Hewlett-Packard Company (NYSE:HPQ) -- Bi-Monthly Update
(HPQ) actually looks scary both fundamentally and technically - again! When I look at and compare this or any Company with its peers I get a huge advantage over most investors - I call it perspective. There is always a best and a worst. My weekly study of all my High Profile Technology / Computer Hardware - - Indexes, Companies and ETFs. This is a study that is a pleasure for me to do because I get to update and explore Companies like (HPQ). Each time, it supports my Methodology of "Investing Wisely."
My objective is to identify changing trends for my Forecasting Analytics. Simple stated, I want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this Sector and Industry Group.
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This week's Commentary on - Hewlett-Packard Company (HPQ) - covers all of my Indicators, both Fundamentally for Valuations and Technically for Momentum. There is much to cover to provide my best possible Forecast and Opinion.
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Forecast & Opinion from my Study / Analytics:
Hewlett-Packard Company and other Technology / Computer Hardware Sector Companies are tracking well. Although (HPQ) is in a strong (recovery) Rally and even with the recent mini pull-backs, it is always an excellent contributor to my Analytics.
I suggest it is beginning to tell a Bearish Story. . . Back in 2011, my Forecasts called the Down-Turn where-in the Companies Price was cut in half and then half again ($45 to $22 and then $28 to $12). This is one of my perfect Dow 30 Stories as to why I spend so much time Forecasting. I hope you will become comfortable with this Methodology of "Investing Wisely."
My Forecast is not as bright as most investors may think! (I will be more specific upon request).
If you own or are considering owning Computer Hardware Companies, the securities are definitely a mixed bag of both good and not so good. Hewlett-Packard Company is currently strong Technically but I have reservations about my Fundamental Valuation, therefore I have placed it on a New Strong Bearish Forecast - "Warning." It does not get any worst than this in my public postings.
My Opinion is Strong Caution Again and to HOLD-CASH in anticipation of taking profits or limiting losses.
Fundamentally, my Valuations remains Un-impressive and are "Flat" to "Negative" producing future negative and declining projections.
Technically, my Indicators are clearly breaking down again. The pull-back since early 2011 at about $46, currently it is selling for $23.50 (less than half !). The technical picture is offering strong support for my Bearish "Warning." A re-bound rally was in the making and will eventually occur - - the strength of which will be very important as to when I will advise Clients to "Take Profits - and - move to Holding-Cash."
I will personally and promptly reply to any serious investor's inquiry as to my very cautious position for (HPQ) !
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A Twenty Year Perspective of Hewlett-Packard Company (HPQ)
It has NOT always been like you are being told by so many who do not take the time to "Invest Wisely." Hewlett-Packard Company (HPQ) has taken some big hits over the years. Recall my the word I used above - "Perspective."
URL for (20-years of -(HPQ): http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=HPQ&p=W&yr=20&mn=0&dy=0&id=p17808231167&a=313666669
A Rather Unique Chart / Graphic on (HPQ):
URL for this representation of - (HPQ): http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=HPQ&p=W&yr=1&mn=6&dy=0&id=p65730265635&a=312039526
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Here are a number of the Component Companies / Peers in the Computer Hardware Industry Group that I focus on rather frequently: HPQ, AAPL, EMC, DDD, DELL, NTAP, STX, WDC, FIO, RSYS, PAY, NCR, QTM. There are many more.
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