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Starbucks Corp. (SBUX) -- Bi-Monthly Update

Nov. 28, 2013 12:07 PM ETSBUX, MCD, WEN, YUM, ARCO, EAT, DRI, KKD, RT, DPZ, PNRA, BLMN, TXRH, DENN, BWLD, QSR
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Starbucks Corp. (SBUX) -- Bi-Monthly Update

Starbucks is doing exactly what it should be doing - going UP. Just so you know, when my Fundamental Valuations are super positive for a Company, the Technical or Charts ALWAYS support this kind of price movement - hence my Methodology of "Investing Wisely."

I have completed my weekly study of my High Profile Cyclical - Consumer Services / Restaurant Companies. This is a study that is a pleasure for me to do because I have spent time and experience in the study of Growth Companies like (SBUX). Each time, it is a confidence builder for my Analytics and I smile.

My objective is to identify changing trends for my Forecasting Analytics. Simple stated, I want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this Sector and Industry Group.

This week's Commentary on - Starbucks Corp. (SBUX) - covers all of my Indicators, both Fundamentally for Valuations and Technically for Momentum. There is much to cover to provide my best possible Forecast and Opinion.

A Special Note for Seniors & Retired Investors - Dividend Yield: 1.27%

I believe you folks deserve much better service and investment direction and guidance that either Wall Street or the Brokerage Community is / has been providing. Being a retired Asset Manager / Financial Analyst is a joy for me to assist you and meet your investment - needs, goals and objective. Peace of Mind for you is my mission. Let me know when I can offer you support. Perhaps reading my support article will be of interest. Just Click - - > https://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/2101922-income-investing-seniors-retirees-and-conservative-investors-deserve-better-service-as-well-as-profitable-direction-and-guidance

Please connect with "My Focus Article." Just Click: https://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/2057252-my-focus-article

Important: Please Click and Read the following URL - - > https://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/2134782-supportive-information-for-my-bi-monthly-update-articles

Income Investors

My Mission is to provide guidance and direction for conservatively providing consistent annual and superior profitable results for each Formal Recommendation I make to my Clients.

The Difference Between You and the Pros: Clearly you should be profitable and making money by owning Starbucks. Via my Emails, I have found that many Investors are struggling with other securities they are holding. I have offered direction to hundreds of Investors and can share with you why you are perhaps holding losing securities and provide a conservative and low risk remedy.

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Forecast & Opinion from my Study / Analytics:

Starbucks Corp. and other Restaurant Companies are tracking the Marketplace well. Although (SBUX) is currently in a strong Rally it is also an excellent Company to Forecast for accuracy of future price movements and contributor to my overall Analytics.

Forecasted Performance - - - Bullish Cycle - Performing Exactly as It Should:

The below Table is for your review, questions and perhaps thoughts. If you are seeking, what I call "Pazazz Performance" - - please Email me to open a dialog.

Typically, "Pazazz Performance" comes from Companies like (SBUX). In Good Times this rather conservative performer does the job quite well along with paying a small dividend. Don't be mislead, there have been "Bad Times" that take away the pleasure of profiting. (please study the 20 year chart below).

Starbucks Corp. (SBUX)

Forecasted Bullish "Alerts"

Ascending

At this time (SBUX) remains in a Bullish mode and has produced an annualized profit - over the past few years of about +183%. (that's per year - not including dividends).

It, however is currently giving -- both Fundamental and Technical - - Bearish "Warnings" that if ignored will be costly.

Forecast Bullish "Alert" -- Initiated:

April, 2009 @ $8.00

Performance to Date: +913%

Click on the Green Arrow to read my Archive of my most recent and past Articles, on Starbucks Corp. - - including my on going Forecasts and Opinions.

Or : seekingalpha.com/author/steven-bauer/ins.../sbux

Starbucks is on my Pizazz List and has been for a long time. My performance is similar to others on this fun list and fun means superior profits for you.

Accurate and Profitable Forecasting and Appropriate Highly Selective Recommendations can be performed on any security on the planet. Even the ones in your portfolio!

Thanks for your interest in my Forecasts - work / analytics . . .

My Current Forecast is quite bright. That is if my Forecast for a General Market - Bearish Cycle / Bearish Inflection Point is delayed! (I will be more specific upon request).

If you own or are considering owning Restaurant Companies, the securities have definitely been positive. Starbucks Corp. is currently strong Technically but I have mini - reservations about my Fundamental Valuation, however it on an Strong Bullish Forecast - "Alert."

My Current Opinion is to HOLD in anticipation of taking profits - maybe at even higher prices? There will be an end but I am not Forecasting an "end" at this time.

Fundamentally - ( weighting - - 40% ): My Analytics (weighting 40%) for my Fundamental Valuation play a vital role in profitable managing money. At this time my Valuations of (SBUX) are and remain positive. Plainly stated they are Flat but comparatively very positive.

Technically ( weighting - - 35% ): Within this outstanding Company, my Indicators are not breaking down like with so many other Companies. It is selling on its highs of $81. The current rally, has lifted (SBUX) by over 10% and that is impressive but is also in line with my Forecasted projections.

Consensus Opinion - ( weighting - - 25% ): My third pillar of Research is one that is ALWAYS distorted to the Positive by most all financial analysts. That's because they are afraid of being Bearish. I Am NOT! My articles on "Reality" are supportive of the below 20 year Chart.

I will personally and promptly reply to any serious investor's inquiry as to my very cautious position for (SBUX) !

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A Twenty Year Perspective of Starbucks Corp. (SBUX)

It has NOT always been like you are being told by so many who do not take the time to Invest Wisely. Starbucks Corp. (SBUX) has taken some big hits over the years.

URL for (20-years of -(SBUX): http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SBUX&p=W&yr=20&mn=0&dy=0&id=p68855862234&a=312039539

Selectivity

"Selectivity" is what I preach (along with Discipline and Patience) and is what separates the Average Investor and Mutual Funds from the profits that come with long-hours / hard work and "Selectivity." You might like to read my most-recent article on why I believe Selectivity is so critical for profiting in today's Marketplace. You might want to check out "Be Selective II - Just Click - - > https://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/2066602-flash-update-be-selective-ii

Here are a number of the Component Companies / Peers in the Restaurant Industry Group that I focus on rather frequently: SBUX, MCD, WEN, YUM, ARCO, EAT, DRI, KKD, DNKN CAKE, RT, DPZ, PNRA, BLMN, TXRH, DENN, BWLD, THI.

If I can be of help just Email me. Serious Investors Only - Please!

senorstevedrmx@yahoo.com

Should you wish to read my latest article on the following Companies and ETFs - - Just Click on the Symbol. You will be taken (Linked) to my most current article as well at my last 20 articles on that Company or ETF. (It is an excellent way to gain insight into the accuracy of my Forecasts and Opinions). Just so you know you will have access to over 600 articles where I share my Analytics. In addition I have recently published all 500 of the S&P 500 Large-Cap component Companies. And, 200 of each of the S&P 400 Mid-Cap and S&P 600 Small-Cap component Companies. I stay quite busy doing my homework for my Clients.

I hope you will find my "stuff" very well worth your Time and very Accurate.

Thanks. . .

SPY, QQQ, DIA, AAPL, ABX, AMZN, BAC, C, CAT, CSCO, CVX, D, DIS, F, FB, GE, GG, GOOG, HPQ, IBM, INTC, JNJ, JPM, KO, MSFT, PAAS, PFE, SBUX, SLW, SO, T, VZ, WMT, XOM, GLD, SLV, UCO.

Smile, Have Fun, "Investing Wisely,"

Dr. Steve

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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