to help lift auto sales 14% Y/Y in December to 15.4M vehicles, although the firm notes the drama of the fiscal cliff talks in Washington throws a wildcard into the mix. A survey of consumers shows a good portion will rethink their pending automotive purchases due to the uncertainty over tax rates.
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Used car sales skyrocketed during the 2008-2010 time frame, along with the prices, when supplies fell as demand rose.
Yes, The People will buy still vehicles - they may just not buy new ones, preferring instead to take a chance on a cheaper used car that might need a little work.
Some dared to adjust the carburetor and the distributor ignition timing - but those tasks are totally obsolete now.
Very few attempted anything as complex as replacing a timing chain or belt, never mind getting at the valves and piston rings.
But remember - "back then" an engine could barely last a year without undergoing significant mechanical maintenance. Routine oil changes used to be every month or 1000 miles, topping off weekly, and then it came to each season or 2500 miles. Of course the oil companies and mechanics loved and encouraged that practice, and they still do!
Meanwhile, most engines today, except in extremely abusive conditions, can go a year or 15,000 miles or more between oil changes, especially with synthetic lubricants, and spark plugs and other engine components can go 5 or even 10 years. There is virtually nothing left for ordinary folks to "work on", besides perhaps the wiper blades and washer fluid. The engine computer manages and monitors everything happening, thousands of times a second, and reports when something is wrong.
Even the tires and brakes can last for years and years.
The point is, yes it was maybe much easier to "work on" your car back then, when it was important to have that survival skill. Engines were very sensitive and needed regular tweaking and adjustments, and a lot of regular care, or they would disintegrate in a year. Now there is virtually no reason to do so. The engine takes care of itself, with reasonable treatment.