Seeking Alpha

Steven Bauer's  Instablog

Steven Bauer
Send Message
My Biography: In 2001, I retired and now permanently reside in Mexico. After 5 years of managing my own affairs, I resumed my career in 2007 as a financial analyst / asset manager. My career began while in University as a – manual chartist for some wealthy Investors, who had a fancy math formula... More
My blog:
Investing Wisely
  • Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. - Back To Where It Was In 2009 & 2011 – I Am Not Impressed 0 comments
    Feb 18, 2014 11:34 AM | about stocks: GS, MS, SCHW, ETFC, AMTD, PSEC, CME, NDAQ, ICE

    Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. - Back to Where it Was in 2009 & 2011 - I Am Not Impressed

    Goldman Sachs is making new highs and supporting the Dow 30 - Industrials Index very well. My Indicators are breaking down like they did in 2009 and 2010. That means it is Topping, but don't Sell yet.

    My previously written articles on GS (just click) provide you the history of my forecasting, its accuracy and support for my performance. For over 50 years my management objective is to identify changing trends for my forecasting analytics. I simple want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this company and its industry peers.

    My Performance for Goldman Sachs can be found below and is about 62% per year for the last 18 months..

    My management objective is to identify changing trends for my Forecasting Analytics. Simple stated, I want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this Sector and Industry Group.

    A Special Note for Seniors & Retired Investors - Dividend Yield: 1.34%

    I believe you folks deserve much better service and investment direction and guidance that either Wall Street or the Brokerage Community is / has been providing. Being a retired Asset Manager / Financial Analyst is a joy for me to assist you and meet your investment - needs, goals and objective. Peace of Mind for you is my mission.

    Note: The Difference Between You and the Pros: Clearly you should be profitable and making money by owning Goldman Sachs. Via my Emails, I have found that many Investors are struggling with other securities they are holding. I have offered direction to hundreds of Investors and can share with you why you are perhaps holding losing securities and provide a conservative and low risk remedy.

    Forecast w/ 2 Year Performance

    Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. and other Technology Sector Companies are tracking well. Although (NYSE:GS) is in a recovering Rally and not doing what most investor have expected. It is, however always an excellent contributor to my Analytics. The Company has supported my Forecasts for many years, so be prudent and careful at this time. My Forecast was to sell in early 2012 and I did. I did not come back in to Goldman Sachs - the fundamentals just did not support ownership.

    Note: The below Table is for your review, questions and perhaps thoughts. If you are seeking to "Invest Wisely" in my "Income & Growth- Asset Allocation Model" - - please Email me to open a dialog on how I go about providing super performance with a very low threshold of Risk.

    (click to enlarge)

    My Current Forecast is not as bright as you may think! (I will be more specific upon request).

    If you own or are considering owning Investment Services Companies, the securities are currently strong but that will change. Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. is currently very strong Technically but I have reservations about my Fundamental Valuation, therefore, I have placed it on an Initial Bearish Forecast - "Warning."

    My Current Opinion is to HOLD in anticipation of taking profits.

    Fundamentally - ( weighting - - 40% ): My Analytics for my Fundamental Valuation play a vital role in profitable managing money. At this time my Valuations of (GS) are not as positive at perhaps you are being told by other sources. Plainly stated they are looking anemic again. This does not make for a positive fundamental valuation of any Company for a long-term Hold.

    Technically - ( weighting - - 35%): Even with this fine Company, my Indicators are notably breaking down. It is fading from its highs at $180. Selling at $165. This current rally (Early 2012 to Date) will, like all other strong rallies terminate - hence I am on a close watch.

    Consensus Opinion - ( weighting - - 25% ): My third pillar of Research is one that is ALWAYS distorted to the Positive by most all financial analysts. That's because they are afraid of being Bearish. I Am NOT! My articles on "Reality" are supportive of the below 20 year Chart.

    I will personally and promptly reply to any serious investor's inquiry as to my very cautious position for (GS) !

    A Twenty Year Perspective of Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS)

    It has NOT always been like you are being told by so many who do not take the time to Invest Wisely. Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) has taken some big hits over the years. Have a look.

    URL for (20-years of -(GS):


    "Selectivity" is what I preach (along with Discipline and Patience) and is what separates the Average Investor and Mutual Funds from the profits that come with long-hours / hard work and "Selectivity."

    Here are a number of the Component Companies / Peers in the Semiconductor Industry Group that I focus on rather frequently: (GS), (NYSE:MS), (NYSE:SCHW), (NASDAQ:ETFC), (NYSE:AMTD), (NASDAQ:PSEC), (NASDAQ:CME), (NASDAQ:NDAQ), (NYSE:ICE). And, many more . . .

    For a Daily Input and Deeper View of my Work / Analytics you might want to Click, and scroll down to my "Thumb-Nail" articles:

    Personal Blog. I post every day. Just Click - - >

    If I can be of help with guidance and direction for your portfolio(s) just Email me. Serious Investors Only - Please!

    Smile, Have Fun, "Investing Wisely,"

    Dr. Steve


Back To Steven Bauer's Instablog HomePage »

Instablogs are blogs which are instantly set up and networked within the Seeking Alpha community. Instablog posts are not selected, edited or screened by Seeking Alpha editors, in contrast to contributors' articles.

Comments (0)
Track new comments
Be the first to comment
Full index of posts »
Latest Followers


More »

Latest Comments

Instablogs are Seeking Alpha's free blogging platform customized for finance, with instant set up and exposure to millions of readers interested in the financial markets. Publish your own instablog in minutes.