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Steven Bauer
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My Biography: In 2001, I retired and now permanently reside in Mexico. After 5 years of managing my own affairs, I resumed my career in 2007 as a financial analyst / asset manager. My career began while in University as a – manual chartist for some wealthy Investors, who had a fancy math formula... More
My blog:
Investing Wisely
  • Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) -- Bi-Monthly Update 0 comments
    Sep 16, 2013 1:42 PM | about stocks: AMZN, GRPN, EBAY, NFLX, OWW, IACI, PCLN, MELI, MCOX, PETS, OSTK

    Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) -- Bi-Monthly Update

    I just completed my weekly study of all my High Profile Cyclicals / Consumer Services / Internet Commerce Companies. This is a study that I enjoy very much and is a treat for me because I have so much time and experience in the study of Companies like (AMZN).

    My objective is to identify changing trends for my Forecasting Analytics. Simple stated, I want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this Sector and Industry Group.

    This week's Commentary on - Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) - covers all of my Indicators, both Fundamentally for Valuations and Technically for Momentum.

    Must Read!

    My Mission is to provide guidance and directions for conservatively providing consistent annual and superior profitable results for each Formal Recommendation I make to Clients.

    For my Support Article for my Bi-Monthly Updates - Just Click - - >

    http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/2141562-supportive-information-for-my-bi-monthly-update-articles

    Please connect with "My Focus Article." Just Click: http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/2057252-my-focus-article

    Important: Please Click and Read the following URL - - > http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/2134782-supportive-information-for-my-bi-monthly-update-articles

    - - -

    Income Investors - - As you know Amazon pays no Dividend !

    My Mission is to provide guidance and direction for conservatively providing consistent annual and superior profitable results for each Formal Recommendation I make to my Clients.

    The Difference Between You and the Pros: Clearly you should be profitable and making money by owning Amazon.com. Via my Emails, I have found that many Investors are struggling with other securities they are holding. I have offered direction to hundreds of Investors and can share with you why you are perhaps holding losing securities and provide a conservative and low risk remedy.

    - - -

    Forecast & Opinion from my Study / Analytics:

    Amazon.com, Inc. and other Internet Sector Companies are tracking well. Although (AMZN) is in a strong Rally it is always an excellent contributor to my Analytics. My Forecasts have been "on the button" even with the 20% Pull-Back of late 2011. Re-Buying after that was easy.

    My Forecast is not as bright as you may think - it is brighter !

    If you own or are considering owning Internet Commerce Companies, the securities require "Selectivity" (see below). Amazon.com, Inc. is currently strong Technically but I have reservations about my Fundamental Valuations, therefore I have placed it on an Initial Bearish Forecast - "Warning."

    My Opinion is Hold with Strong Caution !

    Fundamentally, my Valuations remains very strong but are producing some declining projections.

    Technically, my Indicators are clearly breaking down. A re-bound rally is in force - - the strength of which will tell me when I will advise Clients to "Take Profits - and - move to Holding-Cash." I spend time looking back at the price movement and compare them with my Fundamental Valuation notes. The recent highs of $312 were followed by a pull-back and now a rally to $298. This could be called "Topping."

    I will personally and promptly reply to any serious investor's inquiry as to my very cautious position for (AMZN) !

    - - -

    A Twenty Year Perspective of Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)

    It has NOT always been like you are being told by so many who do not take the time to do their homework and "Invest Wisely." Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN), like most all other quality Companies, has taken some big hits over the years.

    URL for (20-years of) (AMZN): http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=AMZN&p=W&yr=20&mn=0&dy=0&id=p48666896104&a=311129746

    A Rather Unique Chart / Graphic on (AMZN)

    URL for this representation of (AMZN): http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=AMZN&p=W&yr=1&mn=6&dy=0&id=p31926064788&a=311194230

    Selectivity

    "Selectivity" is what I preach (along with Discipline and Patience) and is what separates the Average Investor and Mutual Funds from the profits that come with long-hours / hard work and "Selectivity."

    Here are a number of the Component Companies / Peers in the Internet - Commerce Industry Group that I focus on: AMZN, GRPN, EBAY, NFLX, OWW, IACI, PCLN, MELI, MCOX, PETS, OSTK.

    - - -

    A Word That Has Been Very Good to Both Me and My Clients

    The Word is "Confirmations." I started using this word or better-said "procedure" many years ago when I became dissatisfied by the results of some of my Investments.

    It has now become rather simple for me to be quite confident when Investing or making Formal Recommendations. Before taking any position I run through a "Check List" that has increased my percent of profitable investments from good to over 95%. It has also increased my profitability by over 5% (often much more) per transaction. It is very satisfying to me to share this when Investors ask about my professional fees for asset management services.

    If I can be of help just Email me. Serious Investors Only - Please!

    senorstevedrmx@yahoo.com

    Should you wish to read my latest article on the following Companies and ETFs - - Just Click on the Symbol. You will be taken (Linked) to my most current article as well at my last 20 articles on that Company or ETF. (It is an excellent way to gain insight into the accuracy of my Forecasts and Opinions). Just so you know you will have access to over 600 articles where I share my Analytics. In addition I have recently published all 500 of the S&P 500 Large-Cap component Companies. And, 200 of each of the S&P 400 Mid-Cap and S&P 600 Small-Cap component Companies. I stay quite busy doing my homework for my Clients.

    I hope you will find my "stuff" very well worth your Time and very Accurate.

    Thanks. . .

    AAPL, ABX, AMZN, BAC, C, CAT, CSCO, CVX, D, DIS, F, FB, GE, GOOG, HPQ, IBM, INTC, JNJ, JPM, KO, MSFT, PFE, SBUX, SLW, SO, T, VZ, WMT, XOM, GLD, SLV, UCO.

    Smile, Have Fun, "Investing Wisely,"

    Dr. Steve

    Stocks: AMZN, GRPN, EBAY, NFLX, OWW, IACI, PCLN, MELI, MCOX, PETS, OSTK
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