Seeking Alpha

Steven Bauer's  Instablog

Steven Bauer
Send Message
My Biography: In 2001, I retired and now permanently reside in Mexico. After 5 years of managing my own affairs, I resumed my career in 2007 as a financial analyst / asset manager. My career began while in University as a – manual chartist for some wealthy Investors, who had a fancy math formula... More
My blog:
Investing Wisely
  • Dominion Resources, Inc. - Utilities On At A Point Of Extreme Caution! 0 comments
    Jan 17, 2014 10:14 AM | about stocks: D, EXC, SO, FE, NRG, AEP, AES, CNP, PPL, DUK, CPN, CMS, XEL, PCG, CIG, ETR, TE, PEG, NVE, NEE, ED, EIX, NI, POM, AEE, NU, WEC, DTE

    Dominion Resources, Inc. - Utilities on at a Point of Extreme Caution!

    Dominion Resources looks better on the Charts than on or within its basic fundamentals. My Valuations are not at all impressive. Up is Up and that cannot be disputed. A very possible Top at $67 has been made. The next rally is not yet Forecast but will be very interesting to monitor on a daily basis.

    My previous articles on D (just click) will provide you with the exact history of my Forecasting accuracy and much more.

    My Performance (my 5-Year Table) for Income Allocation Model Portfolios is available by clicking: Income Performance. I believe it accurately shares the rather positive results by first Forecasting and then making Investment Decisions. I hope you will agree.

    My weekly study of all my High Profile Utilities / Conventional Electricity - - Indexes, Companies and ETFs was interesting and suggests that the Utility Sector is deteriorating. This is a very important part of my forecasting Methodology of "Investing Wisely."

    My management objective is to identify changing trends for my Forecasting Analytics. Simple stated, I want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this Sector and Industry Group.

    A Special Note for Seniors & Retired Investors - Dividend Yield for (NYSE:D): 3.38%

    I believe you folks deserve much better service and investment direction and guidance that either Wall Street or the Brokerage Community is / has been providing. Being a retired Asset Manager / Financial Analyst is a joy for me to assist you and meet your investment - needs, goals and objective.

    Income Investors

    My Mission is to provide guidance and direction for conservatively providing consistent annual and superior profitable results for each Formal Recommendation I make to my Clients.

    Note: The Difference Between You and the Pros: Clearly you should be profitable and making money by owning Dominion Resources. Via my Emails, I have found that many Investors are struggling with other securities they are holding. I have offered direction to hundreds of Investors and can share with you why you are perhaps holding losing securities and provide a conservative and low risk remedy.

    - - -

    Forecast w/ Performance:

    Dominion Resources, Inc. and other Utility Sector Companies are tracking well. Although (D) is in a strong Rally (however, it is clearly Topping) as has the Utility Sector. It is always an excellent contributor to the accuracy of my Analytics.

    Note: The below Table is for your review, questions and perhaps thoughts. If you are seeking to "Invest Wisely" in my "Income - Asset Allocation Model" - - please Email me to open a dialog on how I go about providing super performance with a very low threshold of Risk.

    (click to enlarge)

    My Current Forecast is not as bright as you may think! (I will be more specific upon request).

    If you own or are considering owning Electric Power Companies, the securities are definitely a mixed bag. Dominion Resources, Inc. is currently strong Technically but I have reservations about my Fundamental Valuation, therefore I have placed it on an Initial Bearish Forecast - "Warning."

    My Current Opinion is to HOLD for Now

    Fundamentally - ( weighting - - 40% ): My Analytics (weighting) for my Fundamental Valuation play a vital role in profitable managing money. At this time my Valuations of (D) are not as positive as perhaps you are being told by other sources that we both read. Plainly stated they are seriously declining for the foreseeable future. This does not make for a positive fundamental valuation of any Company.

    Technically - ( weighting - - 35% ): Even with this fine Company, my Indicators are notably breaking down. It is off of its highs of $67. selling for $66. I believe it is in the early stage of Topping.

    Consensus Opinion - ( weighting - - 25% ): My third pillar of Research is one that is ALWAYS distorted to the Positive by most all financial analysts. That's because they are afraid of being Bearish. I Am NOT! My articles on "Reality" are supportive of the below 20 year Chart.

    I will personally and promptly reply to any serious investor's inquiry as to my very cautious position for (D) !

    A Twenty Year Perspective of Dominion Resources, Inc. (D)

    It has NOT always been like you are being told by so many who do not take the time to "Investing Wisely" and do their homework well. Dominion Resources, Inc. (D) has taken some big hits over the years.

    URL for (20-years of - (D): http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=D&p=W&yr=20&mn=0&dy=0&id=p60110174774&a=308807812

    Selectivity

    "Selectivity" is what I preach (along with Patience and Discipline) and is what separates the Average Investor and Mutual Funds from the profits that come with long-hours / hard work and "Selectivity."

    Here are a number of the Component Companies / Peers in the Conventional Electricity Industry Group that I focus on rather frequently: (D), (NYSE:EXC), (NYSE:SO), (NYSE:FE), (NYSE:NRG), (NYSE:AEP), (NYSE:AES), (NYSE:CNP), (NYSE:PPL), (NYSE:DUK), (NYSE:CPN), (NYSE:CMS), (NYSE:XEL), (NYSE:PCG), (NYSE:CIG), (NYSE:ETR), (NYSE:TE), (NYSE:PEG), (NYSE:NVE), (NYSE:NEE), (NYSE:ED), (NYSE:EIX), (NYSE:NI), (NYSE:POM), (NYSE:AEE), (NYSE:NU), (NYSE:WEC), (NYSE:DTE).

    For a Daily Input and Deeper View of my Work / Analytics you might want to Click, and scroll down to my "Thumb-Nail" articles:

    Personal Blog. I post every day. Just Click - - > http://investingwisely-rotation.blogspot.mx/?spref=tw

    If I can be of help with guidance and direction of your portfolio(s) just Email me. Serious Investors Only - Please!

    senorstevedrmx@yahoo.com

    Smile, Have Fun, "Investing Wisely,"

    Dr. Steve

    D, EXC, SO, FE, NRG, AEP, AES, CNP, PPL, DUK, CPN, CMS, XEL, PCG, CIG, ETR, TE, PEG, NVE, NEE, ED, EIX, NI, POM, AEE, NU, WEC, DTE

    Stocks: D, EXC, SO, FE, NRG, AEP, AES, CNP, PPL, DUK, CPN, CMS, XEL, PCG, CIG, ETR, TE, PEG, NVE, NEE, ED, EIX, NI, POM, AEE, NU, WEC, DTE
Back To Steven Bauer's Instablog HomePage »

Instablogs are blogs which are instantly set up and networked within the Seeking Alpha community. Instablog posts are not selected, edited or screened by Seeking Alpha editors, in contrast to contributors' articles.

Comments (0)
Track new comments
Be the first to comment
Full index of posts »
Latest Followers

StockTalks

More »

Latest Comments


Instablogs are Seeking Alpha's free blogging platform customized for finance, with instant set up and exposure to millions of readers interested in the financial markets. Publish your own instablog in minutes.