Disney (Walt) Company (NYSE:DIS) -- Bi-Monthly Update
Disney looks strong fundamentally but is beginning to look just a bit Toppy technically. Mild Caution is warranted. I just completed my weekly study of all my High Profile Cyclical - Conglomerates / Entertainment. This is a study that is one more that enjoy because I have spent so much time and experience in the study of Companies like (DIS). Visiting with friend is fun. You may want to read my articles for DIS (just click) they will provide you with the exact history of my Forecasting Accuracy and much more.
My objective is to identify changing trends for my Forecasting Analytics. Simple stated, I want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this Sector and Industry Group.
A Special Note for Seniors & Retired Investors - Dividend Yield: 1.07%
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This Bi-Monthly Commentary on - Disney (Walt) Company (DIS) - covers all of my Indicators, both Fundamentally for Valuations and Technically for Momentum. There is much to cover to provide my best possible Forecast and Opinion.
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My Mission is to provide guidance and direction for conservatively providing consistent annual and superior profitable results for each Formal Recommendation I make to my Clients.
The Difference Between You and the Pros: Clearly you should be profitable and making money by owning Disney. Via my Emails, I have found that many Investors are struggling with other securities they are holding. I have offered direction to hundreds of Investors and can share with you why you are perhaps holding losing securities and provide a conservative and low risk remedy.
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Forecast & Opinion from my Study / Analytics:
Disney (Walt) Company and other Cyclical - Conglomerate / Entertainment Sector Companies are tracking well. Although (DIS) has been in a strong Up-Trend for well over a couple of years it is always an excellent contributor to my Analytics. My Forecasts were both Accurate and very Profitable over the past several years.
Forecasted Performance - - - Bullish Cycle - - Performing Well:
The below Table is for your review, questions and perhaps thoughts. If you are seeking, what I call "Pazazz Performance" - - please Email me to open a dialog.
Typically, "Pazazz Performance" does not come from Companies like (DIS). In good times this conservative giant does the job quite well along with paying a decent dividend.
Disney (Walt) Company (DIS)
Forecasted Bullish "Alerts"
At this time (DIS) remains in a Bullish mode and has produced an annualized profit - over the past few years of about +43%. (that's per year - not including dividends).
It, however is currently giving -- both Fundamental and Technical - - Bearish "Warnings" that if ignored will be costly.
Forecast Bullish "Alert" -- Initiated:
July, 2009 @ $22.00
Performance to Date: +214%
Click on the Green Arrow to read my Archive of my most recent and past Articles, on Disney - - including my on going Forecasts and Opinions.
Accurate and Profitable Forecasting when coupled to Appropriate and Highly Selective Recommendations can be provided for any security on the planet. Disney is currently and for a long time has been in Favor. These good times were NOT the CASE in past periods.
Thanks for your interest in my Forecasts - work / analytics . . .
My Current Forecast way back in late 2011 was very positive and it has paid off very well! (I will be more specific upon request).
If you own or are considering owning Cyclical - Conglomerate / Entertainment Companies, the securities are definitely on the strong side and remain Favorable. Disney (Walt) Company is currently strong both Fundamentally and Technically. I have reservations about the coming direction of the General Market, therefore I have placed it on an Initial Bearish Forecast - "Warning." (I can help if you want).
My Current Opinion is to HOLD in anticipation of taking profits.
Fundamentally (weighting - - 40%): My Analytics from my Fundamental Valuation play a vital role in profitable managing money. At this time my Valuations of (DIS) are positive but not euphoric. Plainly stated they are Improving and look quite positive and they are positive for the foreseeable future.
Technically (weighting - - 35%): Even with this fine Company, my Indicators are notably breaking down. It is currently selling near its highs of $69. The future direction of (DIS) must be monitored with care.
Consensus Opinion - ( weighting - - 25% ): My third pillar of Research is one that is ALWAYS distorted to the Positive by most all financial analysts. I believe that is because they are afraid of being Bearish. I Am NOT! My articles on "Reality" are supportive of this - have a look.
I will personally and promptly reply to any serious investor's inquiry as to my very cautious position for (DIS) !
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A Twenty Year Perspective of Disney (Walt) Company (DIS)
It has NOT always been like you are being told by so many who do not take the time to "Investing Wisely" and doing their homework well. Disney (Walt) Company (DIS) has taken some big hits over the years.
URL for (20-years of -(DIS): http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=DIS&p=W&yr=20&mn=0&dy=0&id=p26589695738&a=312377290
"Selectivity" is what I preach (along with Patience and Discipline) and is what separates the Average Investor and Mutual Funds from the profits that come with long-hours / hard work and "Selectivity." You might like to read my most-recent article on why I believe Selectivity is so critical for profiting in today's Marketplace. You might want to check out "Be Selective II - Just Click - - > http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/2066602-flash-update-be-selective-ii
Here are a number of the Component Companies / Peers in the Media / Entertainment Industry Group that I focus on rather frequently: DIS, TWX, CBS, VIAB, LMCA, PSO, VIA.
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