Steven Bauer's  Instablog

Steven Bauer
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My Biography: In 2001, I retired and now permanently reside in Mexico. After 5 years of managing my own affairs, I resumed my career in 2007 as a financial analyst / asset manager. My career began while in University as a – manual chartist for some wealthy Investors, who had a fancy math formula... More
My blog:
Investing Wisely
  • Disney (Walt) Company – It Ain't No Mickey Mouse Company! 0 comments
    Jan 14, 2014 12:16 PM | about stocks: DIS, TWX, CBS, VIAB, LMCA, PSO, VIA

    Disney (Walt) Company - It Ain't No Mickey Mouse Company!

    Disney (NYSE:DIS) is an outstanding and leading Dow 30 - Industrials composite Company. It is on a Strong Hold but my Indicators are breaking down. No alarms yet.

    Disney looks strong fundamentally but is beginning to look just a bit Toppy technically speaking. Mild Caution is warranted. I just completed my weekly study of all my High Profile Cyclical - Conglomerates / Entertainment.

    My previous articles on DIS (just click) will provide you with the exact history of my Forecasting and its accuracy.

    My Performance for Disney can be found with detail in the table below and is well over 47% per year for the last 5 years.

    My objective is to identify changing trends for my Forecasting Analytics. Simple stated, I want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this Sector and Industry Group.

    A Special Note for Seniors & Retired Investors - Dividend Yield: 1.17% This is considered a "low dividend" but the bottom line should be your objective so long as the company is considered to be - low risk.

    Forecast w/ Performance:

    Note: The below Table is for your review, questions and perhaps thoughts. If you would like to "Invest Wisely" in my "Growth & Income Asset Allocation Model," please email me to open a dialog on how I go about providing superior performance with a very low threshold of risk.

    (click to enlarge)

    My current forecast remains bright, however, as a precaution, it is on my Initial Bearish Forecast - "Warning."! (I will be more specific upon your email request).

    My current opinion is to hold in anticipation of taking profits. This may be at even higher prices, but there will be an end and time to sell, but that is not currently in my forecast. That is a balancing of my below three (weighted) pillars of research.

    Fundamentally - ( weighting - - 40% ): My Analytics for my fundamental valuation play a vital role in profitable managing money. Earnings continue to be relatively strong.

    Technically - ( weighting - - 35%): Within this outstanding company, my indicators remain strong. It is on its highs of $74.

    Consensus Opinion - ( weighting - - 25% ): My third pillar of research is one that is always distorted to the positive by most all financial analysts. That's because they are afraid of being bearish. I am not! My articles on "reality" are supportive of the below 20 year Chart.

    I will personally and promptly reply to any serious investor's inquiry as to my very cautious position for DIS !

    A Twenty Year Perspective of Disney (Walt) Company

    Disney has taken some big hits over the years!

    URL for (20-years of -(DIS):

    "Selectivity" is what I preach (along with discipline and patience) and is what separates the average investor and mutual funds from the profits that come with long-hours / hard work and "selectivity."

    Here are a number of the Component Companies / Peers in the Major Bank Industry Group that I focus on rather frequently if you wish to follow me: (DIS), (NYSE:TWX), (NYSE:CBS), (NASDAQ:VIAB), (NASDAQ:LMCA), (NYSE:PSO), (NASDAQ:VIA). And, more . . .

    If you are seeking guidance or direction, please feel free to email me. My personal blog or site is: Investing Wisely.

    Smile, Have Fun, "Investing Wisely,"

    Dr. Steve


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