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While demand in China will remain strong, BHP (BHP) forecasts, the growth in mineral prices will...
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Sunday, February 24, 4:02 AM ETWhile demand in China will remain strong, BHP (BHP) forecasts, the growth in mineral prices will slow to 2-4% a year over the next five years from 15-20% at the moment. As a result, BHP will continue to cut costs, says new CEO Andrew Mackenzie, although he also he plans to extend Marius Kloppers' record "of sector-leading returns" to shareholders.
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The prevailing opinion seems to be that commodity pricing will rise forever, and inflation is inevitable, neither of which I suspect are on near term horizons.
There has been some pretty significant expansion of capacity over the last decade and the economic cycle doesn't seem to imply we need it anymore. It will be interesting to watch, in particular in light of the inflation expectations many harbor.