Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ:MSFT) -- Bi-Monthly Update
I just completed my weekly study of all my High Profile Technology / Software - - Indexes, Companies and ETFs. This is a study that is more than a treat for me to do because I get to update and explore Companies like (MSFT). Each time, it supports my Methodology of "Investing Wisely."
My objective is to identify changing trends for my Forecasting Analytics. Simple stated, I want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this Sector and Industry Group.
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This week's Commentary on - Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) - covers all of my Indicators, both Fundamentally for Valuations and Technically for Momentum. There is much to cover to provide my best possible Forecast and Opinion.
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Forecast & Opinion from my Study / Analytics:
Microsoft Corp. and other Software Companies are tracking well. Although (MSFT) is in a strong Rally (with the recent mini pull-back) it is always an excellent contributor to my Analytics. I suggest it is beginning to tell a Bearish Story. . .
My Forecast is not as bright as you may think! (I will be more specific upon request).
My Opinion is to HOLD in anticipation of taking profits.
If you own or are considering owning Software Companies, the securities are definitely a mixed bag. Microsoft Corp. is currently strong Technically but I have reservations about my Fundamental Valuation, therefore I have placed it on an Initial Bearish Forecast - "Warning."
My Analytics (weighting) for my Fundamental Valuation play a vital role in profitable managing money. At this time my Valuations of (MSFT) are not bad but not as positive at perhaps you are being told by other sources. Plainly stated they are improving but Flat.
A Twenty Year Perspective of Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)
It has NOT always been like you are being told by so many who do not take the time to Invest Wisely. Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) has taken some big hits over the years.
URL for (20-years of -(MSFT): http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=MSFT&p=W&yr=20&mn=0&dy=0&id=p37471439789&a=310675869
A Rather Unique Chart / Graphic on (MSFT):
URL for this representation of - (MSFT): http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=MSFT&p=W&yr=1&mn=6&dy=0&id=p96514067251&a=311487326
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Here are a number of the Component Companies / Peers in the Software Industry Group that I focus on rather frequently: MSFT, ORCL, SYMC, CRM, CDNS, NUAN, CA, CPWR, ADBE, VMW, ADSK, BMC, CTXS, PAY, CHKP, NQ, INTU, SAP, SWI, FIRE, RHT, INFA, NEON, JIVE, SREV, PMTC, CNQR, CVLT.
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I also write Bi-Monthly Updates on: AAPL, ABX, AMZN, BAC, C, CAT, CSCO, CVX, D, DIS, F, FB, GE, GOOG, HPQ, IBM, INTC, JNJ, JPM, KO, MSFT, PFE, SBUX, SO, T, VZ, WMT, XOM, GLD, UGL, UCO.
Smile, Have Fun, "Investing Wisely,"