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Steven Bauer
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My Biography: In 2001, I retired and now permanently reside in Mexico. After 5 years of managing my own affairs, I resumed my career in 2007 as a financial analyst / asset manager. My career began while in University as a – manual chartist for some wealthy Investors, who had a fancy math formula... More
My blog:
Investing Wisely
  • Google, Inc. (GOOG) -- Semi-Monthly Update 0 comments
    Jan 6, 2014 12:20 PM | about stocks: GOOG, FB, BIDU, YHOO, LNKD, YNDX, TRIP, AKAM, GRPN, IACI, YOKU, AOL, AWAY, YELP, SOHU

    Google, Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG) -- Semi-Monthly Update

    Google once again is hitting new highs. That is nothing to set off alarms but I suggest holding a tight reign. Profit taking is not Forecast for the foreseeable future. However, Caution is warranted.

    You may want to review my articles on GOOG (just click) you will be provided with the exact history of the accuracy of my Forecasting / Formal Recommendations and much more.

    Performance (my 5-Year Table) for Google, Inc. is available by clicking: (GOOG) . The below 45% per year profit I have averaged for several years - Ain't Bad! I treat Google just like any other Company, and my performance is an excellent credential that I will not hesitate to move my Clients to Cash when my Forecast dictates.

    My weekly study of all my High Profile Technology / Internet Companies says Caution is worth the effort. This is a study that I enjoy very much and is a treat for me because I have so much time and experience in the study of Companies like (GOOG).

    My objective is to identify changing trends for my Forecasting Analytics. Simple stated, I want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this Sector and Industry Group.

    This week's Commentary on - Google, Inc. (GOOG) - covers all of my Indicators, both Fundamentally for Valuations and Technically for Momentum.

    Growth Investors - As you know Google does not pay a Dividend

    My Mission is to provide guidance and direction for conservatively providing consistent annual and superior profitable results for each Formal Recommendation I make to my Clients.

    Note: The Difference Between You and the Pros: Clearly you should be profitable and making money by owning Google. Via my Emails, I have found that many Investors are struggling with other securities they are holding. I have offered direction to hundreds of Investors and can share with you why you are perhaps holding losing securities and provide a conservative and low risk remedy.

    - - -

    Forecast & Opinion from my Study / Analytics:

    Google, Inc. and other Internet Sector Companies are tracking well. Although Google, Inc. is in a strong Rally it is always an excellent contributor to my Analytics. My Forecast have been solid for almost 5 years now and that is a good feeling………

    Forecast w/ Performance:

    Note: The below Table is for your review, questions and perhaps thoughts. If you are seeking to "Invest Wisely" in my "Growth - Asset Allocation Model" - - please Email me to open a dialog on how I go about providing super performance with a very low threshold of Risk.

    Google, Inc. (GOOG)

    Forecasted Bullish "Alerts"

    Ascending - No End in Sight.

    At this time (GOOG) remains in a Bullish mode and has produced an annualized profit - over the past few years of about +45%. (that's per year - not including dividends).

    It, however is currently giving -- both Fundamental and Technical - - Bearish "Warnings" that if ignored will be costly.

    Forecast Bullish "Alert" -- Initiated:

    March, 2009 @ $312.00

    Performance to Date: +225%

     

    Click on the Green Arrow to read my Archive of my most recent and past Articles, on Google, Inc. - - including my on going Forecasts and Opinions.

    Or : seekingalpha.com/author/steven-bauer/ins.../goog

    Google has been easy to accurately Forecast for a very long time now. There are many Companies like (GOOG) that can and do produce superior profits. The risk of owning Companies are in a Top or Favorable category is no greater than owning the Big Blue / Conservative ones! I can prove this to you if you are interested.

    Thanks for your interest in my Forecasts - work / analytics . . .

    My Current Forecast is not as bright as you may think ! It is not all the bad either !

    If you own or are considering owning Internet Companies, the securities are a mixed bag. Google, Inc. is currently strong Technically but I have reservations about my Fundamental Valuations, therefore I have placed it on an Initial (very weak) Bearish Forecast - "Warning."

    My Current Opinion is Hold with Caution !

    Fundamentally - ( weighting - - 40% ), my Valuations remain strong and positive with solid future upside projections. The problem is my Valuations are on the decline, first back up a bit and then back down or sideways. This translates into just one word I used above - "Caution."

    Technically - ( weighting - - 35% ), my Indicators are clearly breaking down. A re-bound rally is in process - - the strength of which is excellent. Google did not move very well for almost three years (2010 thru mid 2012). Looking back helps in looking forward. Google is selling near its highs of $1,109.

    Consensus Opinion - ( weighting - - 25% ): My third pillar of Research is one that is ALWAYS distorted to the Positive by most all financial analysts. That's because they are afraid of being Bearish. I Am NOT! My articles on "Reality" are supportive of the below 20 year Chart.

    I will personally and promptly reply to any serious investor's inquiry as to my very cautious position for (GOOG) !

    - - -

    A Twenty Year Perspective of Google, Inc. (GOOG)

    It has NOT always been like you are being told by so many who do not take the time to do their homework and "Invest Wisely." Google, Inc. (GOOG), like most all other quality Companies, has taken some big hits over the years.

    URL for (20-years of) GOOG: http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GOOG&p=W&yr=20&mn=0&dy=0&id=p25179194005&a=300758179

    Selectivity

    "Selectivity" is what I preach (along with Discipline and Patience) and is what separates the Average Investor and Mutual Funds from the profits that come with long-hours / hard work and "Selectivity."

    Here are a number of the Component Companies / Peers in the Internet Industry Group that I focus on: GOOG, FB, BIDU, YHOO, LNKD, YNDX, TRIP, AKAM, GRPN, IACI, YOKU, AOL, AWAY, YELP, SOHU.

    For a Daily Input and Deeper View of my Work / Analytics you might want to Click, and scroll down to my "Thumb-Nail" articles:

    Personal Blog. I post every day. Just Click - - > http://investingwisely-rotation.blogspot.mx/?spref=tw

    If I can be of help just Email me. Serious Investors Only - Please!

    senorstevedrmx@yahoo.com

    Should you wish to read my latest article on the following Companies and ETFs - - Just Click on the Symbol. You will be taken (Linked) to my most current article as well at my last 20 articles on that Company or ETF. (It is an excellent way to gain insight into the accuracy of my Forecasts and Opinions).

    SPY, QQQ, DIA, AAPL, ABX, AMZN, BAC, C, CAT, CSCO, CVX, D, DIS, F, FB, GE, GG, GOOG, HPQ, IBM, INTC, JNJ, JPM, KO, MSFT, PAAS, PFE, SBUX, SLW, SO, T, VZ, WMT, XOM, GLD, SLV, UCO.

    I hope you will find my "stuff" very well worth your Time and very Accurate.

    Thanks. . .

    Smile, Have Fun, "Investing Wisely,"

    Dr. Steve

    Stocks: GOOG, FB, BIDU, YHOO, LNKD, YNDX, TRIP, AKAM, GRPN, IACI, YOKU, AOL, AWAY, YELP, SOHU
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