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Steven Bauer
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My Biography: In 2001, I retired and now permanently reside in Mexico. After 5 years of managing my own affairs, I resumed my career in 2007 as a financial analyst / asset manager. My career began while in University as a – manual chartist for some wealthy Investors, who had a fancy math formula... More
My blog:
Investing Wisely
  • Chevron Corp. (CVX) -- Bi-Monthly Update 0 comments
    Sep 29, 2013 12:55 PM | about stocks: CVX, XOM, BP, RDS.A, STO, TOT, YPF, E, BAK, SSL, PTR, PZE

    Chevron Corp. (NYSE:CVX) -- Bi-Monthly Update

    Chevron looks vulnerable to some serious Down-Side! I just completed my weekly study of all my High Profile Energy - Oil / Gas / Integrated Oil. This is a study that pleases me to do because I have spent so much time and experience in the study of Companies like (CVX). Each time, it is like visiting with an old and dear friend.

    My objective is to identify changing trends for my Forecasting Analytics. Simple stated, I want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this Sector and Industry Group.

    A Special Note for Seniors & Retired Investors - Dividend Yield: 3.26%

    I believe you folks deserve much better service and investment direction and guidance that either Wall Street or the Brokerage Community is / has been providing. Being a retired Asset Manager / Financial Analyst is a joy for me to assist you and meet your investment - needs, goals and objective. Peace of Mind for you is my mission. Let me know when I can offer you support. Perhaps reading my support article will be of interest. Just Click - - > http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/2101922-income-investing-seniors-retirees-and-conservative-investors-deserve-better-service-as-well-as-profitable-direction-and-guidance

    This week's Commentary on - Chevron Corp. (CVX) - covers all of my Indicators, both Fundamentally for Valuations and Technically for Momentum. There is much to cover to provide my best possible Forecast and Opinion.

    Please connect with "My Focus Article." Just Click: http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/2057252-my-focus-article

    Important: Please Click and Read the following URL - - > http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/2134782-supportive-information-for-my-bi-monthly-update-articles

    Income Investors

    My Mission is to provide guidance and direction for conservatively providing consistent annual and superior profitable results for each Formal Recommendation I make to my Clients.

    The Difference Between You and the Pros: Clearly you should be profitable and making money by owning Chevron. Via my Emails, I have found that many Investors are struggling with other securities they are holding. I have offered direction to hundreds of Investors and can share with you why you are perhaps holding losing securities and provide a conservative and low risk remedy.

    - - -

    Forecast & Opinion from my Study / Analytics:

    Chevron Corp. and other Energy - Oil & Gas Sector Companies are tracking well. Although (CVX) remains in a strong Rally it is always an excellent contributor to my Analytics. My Forecasts Work! Plug into what I share and you will soon see just how profitable they are. Chevron Forecast as a Buy and remained so since early - mid 2009. Aging has its negatives and this long-term growth is likely coming to an end.

    My current Forecast is not as bright as you may think! (I will be more specific upon request).

    If you own or are considering owning Oil & Gas Companies, the securities are definitely both strong and weak. Chevron Corp. is currently strong Technically but I have reservations about my Fundamental Valuation, there I have placed it on an Initial Bearish Forecast - "Warning."

    My Analytics (weighting) for my Fundamental Valuation play a vital role in profitable managing money. At this time my Valuations of (CVX) are not as positive at perhaps you are being told by other sources. Plainly stated they are Flat to Descending.

    My Opinion is to HOLD in anticipation of taking profits. Shorting has also entered the picture! Hum ! ! !

    Fundamentally: My Analytics (weighting) for my Fundamental Valuation play a vital role in profitable managing money. At this time my Valuations of (CVX) are no where near as positive at perhaps you are being told by other sources. Plainly stated they are Improving (slightly) from negative and then Descending again. This does not make for a positive fundamental valuation of any Company for a long-term Hold. I also do a great deal of Valuation work on the Sector and Industry Group and they are not very impressive either.

    Technically: Even with this fine Company, my Indicators are notably breaking down. It is only currently slightly off its highs of $127 selling for $123. There is a current rally that will tell a compelling story as to the future direction of the price of (CVX).

    I will personally and promptly reply to any serious investor's inquiry as to my very cautious position for (CVX) !

    - - -

    A Twenty Year Perspective of Chevron Corp. (CVX)

    It has NOT always been like you are being told by so many who do not take the time to "Invest Wisely." Chevron Corp. (CVX) has taken some big hits over the years.

    URL for (20-years of -(CVX): http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=CVX&p=W&yr=20&mn=0&dy=0&id=p57871088289&a=311453604

    A Rather Unique Chart / Graphic on (CVX):

    URL for this representation of - (CVX): http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=CVX&p=W&yr=1&mn=6&dy=0&id=p90706867955&a=311352734

    Selectivity

    "Selectivity" is what I preach (along with Discipline and Patience) and is what separates the Average Investor and Mutual Funds from the profits that come with long-hours / hard work and "Selectivity." You might like to read my most-recent article on why I believe Selectivity is so critical for profiting in today's Marketplace. You might want to check out "Be Selective II - Just Click - - > http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/2066602-flash-update-be-selective-ii

    Here are a number of the Component Companies / Peers in the Integrated Oil Industry Group that I focus on rather frequently: CVX, XOM, BP, RDS.A, STO, TOT, YPF, E, BAK, SSL, PTR, PZE.

    If I can be of help just Email me. Serious Investors Only - Please!

    senorstevedrmx@yahoo.com

    Should you wish to read my latest article on the following Companies and ETFs - - Just Click on the Symbol. You will be taken (Linked) to my most current article as well at my last 20 articles on that Company or ETF. (It is an excellent way to gain insight into the accuracy of my Forecasts and Opinions). Just so you know you will have access to over 600 articles where I share my Analytics. In addition I have recently published all 500 of the S&P 500 Large-Cap component Companies. And, 200 of each of the S&P 400 Mid-Cap and S&P 600 Small-Cap component Companies. I stay quite busy doing my homework for my Clients.

    I hope you will find my "stuff" very well worth your Time and very Accurate.

    Thanks. . .

    AAPL, ABX, AMZN, BAC, C, CAT, CSCO, CVX, D, DIS, F, FB, GE, GOOG, HPQ, IBM, INTC, JNJ, JPM, KO, MSFT, PFE, SBUX, SLW, SO, T, VZ, WMT, XOM, GLD, SLV, UCO.

    Smile, Have Fun, "Investing Wisely,"

    Dr. Steve

    Stocks: CVX, XOM, BP, RDS.A, STO, TOT, YPF, E, BAK, SSL, PTR, PZE
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