Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) -- Bi-Monthly Update
Amazon is, as expected reaching new highs in each previous market rally. It's fundamentals tell me that it should do well until there is a major break in the general market. My High Profile Cyclicals / Consumer Services / Internet Commerce Companies continue to be strong with few exceptions. Companies like (AMZN) have earned their strong position in the marketplace.
My objective is to identify changing trends for my Forecasting Analytics. Simple stated, I want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this Sector and Industry Group.
This week's Commentary on - Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) - covers all of my Indicators, both Fundamentally for Valuations and Technically for Momentum.
My Mission is to provide guidance and directions for conservatively providing consistent annual and superior profitable results for each Formal Recommendation I make to Clients.
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Income Investors - - As you know Amazon pays no Dividend !
My Mission is to provide guidance and direction for conservatively providing consistent annual and superior profitable results for each Formal Recommendation I make to my Clients.
The Difference Between You and the Pros: Clearly you should be profitable and making money by owning Amazon.com. Via my Emails, I have found that many Investors are struggling with other securities they are holding. I have offered direction to hundreds of Investors and can share with you why you are perhaps holding losing securities and provide a conservative and low risk remedy.
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Forecast & Opinion from my Study / Analytics:
Amazon.com, Inc. and other Internet Sector Companies are tracking well. Although (AMZN) is in a strong Rally it is always an excellent contributor to my Analytics. My Forecasts have been "on the button" even with the 20% Pull-Back of late 2011. Re-Buying after that was easy.
Forecasted Performance - - - Bullish Cycle - Still Performing Well:
The below Table is for your review, questions and perhaps thoughts. If you are seeking, what I call "Pazazz Performance" - - please Email me to open a dialog. Aggressive Investors only - Please.
Typically, "Pazazz Performance" does come from Companies like (AMZN). In good times this conservative Company will always out perform the Blue Chip and many of my Bellwether Companies. This is often with equal risk and obviously a superior reward.
Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
Forecasted Bullish "Alerts"
At this time (AMZN) remains in a Bullish mode and has produced an annualized profit - over the past few years of about +97%. (that's per year - not including dividends).
It, however is currently giving -- both Fundamental and Technical - - Bearish "Warnings" that if ignored will be costly.
Forecast Bullish "Alert" -- Initiated:
March, 2009 @ $62.00
Performance to Date: +485%
Click on the Green Arrow to read my Archive of my most recent and past Articles, on Amazon.com, Inc. - - including my on going Forecasts and Opinions.
Thanks for your interest in my Forecasts - work / analytics . . .
My Current Forecast is not as bright as you may think - it is brighter !
If you own or are considering owning Internet Commerce Companies, the securities require "Selectivity" (see below). Amazon.com, Inc. is currently strong Technically but I have reservations about my Fundamental Valuations, therefore I have placed it on an Initial (very light) Bearish Forecast - "Warning." This is because I am a very cautious Asset Manager.
My Current Opinion is Hold with Caution !
Fundamentally, my Valuations remains very strong but are producing some declining projections. Even with greatly superior earnings when a decline begins the price of the Company most often follows.
Technically, my Indicators have not started to break down, but they will in time. A re-bound rally is in force - - the strength of which is very positive. I spend time looking back at the price movement and compare them with my Fundamental Valuation notes. The (AMZN) is on recent highs of $363.
I will personally and promptly reply to any serious investor's inquiry as to my very cautious position for (AMZN) !
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A Twenty Year Perspective of Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
It has NOT always been like you are being told by so many who do not take the time to do their homework and "Invest Wisely." Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN), like most all other quality Companies, has taken some big hits over the years.
URL for (20-years of) (AMZN): http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=AMZN&p=W&yr=20&mn=0&dy=0&id=p48666896104&a=311129746
A Rather Unique Chart / Graphic on (AMZN)
URL for this representation of (AMZN): http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=AMZN&p=W&yr=1&mn=6&dy=0&id=p31926064788&a=311194230
"Selectivity" is what I preach (along with Discipline and Patience) and is what separates the Average Investor and Mutual Funds from the profits that come with long-hours / hard work and "Selectivity."
Here are a number of the Component Companies / Peers in the Internet - Commerce Industry Group that I focus on: AMZN, GRPN, EBAY, NFLX, OWW, IACI, PCLN, MELI, MCOX, PETS, OSTK.
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