AT&T, Inc. (NYSE:T) -- Bi-Monthly Update
Two weeks ago I said: "AT&T is looking vulnerable to a notable pull-back." The past two weeks have moved up a couple of points but another mini-pull-back is in the making. Six and one half months have transpired since the highs of $37. and that is not very positive. This week AT&T is down over 4%. That is all most its annual dividend!
Weekly I review of all my High Profile Utility /Telecom / Fixed Line Telecom. Companies - thoroughly! This is a study that pleases me to do because I have spent so much time and experience in the study of phone Companies like (T).
My objective is to identify changing trends for my Forecasting Analytics. Simple stated, I want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this Sector and Industry Group.
A Special Note for Seniors & Retired Investors - - Dividend Yield: 5.13%
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This week's Commentary on - AT&T, Inc. (T) - covers all of my Indicators, both Fundamentally for Valuations and Technically for Momentum. There is much to cover to provide my best possible Forecast and Opinion.
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The Difference Between You and the Pros: Clearly you should be profitable and making money by owning AT&T. Via my Emails, I have found that many Investors are struggling with other securities they are holding. I have offered direction to hundreds of Investors and can share with you why you are perhaps holding losing securities and provide a conservative and low risk remedy.
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The Difference Between You and the Pros: Clearly you should be profitable and making money by owning AT&T, Inc,. Via my Emails, I have found that many Investors are struggling with other securities they are holding. I have offered direction to hundreds of Investors and can share with you why you are perhaps holding losing securities and provide a conservative and low risk remedy.
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Forecast & Opinion from my Study / Analytics:
AT&T, Inc. and other Utility Sector Companies are tracking well. Although (T) was in a strong Rally -however, it is clearly Topping. Forecasting the Utes is easier than many Companies because they are both consistent and highly predictable.
Forecasted Performance - - - Bullish Cycle - - But Critically Weak:
The below Table is for your review, questions and perhaps thoughts. If you are seeking, what I call "Pazazz Performance" - - please Email me to open a dialog.
Typically, "Pazazz Performance" definitely does not come from Companies like (T). In good times this conservative / dividend paying giant does the job quite well. It's the not such good times that must also be held in focus.
AT&T, Inc. (XYZ)
Forecasted Bullish "Alerts"
At this time (T) remains in a Bullish mode and has produced an annualized profit - over the past few years of about +19%. (that's per year - not including dividends).
It, however is currently giving -- both Fundamental and Technical - - Bearish "Warnings" that if ignored will be costly.
Forecast Bullish "Alert" -- Initiated:
July, 2009 @ $18.00
Performance to Date: +94%
Click on the Green Arrow to read my Archive of my most recent and past Articles, on AT&T, Inc. - - including my on going Forecasts and Opinions.
Retired Investors MUST begin to recognize what the Stock Market has become. It no longer is providing a "sleep well at night" manner.
Thanks for your interest in my Forecasts - work / analytics . . .
My Current Forecast is not as bright as you are being told by Wall Street and many Bloggers! (I will be more specific upon request). If you own or are considering owning Telecom Companies, the securities are definitely a mixed bag of good and not so good! AT&T, Inc. is currently strong Technically but I have reservations about my Fundamental Valuation, there I have placed it on an Initial Bearish Forecast - "Warning."
My Current Opinion is to HOLD for Now in close anticipation of taking profits.
Fundamentally - ( weighting - - 40% ): My Analytics (weighting 40%) for my Fundamental Valuation play a vital role in profitable managing money. At this time my Valuations of (T) are not as positive at perhaps you are being told by other sources. Plainly stated they are Improving and then Descending again, but not bad. Still - this does not make for a positive fundamental valuation of any Company.
Technically - ( weighting - - 35%): Even with this fine Company, my Indicators are notably breaking down. It is likely completed a mini-rally off of its recent lows of $33., but its highs of $37.50. are very likely not going to be reached before another Pull-Back occurs. The current rally is will tell a compelling story as to the future direction of the price of (T). Be Very Careful!
I will personally and promptly reply to any serious investor's inquiry as to my very cautious position for (T) !
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A Twenty Year Perspective of AT&T, Inc. (T)
It has NOT always been like you are being told by so many who do not take the time to "Invest Wisely" and do their homework well. AT&T, Inc. (T) has taken some big hits over the years.
URL for (20-years of -(T): http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=T&p=W&yr=20&mn=0&dy=0&id=p98681223257&a=305205554
A Rather Unique Chart / Graphic on (T):
URL for this representation of - (T): http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=T&p=W&yr=1&mn=6&dy=0&id=p06722466131&a=305093721
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Here are a number of the Component Companies / Peers in the Utility /Telecom / Fixed Line Telecom Industry Group that I focus on rather frequently: T, S, VZ, OIBR, LVLT, VIV, TEF, VG, CBB, BCE, VIP.
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