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Bearish economist Gary Shilling is ... bearish, flatly predicting another recession in 2012 as...

  • Friday, June 24, 2011, 1:39 PM ET
    Bearish economist Gary Shilling is ... bearish, flatly predicting another recession in 2012 as housing inventories continue to drag. Not surprisingly, his favorite picks are Treasurys - the longer term the better. "I think they're going to 3%," he says of the 30 year, currently yielding 4.2%.
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This news story has 5 comments:

  •  
    Shilling is late to the game. Gluskin Scheff economist David Rosenberg made the long Treasury call last Jan-Feb.
    24 Jun 2011, 01:48 PM Reply Like
  •  
    So we go into another recession and housing rolls over which would mean more bailouts, more stimulus, and more money printing. Our deficit balloons as tax revenues fall and government spending surges, and somehow treasuries rally? That makes no sense but could somehow actually happen. What a market this is!
    24 Jun 2011, 01:59 PM Reply Like
  •  
    Slow growth and soon to go into the 2nd year of double dip predictions.
    24 Jun 2011, 02:03 PM Reply Like
  •  
    Without the Fed buying up our Treasuries, we won't be seeing anything close to 3%. We'll probably see 5% before we see 4%.
    24 Jun 2011, 03:13 PM Reply Like
  •  
    yea... shilling is wrong. the fed accounts for 70% of bond purchases right now.. when they stop i expect the yield to rise and prices to fall.. dlbs is on my radar; will be watching the technicals on it like a hawk. june 30th can't come fast enough...
    25 Jun 2011, 03:32 AM Reply Like
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