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Steven Bauer
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My Biography: In 2001, I retired and now permanently reside in Mexico. After 5 years of managing my own affairs, I resumed my career in 2007 as a financial analyst / asset manager. My career began while in University as a – manual chartist for some wealthy Investors, who had a fancy math formula... More
My blog:
Investing Wisely
  • Sunday Article Update: Investing Wisely - - Forecasts / Confirmations = Profitable Results ! – ( Detailed Version ) - - September 23, 2012 0 comments
    Sep 24, 2012 10:54 AM | about stocks: AA, AAPL, BAC, C, CMCSA, CSCO, F, GE, GOOG, INTC, MSFT, T, XOM

    This posting is a Summary Analytics / Rotation Modeling for my Series of thirteen Company Articles.

    These articles are provided for guidance for your future of Investing Wisely in the stock market. My goal is to provide you and Clients with consistent annual profitability. These companies are just a (High Profile / Bellwether) sample of what I keep focused on in my universe of over 1,500 securities.

    As you likely know I have a very accurate and profitable methodology. It is based on the fact that all Companies, Industry Groups and Sectors - "Rotate" in and out of favor. It is a rather simple formula that says if it is currently in favor it will not be long before it is out of favor and likewise if it is a quality Company and is currently out of favor it will not be long before it is back in favor again.

    If you have visited my personal blog recently you have noticed that I have discontinued giving my work / analytics to hundreds of "Lookie Lous" - - for free.

    http://investingwisely-rotation.blogspot.mx/?spref=tw

    - - -

    I would hope that you would understand that seldom if ever I would formally recommend any of these thirteen companies for investment to my Clients. I have said many times for anyone to invest in these Companies without contacting me is just plain stupid. They are seldom on my most favorable (for Buying) or most un-favorable (for Shorting) lists. In other words there are always lower risk / higher reward Companies based on my on going Analytics and Methodology. From my perspective that is a very compelling reason to contact me and begin an Email dialog. I hope you do.

    Each week I received a number of Emails asking my opinion about the General Market, the Economy, this list of Companies and often Companies currently being held in their portfolio. My answers are always prompt and as complete as I feel I can be without knowing more about the specific investors financial needs, goals and objectives.

    - - PLEASE SCROLL DOWN TO THIS WEEK'S UPDATE TABLE - -

    The below is my most current Sunday edition. It provides updated: Alerts, Warnings and Rankings and long-term charts for each Company.

    - - -

    Notes for the below Table

    These Companies are my High Profile / Bellwether guidance as to What / When and Why I will choose to take Bullish / Bearish positions or simple hold Cash until the Market and these Companies tell me that I can profit. I seldom take positions in these Companies. There are always peer Companies with better fundamental valuations and technical charts.

    My purpose for writing these articles and providing this guidance: I do not believe today's - Investors can compete with the pros. The stock market is a whole new ball game with very different and changing rules and ethics. I hope you can understand these words and will consider retaining my asset management / consulting professional services.

    My Latest Postings of Published Articles and Guidance on Companies

    Before you start to review the tables below, I would like to share a few basics about my research / analytics. First, the companies in these tables are a fraction of the securities in my universe. Of the approximately 1,500 companies in my universe, seldom are any of the below companies the ones I identify with the current lowest risk and also have the highest profit profile. Second, if you do your own analytics and due diligence in the management of your portfolio, you must have the experience and know-how to be consistently profitable. I am seldom impressed with those investors whom I visit with (Email) as to their dedication to doing their homework (analytics) as well as is necessary to be consistently profitable. And Last, if you are one percent (amount of professional fees) more experienced( 50+ years) and profitable (15+% or better), then I am, why do you spend time reading my postings? If your answer is - to get ideas and guidance, I guarantee you will never be a consistently profitable investor trying to use other people's brains within these financial blogs. This is a statistical and proven fact that must be considered before you have serious losses!

    I suggest if you invest in any of these companies or ETFs without having a serious conversation with your "seasoned" financial advisor or having an Email dialog with me that - - you are definitely making a BIG MISTAKE!

    Personal Note:

    If you are retired or seeking monthly Income you might consider sending me an Email, I have a formula that has worked very well for decades.

    If you are seeking Growth you might want to permit me to share some examples of recent Forecasts and Guidance. It has produced totally profitable results.

    - - -

    A Summary of the Companies that are listed in the Table below:

    The General Market is in DEEP PERIL and is about to enter another clear Bearish Cycle. That means Warnings signs are prevalent in ALL Companies and Growth Mutual Funds.

    For an Update on a Company in your Portfolio, please consider Emailing me and I will respond promptly with my guidance.

    My Email Address is: senorstevedrmx@yahoo.com ( just click )

    ( To read my most recent Article ( any or all of the below Companies ) in SafeHaven.com - Go To: http://www.safehaven.com/author/489/steve-bauer )

    My Primary High Profile / Bellwether Companies

    Symbol

    ( click on the Symbol to view my most recent Article - a double Symbol means a second article is available ) - - ( click on "chart" to view a simple 20-year chart for that symbol )

    Alerts --

    ( alerts are for anticipated Buys ) -- see Key below.

    Warnings -

    ( warnings are for anticipate going to Cash or Shorting ) -- see Key below.

    Current Ranking - Grade ( 0 -100 / A - F ) / Guidance

    ( keeping track of my weekly movement in Grade will help you anticipate my bullish or bearish opinion ) - - Ascending - - Status Quo - - Descending.

    See My: Report Card on My Guidance for the below Companies: (a review of my past - SafeHaven.com Postings - will support my accuracy).

    AAPL

    See my most recent Article in SafeHaven.com

    (Click on (chart) to view a 20-year chart of AAPL)

     

    Warning # 2

    87 / B+ - - - > Guidance:

    The General Market bounce-rally (Forecast by me in June) is still in effect. AAPL participated well, as Forecast.

    Fundamental Valuations for AAPL are on the Decline but remain relatively strong.

    Soon, very SOON my Technical "Confirmations" will kick in and lower AAPL prices per share will be meaningful.

    My Guidance for AAPL:

    Deadly Accurate Forecasting to the Day . . . Profits to June to Date are over 30%. (see my most recent posting on AAPL in SafeHaven.com)

    AA

    See my most recent Article in SafeHaven.com

    (( Click on ( chart ) to view of a 20-year chart of AA)

     

    Warning # 3+

    69 / D+ - - - > Guidance:

    The General Market bounce-rally (Forecast by me in June) is still in effect. AA participated well, as Forecast.

    Fundamental Valuations for AA are the best of all these Companies. They will be strong for the next Bullish Cycle or soon thereafter

    Soon, very SOON my Technical "Confirmations" will kick in and lower AA prices per share will be meaningful.

    My Guidance for AA:

    Deadly Accurate Forecasting to the Day . . . Profits to June to Date are over 15%. (see my most recent posting on AA in SafeHaven.com)

    BAC

    See my most recent Article in SafeHaven.com

    ((Click on (chart) to view a 20-year chart of BAC)

     

    Warning # 3

    72 / C- - - - > Guidance:

    The General Market bounce-rally (Forecast by me in June) is still in effect. BAC participated well, as Forecast.

    Fundamental Valuations for BAC are on the Decline but remain relatively strong.

    Soon, very SOON my Technical "Confirmations" will kick in and lower BAC prices per share will be meaningful.

    My Guidance for BAC:

    Deadly Accurate Forecasting to the Day . . . Profits to June to Date are over 20%. (see my most recent posting on BAC in SafeHaven.com)

    C

    See my most recent Article in SafeHaven.com

    ((Click on (chart) to view a 20-year chart of Citigroup)

     

    Warning # 2

    74 / C - - - > Guidance:

    The General Market bounce-rally (Forecast by me in June) is still in effect. C participated well, as Forecast.

    Fundamental Valuations for C are on the Decline. Be careful!

    Soon, very SOON my Technical "Confirmations" will kick in and lower C prices per share will be meaningful.

    My Guidance for C:

    Deadly Accurate Forecasting to the Day . . . Profits to June to Date are over 30%. (see my most recent posting on C in SafeHaven.com)

    CMCSA

    See my most recent Article in SafeHaven.com

    ((Click on (chart) to view a 20-year chart of CMCSA)

     

    Warning # 2

    85 / B - - - > Guidance:

    The General Market bounce-rally (Forecast by me in June) is still in effect. CMCSA participated well, as Forecast.

    Fundamental Valuations for CMCSA are on the Decline. Be careful.

    Soon, very SOON my Technical "Confirmations" will kick in and lower CMCSA prices per share will be meaningful.

    My Guidance for CMCSA:

    Deadly Accurate Forecasting to the Day . . . Profits to June to Date are over 12%. (see my most recent posting on CMCSA in SafeHaven.com)

    CSCO

    See my most recent Article in SafeHaven.com

    ((Click on (chart) to view a 20-year chart of CSCO)

     

    Warning # 3

    68 / D+ - - - > Guidance:

    The General Market bounce-rally (Forecast by me in June) is still in effect. CSCO participated well, as Forecast.

    Fundamental Valuations for CSCO are on balance ok but pathetic to its Industry Group!

    Soon, very SOON my Technical "Confirmations" will kick in and lower CSCO prices per share will be meaningful.

    My Guidance for CSCO:

    Deadly Accurate Forecasting to the Day . . . Profits to June to Date are over 10%. (see my most recent posting on CSCO in SafeHaven.com)

    F

    See my most recent Article in SafeHaven.com

    ((Click on (chart) to view a 20-year chart of FORD)

     

    Warning # 3

    87 / D+ - - - > Guidance:

    The General Market bounce-rally (Forecast by me in June) is still in effect. F participated well, as Forecast.

    Fundamental Valuations for FORD are on the Rise and should be noted.

    Soon, very SOON my Technical "Confirmations" will kick in and lower FORD prices per share will be meaningful.

    My Guidance for F:

    Deadly Accurate Forecasting to the Day . . . Profits to June to Date are over 20%. (see my most recent posting on CFin SafeHaven.com)

    GE

    See my most recent Article in SafeHaven.com

    ((Click on (chart) to view a 20-year chart of GE)

     

    Warning # 2

    87 / B++ - - - > Guidance:

    The General Market bounce-rally (Forecast by me in June) is still in effect. GE participated well, as Forecast.

    Fundamental Valuations for GE are Flat.

    Soon, very SOON my Technical "Confirmations" will kick in and lower GE prices per share will be meaningful.

    My Guidance for GE:

    Deadly Accurate Forecasting to the Day . . . Profits to June to Date are over 13%. (see my most recent posting on GE in SafeHaven.com)

    GOOG

    See my most recent Article in SafeHaven.com

    ((Click on (chart) to view a 20-year chart of GOOG)

     

    Warning # 2

    87 / B++ - - - > Guidance:

    The General Market bounce-rally (Forecast by me in June) is still in effect. GOOG participated well, as Forecast.

    Fundamental Valuations for GOOG are on a miner Decline but remain relatively strong.

    Soon, very SOON my Technical "Confirmations" will kick in and lower GOOG prices per share will be meaningful.

    My Guidance for GOOG:

    Deadly Accurate Forecasting to the Day . . . Profits to June to Date are over 15%. (see my most recent posting on GOOG in SafeHaven.com)

    INTC

    See my most recent Article in SafeHaven.com

    ((Click on (chart) to view a 20-year chart of INTC)

     

    Warning # 2

    82 / B - - - > Guidance:

    The General Market bounce-rally (Forecast by me in June) is still in effect. INTC participated well, as Forecast.

    Fundamental Valuations for INTC are not impressive but the Industry Group is are on the Rise.

    Soon, very SOON my Technical "Confirmations" will kick in and lower INTC prices per share will be meaningful.

    My Guidance for INTC:

    Deadly Accurate Forecasting to the Day . . . Profits to June to Date are over 7%. Profits were taken in early August. (see my most recent posting on INTC in SafeHaven.com)

    MSFT

    See my most recent Article in SafeHaven.com

    ((Click on (chart) to view a 20-year chart of MSFT)

     

    Warning # 2

    86 / B+ - - - > Guidance:

    The General Market bounce-rally (Forecast by me in June) is still in effect. MSFT participated well, as Forecast.

    Fundamental Valuations for MSFT are Flat.

    Soon, very SOON my Technical "Confirmations" will kick in and lower MSFT prices per share will be meaningful.

    My Guidance for MSFT:

    Deadly Accurate Forecasting to the Day . . . Profits to June to Date are over 9%. (see my most recent posting on MSFT in SafeHaven.com)

    T -- ( AT&T )

    See my most recent Article in SafeHaven.com

    ((Click on (chart) to view a 20-year chart of AT&T)

     

    Warning # 1

    91 / A-- - - - > Guidance:

    The General Market bounce-rally (Forecast by me in June) is still in effect. AT&T participated well, as Forecast.

    Fundamental Valuations for AT&T are on the Decline.

    Soon, very SOON my Technical "Confirmations" will kick in and lower AT&T prices per share will be meaningful.

    My Guidance for AT&T:

    Deadly Accurate Forecasting to the Day . . . Profits to June to Date are over 12%. (see my most recent posting on AT&T in SafeHaven.com)

    XOM

    See my most recent Article in SafeHaven.com

    (( Click on ( chart ) to view a 20-year chart of XOM )

     

    Warning # 2

    83 / B - - - > Guidance:

    The General Market bounce-rally (Forecast by me in June) is still in effect. XOM participated well, as Forecast.

    Fundamental Valuations for XOM are on the Rise but I would not get excited.

    Soon, very SOON my Technical "Confirmations" will kick in and lower XOM prices per share will be meaningful.

    My Guidance for XOM:

    Deadly Accurate Forecasting to the Day . . . Profits to June to Date are over 9%. (see my most recent posting on XOM in SafeHaven.com)

     

    Notes for above & below Tables: Symbol is interactive with my most recent article on that company - clicking on the symbols will take you to my article. And, clicking on ( chart ) will give you a very simple chart for that company. Alerts are when I believe the company is a possible future buy. Warnings are when I believe the company is a possible sell / short. Report Card is My weighted Fundamental, Technical and Consensus Opinion ratings range from Excellent to Very Poor. Grades below 90 / A are not current (never are) candidates for buying. Grades above 60 / F are not current (never are) candidates for short selling. Information and data are ever changing, so be alert. Every company's "Grade" can be from a neutral grade (60 to 90 / D to B) to a buy (greater than 90) or short sale (less than 60) in a very short time.

    Further support for the above notes can be read in: "My Rotation Model."

    Alert Key: Alert # 1: Possible Bullish Inflection Point in the making.

    Alert # 2: Getting seriously Bullish.

    Alert # 3: Recommended Buying. (These words are in the - past tense!)

    Warning Key: Warning # 1: Possible Bearish Inflection Point in the making.

    Warning # 2: Getting seriously Bearish.

    Warning # 3: Recommended Selling / Shorting. (These words are in the - past tense!)

    - - -

    This Guidance Is As Accurate As You Will Find On The Web - -

    To Technically view all the companies, I have published articles about you may want to click on StockCharts Public ChartLists. They are listed alphabetically.

    - - -

    I hope you take the time to get better acquainted with my work / analytics by reading and perhaps re-reading my (old) SA premium articles - just click on the symbol.

    You might want to consider becoming a follower here in SeekingAlpha.com. I would appreciate that. It is a signal that you like what I am sharing.

    Charts

    I maintain a large list of Companies and Indices in my StockChart Public Blog. The above and many more Charts are yours to view as frequently as you wish and are always up to the minute current. Click on Public Blog to access.

    AA, AAPL, BAC, C, CMCSA, CSCO, F, GE, GOOG, INTC, MSFT, T, XOM

    Summary

    For Investing Wisely - Patience and Discipline are perhaps more important than the above data, tables, charts and information. However, the focus is always the question: do I Buy, Sell or Hold? My question for you is, do you have the Patience and Discipline to hold cash for a time? And, can you wait until you can be 90+% sure to profit? If you can, we should become better acquainted.

    My criterion for taking a Bullish position is that the company must have the prospect within its fundamental valuation and technical charts to outperform the general market, its sector, and industry group. In other words: The Best of the Best. Accomplishing this is really not all that difficult. The Worst of the Worst is applicable in Bearish Cycles, but that is for proactive Investors.

    Currently, there are notable warnings about these Companies in the above Table and many others that are traded so freely each and every day. It is a fact that, the stock market cycles endlessly both fundamentally and technically. It continuously moves from Bullish Cycle to Bearish Cycle and then back to bullish cycle again. Unfortunately, this is a pattern that is not well-understood or taken advantage of by most Investors.

    Also please study the following URL very diligently.

    http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$INDU&p=W&yr=1&mn=6&dy=0&id=p50720233760&a=270034212&listNum=26

    This analytic work I do each day is fun and profitable. There is always a list of the best (for buying) and worst (for shorting) Companies to further valuate and study. Seeking profits by focusing on the best Companies (to Buy), or perhaps the worst companies (to Short) is definitely a challenge. The Companies in-between the best and the worst are never considered as a current investment. As I said before, all companies Rotate into favor and out of favor. Each company takes its turn, at being one of the best or perhaps one of the worst. To be consistently profitable, we must fundamentally and technically always be prepared with, up to date, lists of the best and the worst companies to monitor. This work must be complete, well ahead of the pending / next . coming - Bullish or Bearish Market Cycle.

    I hope you like my Methodology and will continue to follow my work / analytics. It won't be long before I can offer you a Bullish and up-beat (Bullish) Forecast once again. Just be Patient and maintain Discipline. I'll help if you would like guidance. Just Ask!

    Conclusion

    I am currently bearish on both the world economies and the general market. My more recent archive articles are focused on securities that should not be currently held in your portfolio. I suggest that it is important for you to understand that holding cash is often a wise decision. During bearish cycles, this advice is always profitable for you. I can assure you that; this is definitely a "bearish cycle" time frame!

    I can also assure you that I am longer-term bullish on all of these Companies. Their Bullish Cycle will return again in the coming months. Currently, my "holding cash" advice is both prudent for Investing Wisely.

    My Email Address is: senorstevedrmx@yahoo.com ( just click )

    Thanks for permitting me to share my "stuff."

    I would appreciate your Telling a Friend or Two about my postings here in SA and in SafeHaven.com.

    Smile, have Fun - "Investing Wisely",

    Dr. Steve

    Stocks: AA, AAPL, BAC, C, CMCSA, CSCO, F, GE, GOOG, INTC, MSFT, T, XOM
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