DuPont Company (DD) -- Semi-Monthly Update
DuPont clearly is one of the leading Dow 30 - Industrials composite Companies in this time frame. It is on a Strong Hold but my Indicators are breaking down. The current rally is showing strength, but I have my longer-term fundamental and technical doubts about holding for the long-term.
My previous articles on DD (just click) will provide you with the exact history of my Forecasting and its accuracy.
My Performance for DuPont can be found below and is about 24% per year for the past nine months. A very large profit was taken in 2011.
My weekly study of all my High Profile Basic Materials / Chemicals is complete and there is little support for notably higher prices in the making. This is a study that like because I have spent so many years in gaining experience in the study of Tech. Companies like (DD).
My objective is to identify changing trends for my Forecasting Analytics. Simple stated, I want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this Sector and Industry Group.
A Special Note for Seniors & Retired Investors - Dividend Yield: 2.84%
I believe you folks deserve much better service and investment direction and guidance that either Wall Street or the Brokerage Community is / has been providing. Being a retired Asset Manager / Financial Analyst is a joy for me to assist you and meet your investment - needs, goals and objective. Peace of Mind for you is my mission. Let me know when I can offer you support. Perhaps reading my support article will be of interest. Just Click - - > https://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/2101922-income-investing-seniors-retirees-and-conservative-investors-deserve-better-service-as-well-as-profitable-direction-and-guidance
This week's Commentary on - Dupont Company (DD) - covers all of my Indicators, both Fundamentally for Valuations and Technically for Momentum. There is much to cover to provide my best possible Forecast and Opinion.
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Note: The Difference Between You and the Pros: Clearly you should be profitable and making money by owning Dupont. Via my Emails, I have found that many Investors are struggling with other securities they are holding. I have offered direction to hundreds of Investors and can share with you why you are perhaps holding losing securities and provide a conservative and low risk remedy.
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Forecast & Opinion from my Study / Analytics:
Dupont Company and other Basic Materials Sector Companies are tracking well. Although (DD) is in a recovering Rally and not doing what I have expected. The Company has supported my Forecasts for many years, so be prudent and careful at this time.
Forecast w/ Performance:
Note: The below Table is for your review, questions and perhaps thoughts. If you are seeking to "Invest Wisely" in my "Growth & Income - Asset Allocation Model" - - please Email me to open a dialog on how I go about providing super performance with a very low threshold of Risk.
Dupont Company (DD) | ||
Forecasted Bullish "Alerts" |
| In June 2009 I turned Bullish on DuPont and that Forecast took profits of 123% in July 2011. I held cash until April 2013 and am holding to date. At this time (DD) remains in a rather new Bullish mode and has produced a profit for this short period of about +24%. (that's per year - not including dividends). It, however is currently giving -- both Fundamental and Technical - - Bearish "Warnings" that if ignored will be costly. |
| Forecast Bullish "Alert" -- Initiated: April, 2013 @ $51.00 Performance to Date: +24% | ||
| Click on the Green Arrow to read my Archive of my most recent and past Articles, on Dupont - - including my on going Forecasts and Opinions. Or : seekingalpha.com/author/steven-bauer/ins.../dd Accurate and Profitable Forecasting when coupled with Appropriate Highly Selective Recommendations can be performed on any security on the planet, even the ones in your portfolio and giants like Dupont Company. Thanks for your interest in my Forecasts - work / analytics . . . | ||
Ascending - AND - I am Impressed and Cautious.My Current Forecast is not as bright as you may think! (I will be more specific upon request).
If you own or are considering owning Chemical Companies, the securities have in recent month become both favorable and un-favorable. That is often a good indicators that further upside is waning. Dupont Company is currently relatively strong Technically but I have reservations about my Fundamental Valuation, therefore, I have placed it on an Initial Bearish Forecast - "Warning."
My Current Opinion is to HOLD in anticipation of taking profits.
Fundamentally - ( weighting - - 40% ): My Analytics for my Fundamental Valuation play a vital role in profitable managing money. At this time my Valuations of (DD) are not as positive at perhaps you are being told by other sources. Plainly stated they are going down-hill. This does not make for a positive fundamental valuation of any Company for a long-term Hold.
Technically - ( weighting - - 35%): Even with this fine Company, my Indicators are notably breaking down. It is only currently on its highs of $63. This current rally (October 2012 to Date) will likely be coming to an end in the coming few months or less.
Consensus Opinion - ( weighting - - 25% ): My third pillar of Research is one that is ALWAYS distorted to the Positive by most all financial analysts. That's because they are afraid of being Bearish. I Am NOT! My articles on "Reality" are supportive of the below 20 year Chart.
I will personally and promptly reply to any serious investor's inquiry as to my very cautious position for (DD) !
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A Twenty Year Perspective of Dupont Company (DD)
It has NOT always been like you are being told by so many who do not take the time to Invest Wisely. Dupont Company (DD) has taken some big hits over the years. Have a look.
URL for (20-years of -(DD): http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=DD&p=W&yr=20&mn=0&dy=0&id=p75871129104&a=330115213
Selectivity
Here are a number of the Component Companies / Peers in the Chemical Industry Group that I focus on rather frequently: DD, DOW, LYB, HUN, CE, PX, EMN.
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