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Steven Bauer
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My Biography: In 2001, I retired and now permanently reside in Mexico. After 5 years of managing my own affairs, I resumed my career in 2007 as a financial analyst / asset manager. My career began while in University as a – manual chartist for some wealthy Investors, who had a fancy math formula... More
My blog:
Investing Wisely
  • Natural Gas – Smelly Stuff With No Perfume From Profit In The Air - Yet 0 comments
    May 18, 2014 10:56 AM | about stocks: GAZ, XOM, CVX, BP, RDS.A, STO, TOT, YPF, E, BAK, SSL, PTR, PZE, APC, DVN, ECA, CHK, WMB

    Natural Gas - Smelly Stuff with No Perfume from Profit in the Air - Yet

    Natural Gas - - iPath - ETF continues to be Bearish and remains in a descending mode. This may be changing - so stay close to my updates or send me an Email.

    It is on a Hold-Cash, and my fundamental and technical indicators are still breaking down.

    My previously written articles on GAZ (just click) provide you the history of my forecasting, its accuracy and support for my performance. For over 50 years my management objective is to identify changing trends for my forecasting analytics. I simple want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this company and its industry peers.

    My Performance my 6-Year performance for Natural Gas is unique to say the lease. Holding Cash for six years while the price dropped for $83. to $2.00 should be very compelling to wise investors who can understand just how accurate my forecasting is - - be it positive or negative.

    My management objective is to identify changing trends for my forecasting analytics. Simple stated, I want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this sector and industry group.

    A Special Note for Seniors & Retired Investors

    My Mission is to provide guidance and direction for conservatively providing consistent annual and superior profitable results for each Formal Recommendation I make to my Clients.

    You will note that I have listed a number of Natural Gas Companies at the bottom of this article. My two Bellwether Companies are: Apache and Chesepeake. If you are a trader we are light-years apart from our approach to investing wisely in the stock market. There were a number of "trading" opportunities over the past several years.

    For me trading is a poor excuse for investing your money but to trade these two Companies when the Odds were a clearly against you would in my opinion be just plain stupid. On the bright side there may soon be "investment" opportunities coming. Stay tuned.

    Forecast w/ 6 Year Performance

    Natural Gas - - iPath - ETF and other Energy - Oil / Gas Sector Companies and ETFs are NOT tracking well. If I may suggest, Holding-Cash is often much better than Holding !

    Note: The below Table is for your review, questions and perhaps thoughts. If you would like to "Invest Wisely" in my "Growth Asset Allocation Model," please email me to open a dialog on how I go about providing superior performance with a very low threshold of risk.

    (click to enlarge)

    My Current Forecast is not as bright as you are perhaps being advised! (I will be more specific upon your email request).

    If you own or are considering owning Natural Gas ETFs or companies, the securities are becoming a mixed, not a very positive bag. Natural Gas - - iPath - ETF is currently very weak technically, and I have reservations about my fundamental valuation for the majority of the component companies. It is on my Strong Bearish Forecast - "Warning."

    That means: I am continuing to HOLD-CASH - for iPath - Natural Gas - ETF. Profits were taken as indicated below. For Guidance and Direction of your portfolio(s) - - - I do respond to prospective Client's - Questions and Thoughts.

    My Current Opinion is to Hold-Cash in anticipation of taking profits. This may be at even higher prices, but there will be an end and time to sell, but that is not currently in my forecast. That is a balancing of my below three (weighted) pillars of research.

    * Fundamentally - ( weighting - - 40% ): My Analytics for my fundamental valuation play a vital role in profitable managing money. Earnings continue to be relatively strong.

    * Technically - ( weighting - - 35%): Within this outstanding company, my indicators remain weak. It is likely to flirt with its lows of $2, is selling for $3.

    * Consensus Opinion - ( weighting - - 25% ): My third pillar of research is one that is always distorted to the positive by most all financial analysts. That's because they are afraid of being bearish. I am not! My articles on "Reality" are supportive of the below 20 year Chart.

    I will personally and promptly reply to any serious investor's inquiry as to my very cautious position for GAZ !

    A Twenty Year Perspective of Natural Gas - - iPath - ETF

    Natural Gas - - iPath - ETF has taken a big hits over the years!

    URL for (20-years of - (NYSEARCA:GAZ): http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GAZ&p=W&yr=20&mn=0&dy=0&id=p54599490084&a=336722783

    "Selectivity" is what I preach (along with discipline and patience) and is what separates the average investor and mutual funds from the profits that come with long-hours / hard work and "selectivity."

    Here are a number of the Component Companies / Peers in the Natural Gas Industry Group that I focus on rather frequently if you wish to follow me: (GAZ), (NYSE:XOM), (NYSE:CVX), (NYSE:BP), (NYSE:RDS.A), (NYSE:STO), (NYSE:TOT), (NYSE:YPF), (NYSE:E), (NYSE:BAK), (NYSE:SSL), (NYSE:PTR), (NYSE:PZE), (NYSE:APC), (NYSE:DVN), (NYSE:ECA), (NYSE:CHK), (NYSE:WMB). And, more . . .

    Note: Should you have interest in my professional guidance and direction for your Portfolios, please Email Me with your questions or thoughts: senorstevedrmx@yahoo.com.

    For Daily Updates and a Deeper View into my work / Analytics, you might want to Click and Scroll Down to my "Thumb-Nail" Articles within my personal blog.

    Please spend some time reading my articles for a perspective of their and also viewing my Bio before making inquiries. Sharing a bit about yourself and your financial and needs, goals and objectives would be appreciated.

    A relationship between You and Your Asset Manager must be a "Win / Win" affair. You get the Performance and the Education and I get paid for my Analytics / Work and Experience.

    Smile, Have Fun, "Investing Wisely,"

    Dr. Steve

    GAZ, XOM, CVX, BP, RDS.A, STO, TOT, YPF, E, BAK, SSL, PTR, PZE, APC, DVN, ECA, CHK, WMB

    Stocks: GAZ, XOM, CVX, BP, RDS.A, STO, TOT, YPF, E, BAK, SSL, PTR, PZE, APC, DVN, ECA, CHK, WMB
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