Google, Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG) -- Bi-Monthly Update
Google remains off almost $50. from its high and that is about 5%. That is nothing to set off alarms but it suggests holding a tight reign. My weekly study of all my High Profile Technology / Internet Companies says Caution is worth the effort. This is a study that I enjoy very much and is a treat for me because I have so much time and experience in the study of Companies like (GOOG).
My objective is to identify changing trends for my Forecasting Analytics. Simple stated, I want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this Sector and Industry Group.
This week's Commentary on - Google, Inc. (GOOG) - covers all of my Indicators, both Fundamentally for Valuations and Technically for Momentum.
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Income Investors - As you know Google does not pay a Dividend
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The Difference Between You and the Pros: Clearly you should be profitable and making money by owning Google. Via my Emails, I have found that many Investors are struggling with other securities they are holding. I have offered direction to hundreds of Investors and can share with you why you are perhaps holding losing securities and provide a conservative and low risk remedy.
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Forecast & Opinion from my Study / Analytics:
Google, Inc. and other Internet Sector Companies are tracking well. Although Google, Inc. is in a strong Rally it is always an excellent contributor to my Analytics. My Forecast have been solid for almost 2 years now and that is a good feeling
My Forecast is not as bright as you may think ! It is not all the bad either !
If you own or are considering owning Internet Companies, the securities are a mixed bag. Google, Inc. is currently strong Technically but I have reservations about my Fundamental Valuations, therefore I have placed it on an Initial Bearish Forecast - "Warning."
My Opinion is Hold with Strong Caution !
Fundamentally, my Valuations remain strong and positive with solid future upside projections. The problem is my Valuations are on the decline, first back up a bit and then back down or sideways. This translates into just one word I used above - "Caution."
Technically, my Indicators are clearly breaking down. A re-bound rally is in process - - the strength (not so good so far) of which will be very important as to when (or whether or not) I will advise Clients to "Take Profits - and - move to Holding-Cash." Google did not move very well for almost three years (2010 thru mid 2012). Looking back helps in looking forward. The high is $923 and it is selling for $870.
I will personally and promptly reply to any serious investor's inquiry as to my very cautious position for (GOOG) !
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A Twenty Year Perspective of Google, Inc. (GOOG)
It has NOT always been like you are being told by so many who do not take the time to do their homework and "Invest Wisely." Google, Inc. (GOOG), like most all other quality Companies, has taken some big hits over the years.
URL for (20-years of) GOOG: http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GOOG&p=W&yr=20&mn=0&dy=0&id=p25179194005&a=300758179
A Rather Unique Chart / Graphic on (GOOG)
URL for this representation of (GOOG): http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GOOG&p=W&yr=1&mn=6&dy=0&id=p98639946647&a=300738209
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Here are a number of the Component Companies / Peers in the Internet Industry Group that I focus on: GOOG, FB, BIDU, YHOO, LNKD, YNDX, TRIP, AKAM, GRPN, IACI, YOKU, AOL, AWAY, YELP, SOHU.
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