Tim Travis is a veteran deep value investor and money manager. Travis has extensive experience in traditional investments such as stocks and bonds, in addition to having a unique methodology of combining options and distressed investing with value investing to generate income, reduce risk, and... More
- My company:
- T&T Capital Management
- My blog:
- T&T Capital Management Blog
- My book:
- Learn to Treat Your Portfolio as a Business
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Businessweek- Yielding To Panic 0 comments
This article discusses how long-term treasury yields are at 220 year lows. It is amazing to see the level of fear and hysteria that these low interest rate implies. I believe the U.S. government should be issuing 100 year bonds to take advantage of these fears. I don't think these rates could happen if it weren't for the short term mentality that most market participants take. Because people are trying to make money in the next week or next month, they aren't thinking about the longer term ramifications, and the odds that an investment will be disastrous. Mr. Market is saying that you can buy Citigroup (C) and Bank of America (BAC) at 50% of tangible book value, yet that same market is saying that for a "low risk" 10-yr treasury you will only obtain 1.53% per annum with no adjustment for inflation. It doesn't make sense but this is why investors shouldn't let the market dictate their feelings on investments, but instead should look at the individual merit of the investments themselves. This is how the most successful investors make money over time, but it requires patience, confidence, and the acceptance of periods of underperformance that can of course be very frustrating during those times.
http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2012-05-31/yielding-to-panic?r=read
Disclosure: I am long BAC, C.
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