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Steven Bauer
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My Biography: In 2001, I retired and now permanently reside in Mexico. After 5 years of managing my own affairs, I resumed my career in 2007 as a financial analyst / asset manager. My career began while in University as a – manual chartist for some wealthy Investors, who had a fancy math formula... More
My blog:
Investing Wisely
  • Seeing And Knowing Beyond The Now ! – For – June 20th. 0 comments
    Jun 20, 2014 9:14 AM | about stocks: AAPL, GE, GOOG, AMZN, CSCO, GLD, MSFT, SLV, T, XOM, SPY, QQQ, DIA

    Seeing and Knowing Beyond the Now ! - for - June 20th.

    Each week, within my Personal Blog, I take you through the market from my eyes, knowledge and my very long and profitable experience. Management of Client assets is not an easy job and few measure up to the task. I try very hard to share that dissecting my 37 Groupings (i.e.- my 12 Sectors) of my Universe is vitally important if you are seeking superior and consistent annual profits. It is a matter of Results and I have delivered over the decades as well as any.

    My Groupings include the Large, Mid and Small Caps; my 12 Sectors and many Industry Groups and Commodities. Also I do this for my four (Client) Asset Allocation Models. This is how I go about providing myself and my Clients with on going superior and consistence profits in both Bull and Bear Market environments.

    It is a lot of Work but it is also very Rewarding.

    Like in most things in this world it is a matter of doing my homework each and every week. This all comes from many years of training and experience as well as having the patience and discipline to execute (Buy / Sell - Short / Cover Orders and Recommendations) when it is prudent - that is at Bullish and Bearish Inflection Points and to hold Cash when the probabilities of profiting are clearly against you.

    I repeat from other articles - my strong opinion: Hedging and using Over-Diversification (Mutual Funds) -- to manage assets is the most ridiculous approach I can think of - - If Profit is YOUR Objective. For those Investors who Hedge or use Mutual Funds, I recommend - Try using your brain (or work with someone who does) with specific analytics and not spend your time or talents in devious ways to invest yours and other peoples money. If you KNOW what you are doing you don't Hedge or Grossly Over Diversify.

    Yes, there are people in many walks of life that have the ability to use the tools of their trade to "Seeing and Knowing Beyond the Now !" The "tools of your trade" used in this Marketplace to "Invest Wisely" are very different than those of the "Now" - Trader. (please think about that). Get rich "Now" with no effort or woke is the new American Dream and it will fail you every time. It is a sad fact that the old American Dream is fading or perhaps has already faded into the sunset. Yes, times are different, but few accept this as - FACT - or - REALITY!

    In this ever increasing "Now" world the Dynamics continue to be every more complex. It is unbelievable how many BALLS must be kept in the air to succeed and profit. "Now" is the focus and that focus is very expensive for those who are investing in this Stock Market. Here is my resource - offered in spades.

    Traders (In the old days they shot traders and now Wall Street "Embraces" Them - - Ever Wonder Why?)

    Here are two URLs of excellent information on Trading: Just type in to Google: Is stock market Trading profitable

    http://www.stock-market-prowess.com/12-reasons-why-youll-never-be-profitable-as-a-trader-or-investor-part-1

    http://www.rediff.com/money/2007/dec/05bspec.htm

    There are many more . . .

    Lazy / Complacent and Head in the Sand ( or ) Some Where Else Where The Sun Does Not Shine

    Of the ninety-five million U.S. Investors most want it "NOW" and do not have the slightest clue of the Risks they are taking and the Odds of their being a winner (consistently profitable investor). Don't Accept That You Must Lose Some Of the Time - - - You Can Be a Consistent Winner!

    Competing with professionals in any realm is just plain stupid, yet there are many who continue to try each and every day. I'll never understand, so I just keep producing my articles and am blessed with a rather steady flow of new Clients who seem to "Buy Into" my words, performance and methodology of "Investing Wisely."

    This Guy Knew What He was Doing! Unfortunately, in the current "NOW" World few (even professionals) - - DO!

    I See My Job as Seeing that YOU Know What YOU are Doing - - I Also Teach Like "This Guy" Did

    This Friday - Weekly Series of articles will help you do just that. I will use my information and data from my Wednesday Articles that address how I dissect my twelve Sectors to Identify my C4Bs and C4Ss. (These are 12 of my 37 Groupings and have historically provided both leading and clear Data and Information

    { The "Odds" of profiting or losing at any given time as the Market Cycles from Bullish to Bearish and Back to Bullish over the Years }.

    Profitable Candidates for Buying and Candidates for Short Selling is the derivative of my Analytics.

    Seeing Beyond the Now and Knowing what to expect is both an art and a science. As you read the many Blogs out there in cyber-space - - Few if any Financial Analysts / Asset Managers have this tool in place and working 24/7. If they do, they certainly do not mention or share it with Investors such as YOU!

    Table with Notes

    This Table is one of several I use in my Weekly Sector Articles - published each Wednesday. It is a great way to focus my research towards the probabilities of Profits where the Profits are going to be and perhaps more important where they are NOT going to be.

    My very recent past article - - published this past Wednesday - - covering 3 more of my Sectors covered Health Care / Industrials / Retail. The following Table is but the tip of the ice-berg of the derivative data and information I have collected over the, but it gives both you and me a direction and guidance as to which Sectors and in turn which Industry Groups upon which to spend my Analytic time and energy.

    Caveat: I strongly advise you spend much time between the above referenced and this article. You will hopefully, rather quickly, begin to "SEE" and "KNOW" how to be a consistently profitable Investor. You might also realize that you will be mentored if you become my Client and follow my specific work / analytics in Real Time. Coming on board my ship is a true adventure in learning and profiting.

    (click to enlarge)

    Notes: You can see that None of the above 3 Sectors will continue to perform as well as in the past 5 years. Under-performing, is unacceptable and this part of my Methodology tells me, ahead of making investment which Sectors or Grouping (37) to avoid and / or focus upon in the coming months.. Utilities will not perform well and almost never does perform well.

    Here is the rub for those of you who often take incorrectly or mis-use / mis-understand my articles. a) it's the Industry Groups within the Sectors that I focus on. To generally assume all Companies within a strong Sector will do well or to assume all Companies within a weak Sector will do poorly is just not using you head and that (as you should already know) is often very often expensive; b) Even strong / weak Industry Groups have their Best of the Best / Worst of the Worst - Component - Companies. That is why I preach "Selectivity" and investing only in those securities that are clearly "Favorable" for Buying and "Un-Favorable" for Short-Selling; c) All of my investment decisions for formal recommendations to my Clients are based on my proprietary use of Inflection Points. Again and unfortunately for many Investors, my General Market Inflection Points are often quite different from my Sector, Industry Group, Commodity and Company Inflection Points. You might remember my touting my article on "Rotation." This marketplace is no longer a place that you can rely on it being consistent through out all the many asset classes.

    Personal Note

    Statistics and Probabilities was a full year math course in my Engineering Under Graduate work. It was the four most difficult courses of study I can remember (Quarter System). Ironically, I have spent my professional career using these fine courses and the Knowledge they provide my - - to prosper in the stock market.

    Mini Conclusion

    Yes, there are many Sector ETFs that you can use from my research and analytics. Again it is first the "seeing" and then the "knowing" and that information is much too elusive for you to try save paying a one percent asset management fee to try to "Do it for Yourself for FREE." The stock market is NOT a Buy on Rumor or Opinions from a Blog. You will never learn or be a profitable Investor if this is your mind-set. My advice is just plain DON'T ! - - - waste you time in 95+% of the Articles being written by wannabe's wishing to-be professionals who do not have the Time / the Temperament / the Training to be promulgated their Views in today's Financial Cyber-Space.

    You might want to read my articles and their archive articles on: (AAPL), (GE), (GOOG), (AMZN), (CSCO), (GLD), (MSFT), (SLV), (T), (XOM).

    Note: Should you have interest in my professional guidance and direction for your Portfolios, please Email Me with your questions or thoughts: senorstevedrmx@yahoo.com.

    For Daily Updates and a Deeper View into my work / Analytics, you might want to Click and Scroll Down to my "Thumb-Nail" Articles within my personal blog.

    Please spend some time reading my articles for a perspective of their and also viewing my Bio before making inquiries. Sharing a bit about yourself and your financial and needs, goals and objectives would be appreciated.

    A relationship between You and Your Asset Manager must be a "Win / Win" affair. You get the Performance and the Education and I get paid for my Analytics / Work and Experience.

    Smile, Have Fun, Investing Wisely,

    Dr. Steve

    AAPL, GE, GOOG, AMZN, CSCO, GLD, MSFT, SLV, T, XOM, SPY, QQQ, DIA

    Stocks: AAPL, GE, GOOG, AMZN, CSCO, GLD, MSFT, SLV, T, XOM, SPY, QQQ, DIA
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