AT&T, Inc. (NYSE:T) -- Semi-Monthly Update
Seven weeks ago I said: "AT&T is looking vulnerable to a notable pull-back."
This week I suggest the "pull-back" is and was as Forecasted was accurate and a mini-recovery is in process. I suggest that this will be an excellent time to SELL. Seven months have transpired since the highs of $37. and that is not very positive. This week AT&T has turned down again. I do accept Email requests for guidance. Serious Investors only who would be open to discuss a professional relationship.
You may want to review my articles on T (just click) you will be provided with the exact history of the accuracy of my Forecasting / Formal Recommendations and much more.
My Performance for AT&T can be found below and is about 19% per year for the last 5 years.
My previous articles on T (just click) will provide you with the exact history of my Forecasting accuracy and much more.
Performance (my 5-Year Table) for Income Allocation Model Portfolios is available by clicking: Income Performance. I believe it accurately shares the rather positive results by first Forecasting and then making Investment Decisions. I hope you will agree.
Weekly I review of all my High Profile Utility /Telecom / Fixed Line Telecom. Companies - thoroughly! This is a study that pleases me to do because I have spent so much time and experience in the study of phone Companies like (T).
My objective is to identify changing trends for my Forecasting Analytics. Simple stated, I want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this Sector and Industry Group.
A Special Note for Seniors & Retired Investors - - Dividend Yield: 5.29%
I believe you folks deserve much better service and investment direction and guidance that either Wall Street or the Brokerage Community is / has been providing. Being a retired Asset Manager / Financial Analyst is a joy for me to assist you and meet your investment - needs, goals and objective. Peace of Mind for you is my mission. Let me know when I can offer you support.
Perhaps reading my support article will be of interest. Just Click - - > http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/2101922-income-investing-seniors-retirees-and-conservative-investors-deserve-better-service-as-well-as-profitable-direction-and-guidance
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This week's Commentary on - AT&T, Inc. (T) - covers all of my Indicators, both Fundamentally for Valuations and Technically for Momentum. There is much to cover to provide my best possible Forecast and Opinion.
Please connect with "My Focus Article." Click: http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/2057252-my-focus-article
Note: The Difference Between You and the Pros: Clearly you should be profitable and making money by owning AT&T. Via my Emails, I have found that many Investors are struggling with other securities they are holding. I have offered direction to hundreds of Investors and can share with you why you are perhaps holding losing securities and provide a conservative and low risk remedy.
My Mission is to provide guidance and direction for conservatively providing consistent annual and superior profitable results for each Formal Recommendation I make to my Clients.
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Forecast & Opinion from my Study / Analytics:
AT&T, Inc. and other Utility Sector Companies are tracking well. Although (T) was in a strong Rally -however, it is clearly Topping. Forecasting the Utes is easier than many Companies because they are both consistent and highly predictable.
Forecasted Performance - - - Bullish Cycle - - But Critically Weak:
Note: The below Table is for your review, questions and perhaps thoughts. If you are seeking to invest Wisely in my "Income - Asset Allocation Model" - - please Email me to open a dialog on how I go about providing super performance with a very low threshold of Risk.
AT&T, Inc. (T)
Forecasted Bullish "Alerts"
Ascending - BUT - You should have clearnly noted by now that I am Bearish on Telecom Services and Utilities. There are exceptions but (T) is not one of them.
At this time (T) remains in a Bullish mode and has produced an annualized profit - over the past few years of about +19%. (that's per year - not including dividends).
It, however is currently giving -- both Fundamental and Technical - - Bearish "Warnings" that if ignored will be costly.
Forecast Bullish "Alert" -- Initiated:
July, 2009 @ $18.00
Performance to Date: +94%
Click on the Green Arrow to read my Archive of my most recent and past Articles, on AT&T, Inc. - - including my on going Forecasts and Opinions.
Retired Investors MUST begin to recognize what the Stock Market has become. It no longer is providing a "sleep well at night" manner. Dividends are nice when the stock is appreciating and must be forgotten about when a stock is declining. Please see the below 20 year Chart of AT&T.
Thanks for your interest in my Forecasts - work / analytics . . .
My Current Forecast is not as bright as you are being told by Wall Street and many Bloggers! (I will be more specific upon request). If you own or are considering owning Telecom Companies, the securities are definitely a mixed bag of good and not so good! AT&T, Inc. is currently strong Technically but I have reservations about my Fundamental Valuation, there I have placed it on an Initial Bearish Forecast - "Warning."
My Current Opinion is to HOLD for Now in close anticipation of taking profits - perhaps VERY SOON.
Fundamentally - ( weighting - - 40% ): My Analytics (weighting 40%) for my Fundamental Valuation play a vital role in profitable managing money. At this time my Valuations of (T) are not as positive at perhaps you are being told by other sources. Plainly stated they are Improving and then Descending again, but not bad. Still - this does not make for a positive fundamental valuation of any Company.
Technically - ( weighting - - 35%): Even with this fine Company, my Indicators are notably breaking down. It is selling near its highs again, that may be an opportunity to sell - - selling at $34. Be Very Careful!
Consensus Opinion - ( weighting - - 25% ): My third pillar of Research is one that is ALWAYS distorted to the Positive by most all financial analysts. That's because they are afraid of being Bearish. I Am NOT! My articles on "Reality" are supportive of the below 20 year Chart.
I will personally and promptly reply to any serious investor's inquiry as to my very cautious position for (T) !
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A Twenty Year Perspective of AT&T, Inc. (T)
It has NOT always been like you are being told by so many who do not take the time to "Invest Wisely" and do their homework well. AT&T, Inc. (T) has taken some big hits over the years.
URL for (20-years of -(T): http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=T&p=W&yr=20&mn=0&dy=0&id=p98681223257&a=305205554
"Selectivity" is what I preach (along with Patience and Discipline) and is what separates the Average Investor and Mutual Funds from the profits that come with long-hours / hard work and "Selectivity." You might like to read my most-recent article on why I believe Selectivity is so critical for profiting in today's Marketplace. You might want to check out "Be Selective II - Just Click - - > http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/2066602-flash-update-be-selective-ii
Here are a number of the Component Companies / Peers in the Utility /Telecom / Fixed Line Telecom Industry Group that I focus on rather frequently: T, S, VZ, OIBR, LVLT, VIV, TEF, VG, CBB, BCE, VIP.
If I can be of help just Email me. Serious Investors Only - Please!
Should you wish to read my latest article on the following Companies and ETFs - - Just Click on the Symbol. You will be taken (Linked) to my most current article as well at my last 20 articles on that Company or ETF. (It is an excellent way to gain insight into the accuracy of my Forecasts and Opinions). Just so you know you will have access to over 600 articles where I share my Analytics. In addition I have recently published all 500 of the S&P 500 Large-Cap component Companies. And, 200 of each of the S&P 400 Mid-Cap and S&P 600 Small-Cap component Companies. I stay quite busy doing my homework for my Clients.
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Thanks. . .
Smile, Have Fun, "Investing Wisely,"