Steven Bauer's  Instablog

Steven Bauer
Send Message
My Biography: In 2001, I retired and now permanently reside in Mexico. After 5 years of managing my own affairs, I resumed my career in 2007 as a financial analyst / asset manager. My career began while in University as a – manual chartist for some wealthy Investors, who had a fancy math formula... More
My blog:
Investing Wisely
  • Intel Corp. – Getting Old And Not Looking All That Good As It Ages 0 comments
    Mar 27, 2014 3:05 PM | about stocks: INTC, NVDA, TXN, LLTC, ISIL, STM, ASYS, AMD

    Intel Corp. - Getting Old and Not Looking All That Good as it Ages

    Intel Corp. (NASDAQ:INTC) clearly has not been one of the leading Dow 30 Companies since April 2012. Looking back is fine, but my job is to provide "fore-sight" and I do! It is currently on a Hold, and my Indicators are continuing to break down.

    My previously written articles on INTC (just click) provide you the history of my forecasting, its accuracy and support for my performance. For over 50 years my management objective is to identify changing trends for my forecasting analytics. I simple want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this company and its industry peers.

    My Performance for Intel can be found in the table below and has provided 30+% per year during holding periods.

    This is a study that is of particular interest to me because I have spent so much time and experience in the study of excellent Companies like (INTC).

    My management objective is to identify changing trends for my forecasting analytics. Simple stated, I want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this sector and industry group.

    A Special Note for Seniors & Retired Investors - Dividend Yield: 3.37%

    Forecast w/ Performance:

    Note: The below Table is for your review, questions and perhaps thoughts. If you would like to "Invest Wisely" in my Income Asset Allocation Model," please email me to open a dialog on how I go about providing superior performance with a very low threshold of risk.

    (click to enlarge)

    My Current Forecast is not as bright as you may think! (I will be more specific upon your email request).

    If you own or are considering owning semiconductor companies, the securities are becoming a mixed and rather negative bag. Intel Corp. is currently relatively weak technically and I have reservations about my fundamental valuation; however, it is on my Initial Bearish Forecast - "Warning."

    My Current Opinion is to Hold. Profits were taken in July and cash is my current safe haven. For me, cash is a balancing of my below three (weighted) pillars of research.

    Fundamentally - ( weighting - - 40% ), my Valuations remains relatively strong but are "Poor - Flat" and on the Decline. That produces future declining valuation projections.

    Technically _ ( weighting - - 35% ), my Indicators are clearly breaking down. The highs were registered inn early 2012 at about $26 with a current price of $24. That is not the kind of performance you should be expecting, be it your financial advisors guidance or your own!

    Consensus Opinion - ( weighting - - 25% ): My third pillar of research is one that is always distorted to the positive by most all financial analysts. That's because they are afraid of being bearish. I am not! My articles on "reality" are supportive of the below 20 year Chart.

    I will personally and promptly reply to any serious investor's inquiry as to my very cautious position for INTC !

    A Twenty Year Perspective of Intel Corp.

    Intel Corp. has taken some big hits over the years!

    URL for (20-years of -(INTC):

    "Selectivity" is what I preach (along with discipline and patience) and is what separates the average investor and mutual funds from the profits that come with long-hours / hard work and "selectivity."

    Here are a number of the Component Companies / Peers in the Conventional Electricity Industry Group that I focus on rather frequently if you wish to follow me: (INTC), (NASDAQ:NVDA), (NYSE:TXN), (NASDAQ:LLTC), (NASDAQ:ISIL), (NYSE:STM), (NASDAQ:ASYS), (NYSE:AMD). And, more . . .

    Should you have interest in my professional guidance and direction, please Email Me with your questions or thoughts:

    For Daily Updates and a Deeper View into my work / Analytics, you might want to Click and Scroll Down to my "Thumb-Nail" Articles within my

    Personal Blog

    Please spend some time reading my articles for a perspective of their and also viewing my

    Bio - - before making inquiries.

    Sharing a bit about yourself and your financial - needs, goals and objectives would be appreciated.

    A relationship between You and your Asset Manager must be a "Win / Win " affair. You get the Performance and the Education and I get paid for my Work / Analytics and Experience.

    Smile, Have Fun, "Investing Wisely,"

    Dr. Steve


Back To Steven Bauer's Instablog HomePage »

Instablogs are blogs which are instantly set up and networked within the Seeking Alpha community. Instablog posts are not selected, edited or screened by Seeking Alpha editors, in contrast to contributors' articles.

Comments (0)
Track new comments
Be the first to comment
Full index of posts »
Latest Followers


More »

Latest Comments

Instablogs are Seeking Alpha's free blogging platform customized for finance, with instant set up and exposure to millions of readers interested in the financial markets. Publish your own instablog in minutes.