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Steven Bauer
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My Biography: In 2001, I retired and now permanently reside in Mexico. After 5 years of managing my own affairs, I resumed my career in 2007 as a financial analyst / asset manager. My career began while in University as a – manual chartist for some wealthy Investors, who had a fancy math formula... More
My blog:
Investing Wisely
  • Starbucks Corp. – Coffee Beans Smell Good And So Are The Profits – Caution Is NOW Warrented 0 comments
    Apr 3, 2014 12:20 PM | about stocks: SBUX, MCD, WEN, YUM, ARCO, EAT, DRI, KKD, RT, DPZ, PNRA, BLMN, TXRH, DENN, BWLD, QSR

    Starbucks Corp. - Coffee Beans Smell Good and so are the Profits - Caution is NOW Warrented

    Starbucks is doing exactly what it should be doing - going UP.

    Just so you know, when my Fundamental Valuations are super positive for a Company, the Technical or Charts ALWAYS support this kind of price movement - hence my Methodology of "Investing Wisely." It like all other Companies is vulnerable to Pull-Backs (check-out 2012 - - $61 to $42 that's about 33% and that is unacceptable asset management) and I am now / once again suggesting - Caution.

    My previously written articles on SBUX (just click) provide you the history of my forecasting, its accuracy and support for my performance. For over 50 years my management objective is to identify changing trends for my forecasting analytics. I simple want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this company and its industry peers.

    My Performance (my 5-Year Table) for Starbucks Corp. is available by clicking: (NASDAQ:SBUX). I treat Starbucks just like any other Company, and my performance is an excellent credential that I will not hesitate to move my Clients to Cash when my Forecast dictates.

    I have completed my weekly study of my High Profile Cyclical - Consumer Services / Restaurant Companies.

    My management objective is to identify changing trends for my Forecasting Analytics. Simple stated, I want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this Sector and Industry Group.

    A Special Note for Seniors & Retired Investors - Dividend Yield: 1.41%

    I believe you folks deserve much better service and investment direction and guidance that either Wall Street or the Brokerage Community is / has been providing. Being a retired Asset Manager / Financial Analyst is a joy for me to assist you and meet your investment - needs, goals and objective. Peace of Mind for you is my mission. Let me know when I can offer you support.

    Forecast w/ 5 Year Performance

    Starbucks Corp. and other Restaurant Companies are tracking the Marketplace well. Although (SBUX) is currently in a strong Rally it is also an excellent Company to Forecast for accuracy of future price movements and contributor to my overall Analytics.

    Note: The below Table is for your review, questions and perhaps thoughts. If you are seeking to "Invest Wisely" in my "Growth - Asset Allocation Model" - - please Email me to open a dialog on how I go about providing super performance with a very low threshold of Risk.

    (click to enlarge)

    My Current Forecast is quite bright. That is if my Forecast for a General Market - Bearish Cycle / Bearish Inflection Point is delayed! (I will be more specific upon request).

    If you own or are considering owning Restaurant Companies, the securities have definitely been positive. Starbucks Corp. is currently strong Technically but I have mini - reservations about my Fundamental Valuation, however it on an Initial Bearish "Warning.""

    My Current Opinion is to HOLD in anticipation of taking profits - maybe at even higher prices? There will be an end but I am not Forecasting an "end" at this time.

    Fundamentally - ( weighting - - 40% ): My Analytics (weighting 40%) for my Fundamental Valuation play a vital role in profitable managing money. At this time my Valuations of (SBUX) are and remain positive. Plainly stated they are Flat but comparatively very positive.

    Technically ( weighting - - 35% ): Within this outstanding Company, my Indicators are not breaking down like with so many other Companies. It recently took a Hit off of its highs of $83. to a very recent $68. back to $79. and once again back to $73. This means TOPPING - sooner or later.

    Consensus Opinion - ( weighting - - 25% ): My third pillar of Research is one that is ALWAYS distorted to the Positive by most all financial analysts. That's because they are afraid of being Bearish. I Am NOT! My articles on "Reality" are supportive of the below 20 year Chart.

    I will personally and promptly reply to any serious investor's inquiry as to my very cautious position for (SBUX) !

    A Twenty Year Perspective of Starbucks Corp. (SBUX)

    It has NOT always been like you are being told by so many who do not take the time to Invest Wisely. Starbucks Corp. (SBUX) has taken some big hits over the years.

    URL for (20-years of -(SBUX):


    "Selectivity" is what I preach (along with Discipline and Patience) and is what separates the Average Investor and Mutual Funds from the profits that come with long-hours / hard work and "Selectivity."

    Here are a number of the Component Companies / Peers in the Restaurant Industry Group that I focus on rather frequently: (SBUX), (NYSE:MCD), (NYSE:WEN), (NYSE:YUM), (NYSE:ARCO), (NYSE:EAT), (NYSE:DRI), (NYSE:KKD), (NASDAQ:DNKN), (NASDAQ:CAKE), (NYSE:RT), (NYSE:DPZ), (NASDAQ:PNRA), (NASDAQ:BLMN), (NASDAQ:TXRH), (NASDAQ:DENN), (NASDAQ:BWLD), (THI).

    Note: Should you have interest in my professional guidance and direction for your Portfolios, please Email Me with your questions or thoughts:

    For Daily Updates and a Deeper View into my work / Analytics, you might want to Click and Scroll Down to my "Thumb-Nail" Articles within my personal blog.

    Please spend some time reading my articles for a perspective of their and also viewing my Bio before making inquiries. Sharing a bit about yourself and your financial and needs, goals and objectives would be appreciated.

    A relationship between You and Your Asset Manager must be a "Win / Win" affair. You get the Performance and the Education and I get paid for my Analytics / Work and Experience.

    Smile, Have Fun, "Investing Wisely,"

    Dr. Steve


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