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A Performance Forward Look At Three Of My Twelve U. S. Sectors

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A Performance Forward Look at Three of My Twelve U. S. Sectors

The first of - - My (three) Sectors of Twelve are:

Basic Materials

Consumer - Staples & Services

Emerging Markets

My logo for over 50 Years is: "Investing Wisely."

The below graphic is simple and what you must understand - - IF - - You want to consistently be a profitable Investor.

My below two Tables lists my select U.S. General Market - - Sectors which is a rather broad breakdown and perspective of the General Stock Market and Indices.

At this writing these three Sectors contribute to the suggestion that the very old Bull General Market is deteriorating. It is always a slow process of topping a multi-year bull market. It therefore requires much patience and discipline. Doing your homework each day over the years helps more than you might think.

Forecasting the General Market for me is fun. It can only be done by breaking down (Dissecting), first the Sectors and then the component Industry Groups of each Sector. I use very basic fundamental -valuations that are always confirmed by my unique technical analysis. My Cycle Analysis and Forecasting Methodology has served both me and my Clients well fro over 5- years. Simple stated - it works!

Fundamental - Valuation is a very mechanical / mathematical process but over the more recent years it has become an art as well as a science.

Cycle Analysis for me means identifying Bullish and Bearish Primary and Secondary Inflection Points for the General Market, Sectors, Industry Groups, Commodities, Companies and ETFs. Yes, it can be done and this series articles will share how I go about the task. My specific articles and graphics on Cycles may be of interest.

Forecasting is a tool that I use primarily because it offers me what I call "lead time." That means, I have time to "Cherry Pick" the Best of the Best for Bullish Cycles and the Worst of the Worst for Bearish Cycles.

Table of Past 5-Year Performance and Forecast for the Coming Year

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Table of Current Status and Performance for: Basic Materials / Consumer / Emerging Markets

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Long Term Charts for the three Sectors

It has NOT always been like you are being told by so many who do not take the time to do their homework and "Invest Wisely." Every Sectorhas taken some big hits over the years. Check these longer-term charts out!

Just Click:

Basic Materials - - ($DJUSBM)

Consumer - - ($DJUSCY)

Emerging Markets - - ($MSEMF)

Percent Chart for Perspective of the three Sectors

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Perspective, there are calculable reasons, ahead of making Investment Decisions, why some Sectors clearly out-perform other Sectors. This is also true with Industry Groups, Companies and ETFs, The Consumer Sector produced well better than twice the performance than Basic Materials or Emerging Markets. Again, this all can be determined "ahead of your making Investment Decisions." It simple requires more work, experience and know-how.

Combining my Fundamental - Valuations with my very unique Technical Analysis always provides a clear perspective of the Best of the Best Securities for Bullish Cycles and the Worst of the Worst Securities for Bearish Cycles. The ones in between I call "Also Rans" and pay very little attention to those Companies and ETFs.

Summary

At this writing these three Sectors are suggesting that the very old Bull General Market is notable deteriorating. Topping a long-term Bull Market is always a slow process of that requires much patience and discipline. Doing your homework and gaining perspective each day helps more than you might think.

Of the 12 Sectors, currently two are currently Losers, three more are on the edge and seven remain relatively strong and hold a Bullish Forecast. For reference, just six months ago there was only one Loser. My Forecasts suggest that within the next six months a notable number, not all, of my Sectors will become Losers. It is simple mathematics with a few caveats, when there are mostly Bullish Sector, Industry Groups and Companies you have a Bull market. It should be somewhat obvious that when, "vice-versa" occurs your have a Bear market.

The trick is knowing the Bulls from the Bears! I do that task very well because I actually live with those critters. As this never ending process occurs, Indices ( INDU, Nasdaq, S&P, etc) will be taking hits or pull-backs that will clearly confirm to you that a Bear Market is in the making. This has been occurring for many months now!

Note: Should you have interest in my professional guidance and direction for your Portfolios, please Email Me with your questions or thoughts: senorstevedrmx@yahoo.com.

For Daily Updates and a Deeper View into my work / Analytics, you might want to Click and Scroll Down to my "Thumb-Nail" Articles within my personal blog.

Please spend some time reading my articles for a perspective of their and also viewing my Bio before making inquiries. Sharing a bit about yourself and your financial and needs, goals and objectives would be appreciated.

A relationship between You and Your Asset Manager must be a "Win / Win" affair. You get the Performance and the Education and I get paid for my Analytics / Work and Experience.

Click to enlarge

Be aware that a Bear Market is in the making. This Bearish fact has been on a crescendo for many moths now!

My work with these Sectors is fun for me. Sharing it with the Public is a pleasure and I indeed hope you will profit by my work.

Smile, Have fun, "Investing Wisely,"

Dr. Steve

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