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Steven Bauer
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My Biography: In 2001, I retired and now permanently reside in Mexico. After 5 years of managing my own affairs, I resumed my career in 2007 as a financial analyst / asset manager. My career began while in University as a – manual chartist for some wealthy Investors, who had a fancy math formula... More
My blog:
Investing Wisely
  • It's Thursday's - General Market - Mid-Week Assessment – May 29th. 4 comments
    May 29, 2014 9:59 AM | about stocks: AAPL, GE, GOOG, AMZN, CSCO, GLD, MSFT, SLV, T, XOM, SPY, QQQ, DIA

    It's Thursday's - General Market - Mid-Week Assessment - May 29th.

    My logo for Over 50 Years is: "Investing Wisely."

    Talk to me Via Email - - My Analytics is getting Serious Again . . .

    I believe there are always many, many (too many!) Road - Signs ( see graphic below ) that more often than not - offer you - Very Inaccurate Information about the direction of the Stock Market. They seem to come from all sources (i.e.) Government i.e. Federal Reserve Board, Wall Street, Financial Media, Blogs and Bloggers and unfortunately many other unreliable economic and financial sources.

    Accurately Forecasting any major Indice, (Dow - 30 / S&P 500 / Nasdaq, Etc.) Index or any Security on the planet for me is a daily routine that I have maintained for well over 50 years.

    My General Market Forecasts are published in SeekingAlpha.com on: Tuesday / Thursday / Saturday / Sunday.

    You might want to read my on going articles and their archive articles on: (AAPL), (GE), (GOOG), (AMZN), (CSCO), (GLD), (MSFT), (SLV), (T), (XOM).

    Note: My General Market Updates and Forecasts are offered every Tuesday, Thursday and Sunday here in SA. I hope you will become a regular follower.

    Perhaps you will permit me to assist you with guidance and direction in improving your portfolio's future "Probabilities for Profit."

    ( Yes, I am seeking new asset management Clients ).

    I invite you to ask me questions about my Methodology ( just click) of "Investing Wisely" via my Email addresses below.

    The General U.S. Stock Market - - Updated

    Clearly (without all these - Deceptive Road Signs) the General Market remains Bullish and has repeatedly been making New Highs so far this year. There have also been a couple Pull-
    Backs that are Ominous to say the least. That is what it will likely continue doing just for a just short while longer.

    At this time I am holding a number of - Select Companies and ETFs that continue to ascend. I am increasing my Cash Holdings as it appears to be prudent to do so. My forward focus is on - - the on going and well over-due Bullish - Topping - that is going on and has been going on "INTERNALLY" in the Marketplace for several months.

    A new Bearish Inflection Point or if you prefer a new / meaningful Bearish Cycle and perhaps another monster Bear Market is definitely in the making. I hope you will not be caught Holding your Companies and ETFs when you would have preferred (in hind-sight) to have been Holding Cash. I remind you that "Greed" is an expensive word.

    I maintain very accurate Primary Fundamental - Valuation and supportive Technical - Analysis Indicators for the Short ( 30 days to 60 days ) and Intermediate - Term ( 60 days to 4 months ). My Secondary Indicators I use are telling a Bearish story that is never seen or talked about with or to the investing public. Secondary Indicators are always Near & Short - Term. They are the most accurate and valuable and must be a leading part of your analytics.

    Having just these two time-frames handled and under control through my Forecasting the - - Long and Very Long - Term Cycles of the General Market - - simple fall into place. (This statement is also quite applicable to Sectors / Industry Groups / Commodities / Companies and ETFs). (Please re-read this paragraph for complete clarity).

    General Market - - Forecasted w/ Current Opinions

    For months, there has been very little convincing evidence (Economically or Fundamentally) that the current Primary (Bull Market) Rally and certainly future Secondary Rallies will be sustained. a) However, the Market continues to crank out New Highs. That is no longer universal in all major Indices - many are and have broken down; b) However, the U.S. Government and Wall Street keep "pumping sunshine" (cheap money and their other divisive (certainly not economic sound) ways of deceiving the people that voted for and pay their bills) and that will continue to lead you into severe disappointment, portfolio losses or worse in the coming years. These are the Facts and IF YOU WANT TO BE a Profitable Investor IT - Mandates that - - You Follow the FACTS !

    I do have two "Howevers" - and - "Exceptions." - - Built into my Methodology of "Investing Wisely." The first are my hundreds of Forecasts; and the second is that they Work !

    I frequently use these - three words - to describe my Analytics of the Current Market. You will find that they are both very descriptive and very accurate!

    * The - Very Near-Term: The Market should be up but waning over the coming days.

    * The - Bias: The Market - Bias is UP and "Bias" is much more sensitive than a Trend. ( If you are going to be consistently profitable, I suggest you become acquainted with my analytics that gives me the "Bias. )

    * The - Trend: The Trend is clearly UP and will take much time to turn negative. That does not mean that you are safe nor do I recommend that you continue to hold long or to hold most mutual funds. Trends are often poorly measured by Financial Analysts are often misleading to the untrained Investor. So when a Up- Trend truly becomes an Up-Trend it is always going to be LATE but remains a valuable tool. This is always true for when a Down-Trend truly becomes a Down-Trend.My first two words above ( Bias and Trend ) help me ( big time) but it is the Bias that give me the edge to superior profits and does much better job than to follow a Trend. That better job is 10% to 15% per year and is usually more.

    For the Near-Term: ( one day to thirty days ) My recent Forecast for a mini / bounce Rally is and has been VERY accurate. I may last a for a short time but a Pull-Back is in the making. This rally was manipulated by our new gal in the Fed. My new "Operative (NASDAQ:NEWS) Word" for the foreseeable future will be "JANET."

    Note: So, when will I take Short or Bearish Positions. I will tell you When, I start to Very Selectively take some Bearish Positions but only my Clients will know the What, that is specific securities.

    As usual the coming days and perhaps a couple / few weeks will be critical if you intend to begin "Investing Wisely" along with me.

    For the Short-Term: ( one month to three months ) Same Old / Same Old - - - Topping is WAY over-due but, I suggest the coming few weeks of trading will be telling the Story Best - it will be a Compelling Story. Stay tuned.

    The Dow Industrials and New York Composite Indexes are what I call "hanging tough" but the Nasdaq and Small Cap is showing great weakness. Will there be a rally that meets my criterion for Prudent Investing in the coming days? I will use the weekend once again to determine if the risk / reward warrants taking any long position. At this writing, I cannot begin to be thinking other than Near and Short-Term.

    Remember, - EVERY - Bullish Cycle is followed by a Bearish Cycle, be it Near-Term - or - Short-Term - or - Long-Term - or - Very Long-Term. I hope you have such a perspective.

    You May be Interested

    I update and publish each Saturday morning a Chart in StockCharts - PublicList a proprietary General Market Update that provides me prospective between the three Indices that control the Marketplace. This is the seldom used formula that can make you consistent profits if you will follow them both individually and collectively. They are: a) Primary Indices ( Dow 30 Industrials / NY & Nasdaq Composite, Etc. ) ;b) My proprietary Inflection Point Count which is very - broad based ;c) The Commodity Index.

    Understand that this graphic / chart presents both Primary Cycles and Secondary Cycles in the stock market. I seldom participate (Buy / Sell or Short / Cover ) in Secondary Cycles.

    You can view this excellent Indicator at:http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$INDU&p=W&yr=1&mn=0&dy=0&id=p69359735342&a=270034212

    Note: Should you have interest in my professional guidance and direction for your Portfolios, please Email Me with your questions or thoughts: senorstevedrmx@yahoo.com.

    For Daily Updates and a Deeper View into my work / Analytics, you might want to Click and Scroll Down to my "Thumb-Nail" Articles within my personal blog.

    Please spend some time reading my articles for a perspective of their and also viewing my Bio before making inquiries. Sharing a bit about yourself and your financial and needs, goals and objectives would be appreciated.

    A relationship between You and Your Asset Manager must be a "Win / Win" affair. You get the Performance and the Education and I get paid for my Analytics / Work and Experience.

    Smile, Have Fun, Investing Wisely,

    Dr. Steve

    AAPL, GE, GOOG, AMZN, CSCO, GLD, MSFT, SLV, T, XOM, SPY, QQQ, DIA

    Stocks: AAPL, GE, GOOG, AMZN, CSCO, GLD, MSFT, SLV, T, XOM, SPY, QQQ, DIA
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Comments (4)
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  • user11588511
    , contributor
    Comments (2) | Send Message
     
    I'm glad you're back!
    29 May 2014, 11:11 AM Reply Like
  • Steven Bauer
    , contributor
    Comments (13) | Send Message
     
    Author’s reply » How very nice of you to take the time to say so.

     

    I just cannot do my deep research and publish at the same time. My analytics are very sophisticated and that requires full time concentration.

     

    Again thanks,

     

    Dr. Steve
    30 May 2014, 08:17 AM Reply Like
  • user11588511
    , contributor
    Comments (2) | Send Message
     
    I fully understand. Your depth of knowledge of the market is superb, as many people will find out in the future. I look forward to reading your analysis every day, and believe me, I don't say that lightly. I'm sorry you might "go dark" one day; I hope you don't completely. Meanwhile, I am recommending that people contact you if they are looking for a money manager that will protect them from what is coming, and also profit during difficult times.
    4 Jun 2014, 10:39 PM Reply Like
  • Steven Bauer
    , contributor
    Comments (13) | Send Message
     
    Author’s reply » Your reply is one of the most gracious I have received. Believe me, they can be almost scary.
    Thanks for your referrals and I would be most pleased to offer guidance to a person such as you any time 24/7.

     

    My Best,

     

    Steve
    5 Jun 2014, 08:23 AM Reply Like
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