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Steven Bauer
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My Biography: In 2001, I retired and now permanently reside in Mexico. After 5 years of managing my own affairs, I resumed my career in 2007 as a financial analyst / asset manager. My career began while in University as a – manual chartist for some wealthy Investors, who had a fancy math formula... More
My blog:
Investing Wisely
  • It's Sunday - General Market - Weekly Wrap & Forward Thoughts - February 9th. 1 comment
    Feb 9, 2014 8:50 AM | about stocks: SPY, QQQ, DIA

    It's Sunday - General Market - Weekly Wrap & Forward Thoughts - February 9th.

    My logo for Over 50 Years is: "Investing Wisely."

    This past week is in the books, and the focus must be - - to look forward to - seeking future profits. As you know and read all too often - looking back offers perspective but hindsight can help but never put profits into your portfolio. My Forecasting - Can and Does! Within my daily analytics it is what provides clarity as to where the General Market is going (direction - up or down) and hence the sorting of the many security choices you have to ponder. Yes, it is a matter of choices and that is what my articles, forecasts, and Client Recommendations is all about.

    This graphic tells the story very clearly, and yes it is a bit difficult to understand. There is constant Rotation (please have a look at my "Rotation Model." Article for understanding) going on in the Marketplace with converging and diverging circles / cycles moving endlessly. Also, you might want to have a look at my SHB Cycle. Be sure to spend time watching that animated cycling from bull to bear and back to bull again and again. When you get a handle on all of this, you will definitely become a very profitable Investor!

    Note: My General Market Updates and Forecasts are offered every Tuesday, Thursday and Sunday here in SA. I hope you will become a regular follower. In particularly, my forecasts and comments over the past several months have been deadly accurate.

    Perhaps you will permit me to assist you with guidance and direction in improving your portfolio's future "Probabilities for Profit."

    I invite you to ask me questions about my Methodology of "Investing Wisely" via my Email addresses below.

    The General U.S. Stock Market - - Updated

    Clearly, the General Market remains Bullish and is making New Highs. That is what it will likely continue doing just for a just short while longer.

    At this time, I am holding a short list of - Select Companies and ETFs that continue to ascend. I am increasing my Cash Holdings as it appears to be prudent to do so. My forward focus is on - - the on going and well over-due Bullish - Topping - that is going on and has been going on "INTERNALLY" in the Marketplace for several months.

    A new Bearish Inflection Point or if you prefer a new / meaningful Bearish Cycle and perhaps another monster Bear Market is definitely in the making. I hope you will not be caught holding your Companies and ETFs when you would have preferred (in hind-sight) to have been Holding Cash. I remind you that "Greed" is an expensive word.

    I maintain very accurate Primary Fundamental - Valuation and supportive Technical - Analysis Indicators for the Short ( 30 days to 60 days ) and Intermediate - Term ( 60 days to 4 months ). My Secondary Indicators I use are telling a Bearish story that is never seen or talked about with or to the investing public. Secondary Indicators are always Near & Short - Term. They are the most accurate and valuable and must be a leading part of your analytics.

    Having just these two time-frames handled and under control through my Forecasting the - - Long and Very Long - Term Cycles of the General Market - - simple fall into place. (This statement is also quite applicable to Sectors / Industry Groups / Commodities / Companies and ETFs). (Please re-read this paragraph for complete clarity).

    General Market - - Discussed / Forecasted / Forward Thoughts

    This past week was clearly DOWN early-on and recovered to be a mildly PROFITABLE week. This scenario was forecast over the past couple of weeks.

    Many of my technical indicators are appearing to be stretched to the limit. Often this can suggest that a rally is due or even overdue. And that is the case with the General Market at this writing.

    A closer look says, Yes a rally is in the making, but it will not have legs. That means it will likely be a bounce / mini rally that fails. Here too I must warn you not to be Near-Term, Bullish or Bearish, but let this all play out over the coming days or even weeks.

    My Forecast remains the same. I am looking for a Primary Bear Market Inflection Point, and it will come. Patience and Discipline are your two most valuable tools to employ at this time.

    Looking Forward beyond a month or so is currently a bit blurred, due to so many diverse indicators giving mixed signals. This is always the case during time frames when a transition is in the making. I suggest you stay tuned to my flow of daily articles in as presented in my personal blog. Check it out!

    You May be Interested

    I update and publish each Saturday morning a Chart in StockCharts - PublicList a proprietary General Market Update that provides me perspective between the three Indices that control the Marketplace. This is one of my secrets that can make you consistent profits if you will follow them both individually and collectively. They are: a) Primary Indices ( Dow 30 Industrials / NY & Nasdaq Composite, Etc. ) ; b) My proprietary Inflection Point Count which is very - broad based; c) The Commodity Index. Click here to view this excellent Indicator.

    For over 50 years, this kind of Analytics has enabled me to have the luxury of a Leading Methodology for very early-on Identifying Bullish and Bearish Inflection Points or (the beginning / ending) of Bullish and Bearish Cycles -- and -- "Investing Wisely."

    It was developed by algorithms that work / perform equally well for Sectors / Industry Groups / Commodities / Companies and ETFs.

    Have a Look - Just Click-On: Unique Chart.

    To "have a look" at all my Bellwether Sectors, Industry Groups, Companies and ETFs within this Chart Service - - Just Click-On:Comprehensive Look.

    Thanks for your following - - please tell a friend or two about this Blog and my StockCharts - - PublicList.

    I hope you Stay Tuned - my "stuff " it has been very accurate for over 50 years . . .

    Note: For a daily update and deeper view of my work / analytics you might want to click,

    and scroll down to my "Thumb-Nail" articles on my personal blog.

    Should you have interest in my professional guidance and direction, please Email Me with your questions or thoughts: senorstevedrmx@yahoo.com. - and - themoneydr@gmail.com.

    Smile, Have Fun, Investing Wisely,

    Dr. Steve

    Stocks: SPY, QQQ, DIA

    Stocks: SPY, QQQ, DIA
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  • 1979-2012
    , contributor
    Comments (13) | Send Message
     
    Definitely an interesting time is ahead. Quite frankly, I'm not sure why we are going higher when the recent jobs numbers have disappointed and QE is being reduced. Earnings have been at or above expectations, but guidance for many companies is lower.

     

    I'm playing $SPY calendar spreads with Long ITM puts and shorting weekly.
    9 Feb 2014, 11:07 AM Reply Like
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