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Exxon Mobil Corp. – Big Oil Is In Serious Trouble And Nobody Acknowledges It

|Includes:BAK, BP, CVX, E, OIL, OLO, PTR, PZE, RDS.A, SSL, STO, TOT, UCO, Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM), YPF

Exxon Mobil Corp. - Big Oil is in Serious Trouble and Nobody Acknowledges It

Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM) continues to be one of the leading Dow 30 - Industrials composite Companies. It doesn't deserve Hold, because my Fundamental Indicators have been and are breaking down. Price rules and that too is becoming an issue with me.

My previously written articles on XOM (just click) provide you the history of my forecasting, its accuracy and support for my performance. For over 50 years my management objective is to identify changing trends for my forecasting analytics. I simple want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this company and its industry peers.

My Performance for Exxon Mobil can be found in the below table and is over 18% per year for the last 4 years.

My management objective is to identify changing trends for my forecasting analytics. Simple stated, I want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this sector and industry group.

A Special Note for Seniors & Retired Investors - Dividend Yield: 2.73%

This week's commentary on Exxon Mobil Corp. covers all of my indicators, both fundamentally for valuations and technically for momentum. Despite its relatively low dividend it can be a very safe and productive company for Income Investors. There is always much to cover to provide my best possible forecast and opinion.

Income and Growth Investors

My Mission is to provide guidance and direction for conservatively providing consistent annual and superior profitable results for each Formal Recommendation I make to my Clients.

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Forecast & Opinion from my Study / Analytics:

Exxon Mobil Corp.and other Energy - Oil / Gas Sector Companies and ETFs are tracking well. Although Exxon Mobil Corp. has been in a Bullish mode since early 2009.

Forecast w/ Performance:

Note: The below Table is for your review, questions and perhaps thoughts. If you would like to "Invest Wisely" in my "Income &Growth Asset Allocation Model," please email me to open a dialog on how I go about providing superior performance with a very low threshold of risk.

(click to enlarge)Click to enlarge

My current forecast is not as bright as you are perhaps being advised! (I will be more specific upon your email request).

If you own or are considering owning Exxon Mobil or oil & gas companies, the securities are becoming a mixed, not a very positive bag. Exxon Mobil Corp. is currently just Ok technically, but I have reservations about my fundamental valuation. It is on my Initial Bearish Forecast - "Warning List."

That means: I am cautiously and continuing to HOLD - Nike, Inc. since having sent Formal Recommendations in May 2009 to my Clients -- the Public never sees my timely Email communications to my Clients until well after my - Emailing those Formal Recommendations - - - I do respond to prospective Client's - Questions and Thoughts. )

My current opinion is to hold in anticipation of taking profits. This may be at even higher prices, but there will be an end and time to sell, but that is not currently in my forecast. That is a balancing of my below three (weighted) pillars of research.

Fundamentally - ( weighting - - 40% ): My Analytics for my fundamental valuation play a vital role in profitable managing money. Earnings continue to be relatively strong.

Technically - ( weighting - - 35%): Within this outstanding company, my indicators remain questionable. It is making new highs but that won't last. Highs are $102, is selling for $92.

Consensus Opinion - ( weighting - - 25% ): My third pillar of research is one that is always distorted to the positive by most all financial analysts. That's because they are afraid of being bearish. I am not! My articles on "reality" are supportive of the below 20 year Chart.

I will personally and promptly reply to any serious investor's inquiry as to my very cautious position for XOM !

A Twenty Year Perspective of Exxon Mobil Corp.

Exxon Mobil Corp. has taken some big hits over the years!

URL for (20-years of -(XOM): http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=XOM&p=W&yr=20&mn=0&dy=0&id=p83892495507&a=305205577

"Selectivity" is what I preach (along with discipline and patience) and is what separates the average investor and mutual funds from the profits that come with long-hours / hard work and "selectivity."

Here are a number of the Component Companies / Peers in the Exxon Mobil Industry Group that I focus on rather frequently if you wish to follow me: (XOM), (NYSEARCA:OLO), (NYSEARCA:OIL), (XOM), (NYSE:CVX), (NYSE:BP), (NYSE:RDS.A), (NYSE:STO), (NYSE:TOT), (NYSE:YPF), (NYSE:E), (NYSE:BAK), (NYSE:SSL), (NYSE:PTR), (NYSE:PZE). And, more . . .

If you are seeking guidance or direction, please feel free to email me. My personal blog or site is: Investing Wisely.

Smile, Have Fun, "Investing Wisely,"

Dr. Steve

XOM, UCO, OLO, OIL, CVX, BP, RDS.A, STO, TOT, YPF, E, BAK, SSL, PTR, PZE

Stocks: XOM, UCO, OLO, OIL, CVX, BP, RDS.A, STO, TOT, YPF, E, BAK, SSL, PTR, PZE