It's Thursday - Forecasting the U.S. Stock Market - January 16th.
My logo for Over 50 Years is: "Investing Wisely."
I believe there are always many, many (too many!) road-signs often offering you - Very Inaccurate Information about the direction of the Stock Market. I work very hard to give you "Accurate Forecasting and Direction" - - for the General Market, Sectors, Industry Groups, Commodities and ETFs - that you can use profitable by "Investing Wisely."
I hope you will permit me to assist you with guidance and direction in improving your future "Probabilities for Profit."
Please consider reading my article: http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/2406472-my-long-term-performance-record
I also invite you to ask me questions about my Methodology of "Investing Wisely" via my Email address below.
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The General U.S. Stock Market - - Updated
Clearly the General Market remains Bullish and is making New Highs. That is what it will likely continue doing just for a short while longer.
At this time I am holding just a few - Select Companies and ETFs. I am increasing my Cash Holdings as it appears to be prudent to do so. My focus is on - - the on going and well over-due Bullish Topping that is going on "INTERNALLY" in the Marketplace.
A new Bearish Inflection Point or if you prefer a new / meaningful Bearish Cycle and perhaps another monster Bear Market is definitely in the making. I hope you will not be caught Holding your Companies and ETFs when you would have preferred (in hind-sight) to have been Holding Cash. I remind you that "Greed" is an expensive word.
I maintain very accurate Primary Fundamental - Valuation and Technical - Analysis Indicators for the Short ( 30 days to 60 days ) and Intermediate - Term ( 60 days to 4 months ). The supportive and Secondary Indicators I use are telling a Bearish story that is never seen or talked about with the investing public. Secondary Indicators are always Near & Short - Term.
Having these two time-frames handled and under control through my accurate Forecasting the - - Long and Very Long - Term Cycles of the General Market - - simple fall into place. (This statement is also quite applicable to Sectors / Industry Groups / Commodities / Companies and ETFs).
In my work / analytics there has been very little convincing evidence (Economically or Fundamentally) that the current Primary (Bull Market) Rally and certainly future Secondary Rallies will be sustained. However, the U.S. Government and Wall Street keep "pumping sunshine" (cheap money) and that will continue to lead you into severe disappointment or worse in the coming years.
Remember, - EVERY - Bullish Cycle is followed by a Bearish Cycle, be it Short-Term or Long-Term. I hope you have such a perspective.
You May be Interested
I update and publish each Saturday a Chart in StockCharts - PublicList a proprietary General Market Update that provides me prospective between the three Indices that control the Marketplace. This is the seldom used formula that can make you consistent profits if you will follow them both individually and collectively. They are: a) Primary Indices ( Dow 30 Industrials / Nasdaq Composite, Etc. ) ; b) My proprietary Inflection Point Count which is very - broad based ; c) The Commodity Index. You can view this excellent Indicator at: http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$INDU&p=W&yr=1&mn=0&dy=0&id=p69359735342&a=270034212
I hope you Stay Tuned - my "stuff " it has been very accurate for over 50 years . . .
Note: For a daily update and deeper view of my work / analytics you might want to click,
and scroll down to my "Thumb-Nail" articles on my personal blog.
Should you have interest in my professional guidance and direction, please Email Me with your questions or thoughts: firstname.lastname@example.org.
Smile, Have Fun, Investing Wisely,