Entering text into the input field will update the search result below

Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) -- Bi-Monthly Update

Oct. 03, 2013 10:40 AM ETMSFT, ORCL, GEN, CRM, CDNS, CA-OLD, CPWR, ADBE, ADSK, BMC, CTXS, PAY-OLD, CHKP, LKM, INTU, SAP, SWI, FIRE, RHT, INFA-OLD, NEON, JIVE-OLD, CNXC, PTC, CNQR, CVLT
Steven Bauer profile picture
Steven Bauer's Blog
1.57K Followers
Please Note: Blog posts are not selected, edited or screened by Seeking Alpha editors.

Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) -- Bi-Monthly Update

Microsoft is hanging in there very, very well. There is a possible Technical problem developing. Each week I review all of my High Profile Technology / Software - - Indexes, Companies and ETFs. This is a study that is more than a treat for me to do because I get to update and explore many Companies like (MSFT). Each time, it supports my Methodology of "Investing Wisely."

My objective is to identify changing trends for my Forecasting Analytics. Simple stated, I want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this Sector and Industry Group.

A Special Note for Seniors & Retired Investors - Dividend Yield: 3.30%

I believe you folks deserve much better service and investment direction and guidance that either Wall Street or the Brokerage Community is / has been providing. Being a retired Asset Manager / Financial Analyst is a joy for me to assist you and meet your investment - needs, goals and objective. Peace of Mind for you is my mission. Let me know when I can offer you support. Perhaps reading my support article will be of interest. Just Click - - > https://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/2101922-income-investing-seniors-retirees-and-conservative-investors-deserve-better-service-as-well-as-profitable-direction-and-guidance

This week's Commentary on - Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) - covers all of my Indicators, both Fundamentally for Valuations and Technically for Momentum. There is much to cover to provide my best possible Forecast and Opinion.

Please connect with "My Focus Article." Just Click: https://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/2057252-my-focus-article

Important: Please Click and Read the following URL - - > https://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/2134782-supportive-information-for-my-bi-monthly-update-articles

Income Investors

My Mission is to provide guidance and direction for conservatively providing consistent annual and superior profitable results for each Formal Recommendation I make to my Clients.

The Difference Between You and the Pros: Clearly you should be profitable and making money by owning Microsoft. Via my Emails, I have found that many Investors are struggling with other securities they are holding. I have offered direction to hundreds of Investors and can share with you why you are perhaps holding losing securities and provide a conservative and low risk remedy.

- - -

Forecast & Opinion from my Study / Analytics:

Microsoft Corp. and other Software Companies are tracking the Market well. (MSFT) remains in a strong Rally it is always an excellent contributor to my Analytics. Unfortunately, I suggest it is beginning to tell a Bearish Story. . . My Forecasting of Microsoft over the years has been near perfect. From a December low of $26 to a present price of $34 isn't bad for a Company like Microsoft. That was Forecast too!

My Forecast is not as bright as you may think! (I will be more specific upon request).

If you own or are considering owning a Big Software / etc. Companies, the securities have definitely become a mixed bag. Mostly strong but like always you need to find the best through being very selective. Microsoft is currently strong Technically but I have reservations about my Fundamental Valuation, therefore I have placed it on an Initial Bearish Forecast - "Warning."

My Analytics (weighting - 40%) for my Fundamental Valuation play a vital role in profitable managing money. At this time my Valuations of (MSFT) are not bad but not as positive at perhaps you are being told by other sources or compared to a number of peer Companies. Plainly stated they are improving but Flat.

My Opinion is to HOLD in anticipation of taking profits.

Fundamentally: My Analytics (weighting) for my Fundamental Valuation play a vital role in profitable managing money. At this time my Valuations of (MSFT) are not as positive at perhaps you are being told by other sources. Plainly stated Earnings are Improving and then Descending again. This does not make for a positive fundamental valuation of any Company.

Technically: Even with this fine Company, my Indicators are notably breaking down. It is only currently slightly off its highs of $35. selling for $34. The current rally has offered a rebound rally from the lows of $31. and I think that this rally will tell a compelling story as to the future direction of the price of (MSFT) - good or not so good.

I will personally and promptly reply to any serious investor's inquiry as to my very cautious position for (MSFT) !

- - -

A Twenty Year Perspective of Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)

It has NOT always been like you are being told by so many who do not take the time to do their homework and "Invest Wisely." Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) has taken some big hits over the years.

URL for (20-years of -(MSFT): http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=MSFT&p=W&yr=20&mn=0&dy=0&id=p37471439789&a=310675869

A Rather Unique Chart / Graphic on (MSFT):

URL for this representation of - (MSFT): http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=MSFT&p=W&yr=1&mn=6&dy=0&id=p96514067251&a=311487326

Selectivity

"Selectivity" is what I preach (along with Discipline & Patience) and is what separates the Average Investor and Mutual Funds from the profits that come with long-hours / hard work and "Selectivity." You might like to read my most-recent article on why I believe Selectivity is so critical for profiting in today's Marketplace. You might want to check out "Be Selective II - Just Click - - > https://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/2066602-flash-update-be-selective-ii

Here are a number of the Component Companies / Peers in the Software Industry Group that I focus on rather frequently: MSFT, ORCL, SYMC, CRM, CDNS, NUAN, CA, CPWR, ADBE, VMW, ADSK, BMC, CTXS, PAY, CHKP, NQ, INTU, SAP, SWI, FIRE, RHT, INFA, NEON, JIVE, SREV, PMTC, CNQR, CVLT. There are many, may more!

If I can be of help just Email me. Serious Investors Only - Please!

senorstevedrmx@yahoo.com

Should you wish to read my latest article on the following Companies and ETFs - - Just Click on the Symbol. You will be taken (Linked) to my most current article as well at my last 20 articles on that Company or ETF. (It is an excellent way to gain insight into the accuracy of my Forecasts and Opinions). Just so you know you will have access to over 600 articles where I share my Analytics. In addition I have recently published all 500 of the S&P 500 Large-Cap component Companies. And, 200 of each of the S&P 400 Mid-Cap and S&P 600 Small-Cap component Companies. I stay quite busy doing my homework for my Clients.

I hope you will find my "stuff" very well worth your Time and very Accurate.

Thanks. . .

AAPL, ABX, AMZN, BAC, C, CAT, CSCO, CVX, D, DIS, F, FB, GE, GOOG, HPQ, IBM, INTC, JNJ, JPM, KO, MSFT, PFE, SBUX, SLW, SO, T, VZ, WMT, XOM, GLD, SLV, UCO.

Smile, Have Fun, "Investing Wisely,"

Dr. Steve

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Recommended For You

To ensure this doesn’t happen in the future, please enable Javascript and cookies in your browser.
Is this happening to you frequently? Please report it on our feedback forum.
If you have an ad-blocker enabled you may be blocked from proceeding. Please disable your ad-blocker and refresh.