Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. - Back to Where it Was in 2009 & 2011 - I Am Not Impressed
Goldman Sachs is making new highs and supporting the Dow 30 - Industrials Index very well. My Indicators are breaking down like they did in 2009 and 2010. That means it is Topping, but don't Sell yet.
My previously written articles on GS (just click) provide you the history of my forecasting, its accuracy and support for my performance. For over 50 years my management objective is to identify changing trends for my forecasting analytics. I simple want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this company and its industry peers.
My Performance for Goldman Sachs can be found below and is about 62% per year for the last 18 months..
My management objective is to identify changing trends for my Forecasting Analytics. Simple stated, I want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this Sector and Industry Group.
A Special Note for Seniors & Retired Investors - Dividend Yield: 1.34%
I believe you folks deserve much better service and investment direction and guidance that either Wall Street or the Brokerage Community is / has been providing. Being a retired Asset Manager / Financial Analyst is a joy for me to assist you and meet your investment - needs, goals and objective. Peace of Mind for you is my mission.
Note: The Difference Between You and the Pros: Clearly you should be profitable and making money by owning Goldman Sachs. Via my Emails, I have found that many Investors are struggling with other securities they are holding. I have offered direction to hundreds of Investors and can share with you why you are perhaps holding losing securities and provide a conservative and low risk remedy.
Forecast w/ 2 Year Performance
Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. and other Technology Sector Companies are tracking well. Although (NYSE:GS) is in a recovering Rally and not doing what most investor have expected. It is, however always an excellent contributor to my Analytics. The Company has supported my Forecasts for many years, so be prudent and careful at this time. My Forecast was to sell in early 2012 and I did. I did not come back in to Goldman Sachs - the fundamentals just did not support ownership.
Note: The below Table is for your review, questions and perhaps thoughts. If you are seeking to "Invest Wisely" in my "Income & Growth- Asset Allocation Model" - - please Email me to open a dialog on how I go about providing super performance with a very low threshold of Risk.
My Current Forecast is not as bright as you may think! (I will be more specific upon request).
If you own or are considering owning Investment Services Companies, the securities are currently strong but that will change. Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. is currently very strong Technically but I have reservations about my Fundamental Valuation, therefore, I have placed it on an Initial Bearish Forecast - "Warning."
My Current Opinion is to HOLD in anticipation of taking profits.
Fundamentally - ( weighting - - 40% ): My Analytics for my Fundamental Valuation play a vital role in profitable managing money. At this time my Valuations of (GS) are not as positive at perhaps you are being told by other sources. Plainly stated they are looking anemic again. This does not make for a positive fundamental valuation of any Company for a long-term Hold.
Technically - ( weighting - - 35%): Even with this fine Company, my Indicators are notably breaking down. It is fading from its highs at $180. Selling at $168. This current rally (Early 2012 to Date) will, like all other strong rallies terminate - hence I am on a close watch.
Consensus Opinion - ( weighting - - 25% ): My third pillar of Research is one that is ALWAYS distorted to the Positive by most all financial analysts. That's because they are afraid of being Bearish. I Am NOT! My articles on "Reality" are supportive of the below 20 year Chart.
I will personally and promptly reply to any serious investor's inquiry as to my very cautious position for (GS) !
A Twenty Year Perspective of Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS)
It has NOT always been like you are being told by so many who do not take the time to Invest Wisely. Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) has taken some big hits over the years. Have a look.
URL for (20-years of -(GS): http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GS&p=W&yr=20&mn=0&dy=0&id=p52480472217&a=330115299
"Selectivity" is what I preach (along with Discipline and Patience) and is what separates the Average Investor and Mutual Funds from the profits that come with long-hours / hard work and "Selectivity."
Here are a number of the Component Companies / Peers in the Semiconductor Industry Group that I focus on rather frequently: (GS), (NYSE:MS), (NYSE:SCHW), (NASDAQ:ETFC), (NASDAQ:AMTD), (NASDAQ:PSEC), (NASDAQ:CME), (NASDAQ:NDAQ), (NYSE:ICE). And, many more . . .
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Smile, Have Fun, "Investing Wisely,"
GS, MS, SCHW, ETFC, AMTD, PSEC, CME, NDAQ, ICE