Mentioned during Facebook's (FB) Q4 CC: Total expenses are expected to grow 50% in 2013 (likely...

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benitus Comments (785)
 
Short sellers tend to make negative talk about anything to bring down the price. Even if the above comes to pass, 50% increase in expenses isn't the same as 50% of revenue growth because FB's profit margins are very high, since they operate no industrial equipment (no repairs or maintenance reqd, i.e. no breakdowns), labor is top-heavy with multi-tasking geeks, with minimal admin staff, and revenue increase depends on traffic, so minimal or no costs incurred. Like I said, eventually, FB's price will settle around $35 in the near-term but possibly touch $40 within the rest of the year, unless some new negative factors arise, which are unlikely, since whatever can be said about FB has already been said and discounted, so nothing much to depress prices further. Only way to go is up.
30 Jan, 08:07 PM Reply Like

gwynfryn Comments (1568)
 
ben, you don't count data banks as "equipment"? FB has a HUGE investment in such plant. I don't argue with your valuations, but given the uncertainty of their business model, I have misgivings about their rate of growth; yes, I know this is what Wall Street won't, but then, they don't care about the fallout when this bubble eventually bursts! That's going to be HUGE too; it's just a matter of time...
2 Feb, 09:17 AM Reply Like

Zeus2012 Comments (460)
 
You must be really long FB as I've seen you in a number of these posts.

FB = great company + over valued stock. Just another internet bubble 2.0 stock.

Like the last time, this bubble will also burst when the fed changes its monetary policy which may happen sooner than the street expects.
30 Jan, 08:56 PM Reply Like

benitus Comments (785)
 
Nope, I alternate between long or short as the market goes down or up. I used to be a heavy short-seller, shorting whenever the price goes up and reaping the profits when it comes back down. Then, I go long until I think it's time to short again, and so, the cycle contniues. Right now, I'm long on FB, until I think that the tide has turned. With the positive results, I'm picking up more volume whenever it dips low enough, because it will go the other way when the market sees that there isn't any run on the stock. It's too early to call it another internet bubble. FB is different because there're millions of people who actually like the product.
31 Jan, 09:42 AM Reply Like

gwynfryn Comments (1568)
 
Yes ben, there are millions who do, but they are not paying for it!
2 Feb, 09:19 AM Reply Like

1keila23 Comment (1)
 
I notice comments on Google Finance page are mostly negative about Facebook. Lets be honest Google, Facebook will grow will reach 200 per share, it just makes sense who doesn't use Facebook?
31 Jan, 03:41 AM Reply Like

benitus Comments (785)
 
1keila23.....$200 per share is too much to dream about, unless FB comes up with a slew (not just one) of innovations that will capture the volume that Google used to get when it soared (made a killing with it). I don't see it going beyond $60 for the next two years at least, even with positive results every quarter because the nay-sayers will continue to dampen sentiment. For the rest of the year, we'll be lucky if it crosses $40 at the current pace. I'm hoping and betting on Mark Zuckerberg to come up with more bright ideas. Problem is that, his team depends on him for vision and direction, just like Steve Jobs's team (and with Steve gone, the team will go adrift in time, so I shorted Apple the day when Steve announced his terminal illness and I'm still counting my profits, as it goes lower). Eventually, when there's enough market support, no news is good news, and there will be enough resistance to prop up the stock even if FB doesn't do well, but that won't happen for at least two years.
31 Jan, 09:51 AM Reply Like

cledrag Comment (1)
 
At this moment , all equities price have shot up due to huge heavy trading. The attractive low interest offered by fed offers traders to trade equities.
31 Jan, 12:24 PM Reply Like

benitus Comments (785)
 
cledrag....absolutely spot-on observation. Lots of new capital have come back to the market, including free money from the feds. Also, AAPL's recent collapse have freed up tremendous amount of capital to stimulate the rest of the market.
1 Feb, 08:54 AM Reply Like