DuPont Company -- Strong and Charging but for How Long?
DuPont clearly is one of the leading Dow 30 - Industrials composite Companies in this time frame. It is on a Strong Hold but my Indicators are breaking down. The current rally is showing strength, but I have my longer-term fundamental and technical doubts about holding for the long-term.
My previously written articles on DD (just click) provide you the history of my forecasting, its accuracy and support for my performance. For over 50 years my management objective is to identify changing trends for my forecasting analytics. I simple want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this company and its industry peers.
My Performance for DuPont can be found below and is about 38% per year for the past five years.
My weekly study of all my High Profile Basic Materials / Chemicals is complete and there is little support for notably higher prices in the making.
My management objective is to identify changing trends for my Forecasting Analytics. Simple stated, I want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this Sector and Industry Group.
A Special Note for Seniors & Retired Investors - Dividend Yield: 2.93%
I believe you folks deserve much better service and investment direction and guidance that either Wall Street or the Brokerage Community is / has been providing. Being a retired Asset Manager / Financial Analyst is a joy for me to assist you and meet your investment - needs, goals and objective. Peace of Mind for you is my mission.
Forecast w/ 5 Year Performance
Dupont Company and other Basic Materials Sector Companies are tracking well. Although (NYSE:DD) is in a recovering Rally and not doing what I have expected. The Company has supported my Forecasts for many years, so be prudent and careful at this time.
Note: The below Table is for your review, questions and perhaps thoughts. If you are seeking to "Invest Wisely" in my "Income & Growth - Asset Allocation Model" - - please Email me to open a dialog on how I go about providing super performance with a very low threshold of Risk.
My Current Forecast is not as bright as you may think! (I will be more specific upon request).
If you own or are considering owning Chemical Companies, the securities have in recent month become both favorable and un-favorable. That is often a good indicator that further upside is waning. Dupont Company is currently relatively strong Technically but I have reservations about my Fundamental Valuation, therefore, I have placed it on an Initial Bearish Forecast - "Warning."
My Current Opinion is to HOLD in anticipation of taking profits.
Fundamentally - ( weighting - - 40% ): My Analytics for my Fundamental Valuation play a vital role in profitable managing money. At this time my Valuations of (DD) are not as positive at perhaps you are being told by other sources. Plainly stated they are going down-hill. This does not make for a positive fundamental valuation of any Company for a long-term Hold.
Technically - ( weighting - - 35%): Even with this fine Company, my Indicators are notably breaking down. It is only currently near its highs of $64. selling for $60. This current rally (October 2012 to Date) will likely be coming to an end in the coming few months or less.
Consensus Opinion - ( weighting - - 25% ): My third pillar of Research is one that is ALWAYS distorted to the Positive by most all financial analysts. That's because they are afraid of being Bearish. I Am NOT! My articles on "Reality" are supportive of the below 20 year Chart.
I will personally and promptly reply to any serious investor's inquiry as to my very cautious position for (DD) !
A Twenty Year Perspective of Dupont Company (DD)
It has NOT always been like you are being told by so many who do not take the time to Invest Wisely. Dupont Company (DD) has taken some big hits over the years. Have a look.
URL for (20-years of -(DD): http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=DD&p=W&yr=20&mn=0&dy=0&id=p75871129104&a=330115213
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DD, DOW, LYB, HUN, CE, PX, EMN