MARKET CURRENTS
real-time news and commentary for investors
MARKET CURRENTS
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Tuesday, May 21
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6:55 PM Why do so many investors believe in a summer rally? On average, in the 116 years since the Dow was created, the Dow gained 5.29% from the end of May through its highest close over the next three months. Before you get too excited, Mark Hulbert calculates that every season of the calendar can boast a rally of similar magnitude - 5.23%. 2 Comments
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12:38 PM Oil States (OIS -0.6%) is downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Sterne Agee after shares jump 30% since Jana Partners disclosed its big stake and suggested turning its worker accommodations business into a REIT. Indeed, OIS shares could be worth $130-$145 with such a change, the firm says, but investors buying shares now are betting on exactly that; Sterne says it isn't yet willing to handicap the potential. Comment!
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11:59 AM Risks surrounding the Chinese-fueled commodity supercycle leave higher, fixed-cost specialty metals and miners vulnerable, so in preparing a list of stocks to buy, BAML seeks companies able to control more of their destiny beyond waiting for improving market conditions. BAML says a rebound in global growth over 12-18 months could spark these favorites: NUE, KALU, SXCP, TMS, RS, ATI, RTI, CNX. Comment!
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10:04 AM SA Pro author Money Investor is even more convinced of his short thesis (see comment thread) on hhgregg (HGG -8.5%) after listening to last night's earnings call (transcript). A focus on various non-standard promotions is a tell of a company grasping at ways to drum up business, he says, and flat-negative same-store sales guidance shows management doesn't see things getting better. Comment!
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