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Steven Bauer
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My Biography: In 2001, I retired and now permanently reside in Mexico. After 5 years of managing my own affairs, I resumed my career in 2007 as a financial analyst / asset manager. My career began while in University as a – manual chartist for some wealthy Investors, who had a fancy math formula... More
My blog:
Investing Wisely
  • Barrick Gold Corp. – The Glitter Went Away And I Called It To The Oz. 1 comment
    Apr 6, 2014 10:28 AM | about stocks: ABX, KGC, AUY, NEM, IAG, GG, EGO, GFI, ANV, AU, HMY, BTG, AUQ, NG, AEM, BAA, GOLD, RGLD, SA, SAND, NSU, RBY, TRX, FNV

    Barrick Gold Corp. - The Glitter Went Away and I Called it to the Oz.

    Barrack just does not have the fundamentals or comparable valuations to other Gold Mining Companies to be leading Gold out of its doldrums.

    My previously written articles on ABX (just click) provide you the history of my forecasting, its accuracy and support for my performance. For over 50 years my management objective is to identify changing trends for my forecasting analytics. I simple want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this company and its industry peers.

    My Performance for Barrick Gold can be found below and is over 27% per year for the 3 year holding period.

    My management objective is to identify changing trends for my Forecasting Analytics. Simple stated, I want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this Sector and Industry Group.

    A Special Note for Seniors & Retired Investors - Dividend Yield: 1.08%

    I believe you folks deserve much better service and investment direction and guidance that either Wall Street or the Brokerage Community is / has been providing. Being a retired Asset Manager / Financial Analyst is a joy for me to assist you and meet your investment - needs, goals and objective.

    Growth and Aggressive Growth Investors

    My Mission is to provide guidance and direction for conservatively providing consistent annual and superior profitable results for each Formal Recommendation I make to my Clients.

    The Difference Between You and the Pros: Clearly you should be profitable and making money by owning Barrick Gold. Via my Emails, I have found that many Investors are struggling with other securities they are holding. I have offered direction to hundreds of Investors and can share with you why you are perhaps holding losing securities and provide a conservative and low risk remedy.

    Forecast w/ 5 Year Performance

    Note: The below Table is for your review, questions and perhaps thoughts. If you are seeking to "Invest Wisely" in my "Growth & Aggressive Growth - Asset Allocation Model" - - please Email me to open a dialog on how I go about providing super performance with a very low threshold of Risk.

    Special Note: In this article on Gold I have very profitable completed Forecasting and Owning select Gold securities during the above Bullish Cycle and am now working in and with the below Bearish Cycle.

    I do not share with the Investing Public my Short Sale Positions during Bearish Cycles - they are exclusively for my Clients with an Asset Allocation Model of "Aggressive Growth."

    However, I do continue to share my Forecasts with all. As for Formal Recommendations - they are private thing between myself and my Clients.

    (click to enlarge)

    My Current Forecast is not as bright as you are likely being advised! (I will be more specific upon request).

    If you own or are considering owning Gold Mining Companies, the securities are definitely a mixed bag that you do not want to deal with at this time. Barrick Gold Corp. is currently WEAK Technically and I have reservations about my Fundamental Valuation, therefore I have placed it on and it remains on a Strong Bearish Forecast - "Warning."

    That means: I am continuing to HOLD-CASH - for Southern Company. Profits were taken as indicated below. For Guidance and Direction of your portfolio(s) - - - I do respond to prospective Client's - Questions and Thoughts.

    My Analytics (weighting) for my Fundamental Valuation play a vital role in profitable managing money. At this time my Valuations of (NYSE:ABX) are not bad but not as positive at perhaps you are being told by other sources. Plainly stated they are improving but way too negative to consider ownership.

    My Current Opinion is to HOLD-CASH in anticipation of Buying. When? Not in the foreseeable future.

    * Fundamentally - ( weighting - - 40% ): My Analytics (weighting) for my Fundamental Valuation play a vital role in profitable managing money. At this time my Valuations of (ABX) are not as positive at perhaps you are being told by other sources. Plainly stated they are Improving and then Descending again. This does not make for a positive fundamental valuation of any Company.

    * Technically - ( Weighting - - 35% ): Even with this fine Company, my Indicators are notably breaking down. It is only currently slightly off its 2011highs of $52 selling for $19. The next rally is coming soon and that will tell a compelling story as to the future direction of the price of (ABX). Buying now is just bearing unnecessary Risk.

    * Consensus Opinion - ( weighting - - 25% ): My third pillar of Research is one that is ALWAYS distorted to the Positive by most all financial analysts. That's because they are afraid of being Bearish. I Am NOT! My articles on "Reality" are supportive of the below 20 year Chart.

    I will personally and promptly reply to any serious investor's inquiry as to my very cautious position for (ABX) !

    A Twenty Year Perspective of Barrick Gold Corp. (ABX)

    It has NOT always been like you are being told by so many who do not take the time to do their homework and "Invest Wisely." Barrick Gold Corp. (ABX) has taken some big hits over the years.

    URL for (20-years of -(ABX): http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=ABX&p=W&yr=20&mn=0&dy=0&id=p73701592352&a=310617060

    Selectivity

    Here are a number of the Component Companies / Peers in the Gold Industry Group that I focus on rather frequently: (ABX), (NYSE:KGC), (NYSE:AUY), (NYSE:NEM), (NYSE:IAG), (NYSE:GG), (NYSE:EGO), (NYSE:GFI), (NYSEMKT:ANV), (NYSE:AU), (NYSE:HMY), (NYSEMKT:BTG), (NYSE:AUQ), (NYSEMKT:NG), (NYSE:AEM), (NYSEMKT:BAA), (NASDAQ:GOLD), (NASDAQ:RGLD), (NYSE:SA), (NYSEMKT:SAND), (NYSEMKT:NSU), (NYSEMKT:RBY), (NYSEMKT:TRX), (NYSE:FNV).

    Note: Should you have interest in my professional guidance and direction for your Portfolios, please Email Me with your questions or thoughts: senorstevedrmx@yahoo.com.

    For Daily Updates and a Deeper View into my work / Analytics, you might want to Click and Scroll Down to my "Thumb-Nail" Articles within my personal blog.

    Please spend some time reading my articles for a perspective of their and also viewing my Bio before making inquiries. Sharing a bit about yourself and your financial and needs, goals and objectives would be appreciated.

    A relationship between You and Your Asset Manager must be a "Win / Win" affair. You get the Performance and the Education and I get paid for my Analytics / Work and Experience.

    Smile, Have Fun, "Investing Wisely,"

    Dr. Steve

    ABX, KGC, AUY, NEM, IAG, GG, EGO, GFI, ANV, AU, HMY, BTG, AUQ, NG, AEM, BAA, GOLD, RGLD, SA, SAND, NSU, RBY, TRX, FNV

    Stocks: ABX, KGC, AUY, NEM, IAG, GG, EGO, GFI, ANV, AU, HMY, BTG, AUQ, NG, AEM, BAA, GOLD, RGLD, SA, SAND, NSU, RBY, TRX, FNV
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Comments (1)
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  • Charles Spencer Wood
    , contributor
    Comments (11) | Send Message
     
    Thank you for taking the time to publish and create this blog. I enjoy reading it and you have helped me on my journey to investing in Gold.
    Currently i have been building cash and own a lot of BAA. I really like Banro when most others do not. I won't bother you with specifics as this since you seem to be intelligent and well informed about Gold Stocks and this is your blog and you probably dont like other investors using it to tout their positions or stocks but regardless i just wanted to say i like what you do and i hope you continue doing it.
    Disclosure : I am Long $BAA
    7 Apr, 02:24 PM Reply Like
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