Marathon Petroleum Corp. (NYSE:MPC) - - Forecast & Opinion
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This fine / quality Company is just one of the S&P - 500 (Large - Cap) Component Companies that is currently on my focus list for Comparative Analytics. After I do a "Reality Check" I can very accurately Forecast the short-term direction of any Company / ETF. This is how I seek Consistent Annual Profits by separating the currently "Favorable" from the "Un-Favorable Companies / ETFs. As you know, at different time frames, there is a Bullish / Bearing Cycling of Companies within the General Stock Market. My Analytics have (MPC) on both on my "Hold-Cash" and "Un-Favorable" Asset-Management Lists. It has an Improving and then Declining Fundamental Valuation, unfortunately, it Technically remains Topping and Vulnerable.
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For the Record: I am currently Bearish on the General Market and am Holding-Cash. Yes, a Rally will first take place, but that is just part of the Bigger Picture and my Forecast.
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When you have a large universe of nearly all the conservative / quality Companies and ETFs on the planet, as I do, it is often remarkable to Investors when I say: "There are always many Excellent Companies / ETFs that are both "Easy Calls" - and - 'Favorable' at or around a Bullish Inflection Point. The reciprocal or opposite is true for Bearish Inflection Points.
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My Reality Check for: Marathon Petroleum Corp. -- (MPC)
I Do a "Reality Check" on Every Company / ETF.
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The Company has fundamentally been on Good times, which is reflected in its current selling price. It is selling on or near a high of $90. and has already dropped to $75.
So, where is it going (price wise) from here?
Answer: It is Topping, and it is time to get nervous. (Feel free to let me know if you are interested in my Guidance and Direction on this or perhaps another security).
Fundamentals: (My "Old-Fashioned Valuations Methods" (which demand comparative Excellence) must first be - in Place before Taking Positions). My projected Earnings Growth "Valuations" for (MPC) is clearly ASCENDING and then DESCENDING / UN-IMPRESSIVE. Stay with me - Fundamental Valuations are very important if you want consistent Profits.
Until more recently the current Price / Earnings Ratio (P/E) and Price of (MPC) has kept up with many other stronger S&P Companies, and that is not currently good enough to become a confident Buyer.
Technicals: (My "Unique and Time-Tested Technical Indicators" (which also demand comparative Excellence) and also must first be - in Place before Taking Positions). My current Technical "Indicators" for (MPC) are all pointing to Short-Term (one - three months) - TOPPING / UN-IMPRESSIVE. Buying is definitely not the prudent thing to do at this time and price.
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Forecast and Opinion
Forecast: My (most current) Focus suggests that the price is TOPPING / UN-IMPRESSIVE in the Short-Term (one - three months). It - (MPC) is on an Initial - / Strong - Bullish "Alert" / Bearish "Warning" and on my List to HOLD-CASH for now?
Opinion: HOLD-CASH. If you own Marathon Petroleum Corp. - be prepared to take Profits or Losses (in other words - go to Cash - Hold-Cash) after the next Rally. (Cash in your money-market account may bother you because of the low interest, but remember, you are more "bothered" when you lose money due to poor judgment on your part or from poor or misleading advice!)
Note: Please seek weekly (or more frequent) Guidance from a seasoned professional (minimum - 30 years or more of asset-management experience!). Remember - MOST "professionals" will advise holding or even buying. Do they EVER recommend selling or offer a Bearish "Warning" such as the above? And, Holding-Cash is considered a SIN!
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