Dominion Resources, Inc. - Utilities are at a Point of Extreme Caution
Dominion Resources looks better on the Charts than on or within its basic fundamentals. My Valuations are not at all impressive. Up is Up and that cannot be disputed. A very possible Top at $72. has been made.
I recently said: "The next rally is not yet Forecast but will be very interesting to monitor on a daily basis. So far D is not rallying with the General Market and that is not a positive thing. Taking profits at the highest and most prudent level is my focus."
At this writing I am not impressed with Dominion.
My previously written articles on D (just click) provide you the history of my forecasting, its accuracy and support for my performance. For over 50 years my management objective is to identify changing trends for my forecasting analytics. I simple want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this company and its industry peers.
My Performance (my 5-Year Table) for Income Allocation Model Portfolios is available by clicking: Income Performance. I believe it accurately shares the rather positive results by first Forecasting and then making Investment Decisions. I hope you will agree.
Look at the Profits for Dominion Resources - Over the Years
It is simple, all Companies Cycle from "Favorable" to "Un-Favorable" and in between, they are "Also Rans." This horse-racing metaphor is the best guidance I have to explain how to know the Good / Bad and the Ugly for all securities on the planet.
Dominion Resources - has: a) UP in 20 years - - BUT - - (study the peak to peak and trough to trough); b) is UP over 100% in Favorable time-frames; is DOWN over 50% in Un-Favorable time-frames; and c) has spent years as an "Also-Ran." The Company - has: a) gone Up in 20 years (study the peak to peak and trough to trough); b) is UP over 100% in Favorable time-frames; is DOWN over 50% in Un-Favorable time-frames; and c) has spent years as an "Also-Ran." What a Waste of time and money during "Un-Favorable and Also-Ran time frames - don't you think?
The Company like so many others has taken some big hits over the years!
Have a long look at this Chart, it tells you a story about how to make and preserve your profits. Click on D. It is not hard to understand how Bear Markets can cause financial set-backs for years and in many cases those set-backs are never recovered. I have over 50 years of successfully doing what I call "preventative maintenance."
Make just a 5 - 10 minute Study of this chart and the others I provide in similar articles you will be convinced that "Being Selective" with the "What" and the "When" of investing your money you will become a very profitable Investor. It is my clear answer to being a Consistently Profitable for my Clients. If you are not "convinced" - - then - - stay with your mutual funds and remain an Investor willing to accept Up and Down performance similar to this Company over the coming years. I suggest that - You deserve Better . . .
( Please go-to my Wednesday - Thumb-Nail - for my articles on ""Sectors." )
You can do better / have it all and I can teach you how !
My management objective is to identify changing trends for my Forecasting Analytics. Simple stated, I want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this Sector and Industry Group.
A Special Note for Seniors & Retired Investors - Dividend Yield for (NYSE:D): 3.37%
I believe you folks deserve much better service and investment direction and guidance that either Wall Street or the Brokerage Community is / has been providing. Being a retired Asset Manager / Financial Analyst is a joy for me to assist you and meet your investment - needs, goals and objective.
My Mission is to provide guidance and direction for conservatively providing consistent annual and superior profitable results for each Formal Recommendation I make to my Clients.
Note: The Difference Between You and the Pros: Clearly you should be profitable and making money by owning Dominion Resources. Via my Emails, I have found that many Investors are struggling with other securities they are holding. I have offered direction to hundreds of Investors and can share with you why you are perhaps holding losing securities and provide a conservative and low risk remedy.
Forecast w/ 5 Year Performance:
Dominion Resources, Inc. and other Utility Sector Companies are tracking well. Although (D) is in a strong Rally (however, it is clearly Topping) as has the Utility Sector. It is always an excellent contributor to the accuracy of my Analytics.
Note: The below Table is for your review, questions and perhaps thoughts. If you are seeking to "Invest Wisely" in my "Income - Asset Allocation Model" - - please Email me to open a dialog on how I go about providing super performance with a very low threshold of Risk.
My Current Forecast is not as bright as you may think! (I will be more specific upon request).
If you own or are considering owning Electric Power Companies, the securities are definitely a mixed bag. Dominion Resources, Inc. is currently strong Technically but I have reservations about my Fundamental Valuation, therefore I have placed it on an Initial Bearish Forecast - "Warning."
My Current Opinion is to HOLD for Now
* Fundamentally - ( weighting - - 40% ): My Analytics (weighting) for my Fundamental Valuation play a vital role in profitable managing money. At this time my Valuations of (D) are not as positive as perhaps you are being told by other sources that we both read. Plainly stated they are seriously declining for the foreseeable future. This does not make for a positive fundamental valuation of any Company.
* Technically - ( weighting - - 35% ): Even with this fine Company, my Indicators are notably breaking down. It is off of its highs of $72. selling for $70. I believe it is in the early stage of Topping.
* Consensus Opinion - ( weighting - - 25% ): My third pillar of Research is one that is ALWAYS distorted to the Positive by most all financial analysts. That's because they are afraid of being Bearish. I Am NOT! My articles on "Reality" are supportive of the below 20 year Chart.
I will personally and promptly reply to any serious investor's inquiry as to my very cautious position for (D) !
"Selectivity" is what I preach (along with Patience and Discipline) and is what separates the Average Investor and Mutual Funds from the profits that come with long-hours / hard work and "Selectivity."
Here are a number of the Component Companies / Peers in the Conventional Electricity Industry Group that I focus on rather frequently: (D), (NYSE:EXC), (NYSE:SO), (NYSE:FE), (NYSE:NRG), (NYSE:AEP), (NYSE:AES), (NYSE:CNP), (NYSE:PPL), (NYSE:DUK), (NYSE:CPN), (NYSE:CMS), (NYSE:XEL), (NYSE:PCG), (NYSE:CIG), (NYSE:ETR), (NYSE:TE), (NYSE:PEG), (NYSE:NVE), (NYSE:NEE), (NYSE:ED), (NYSE:EIX), (NYSE:NI), (NYSE:POM), (NYSE:AEE), (NU), (NYSE:WEC), (NYSE:DTE).
Note: Should you have interest in my professional guidance and direction for your Portfolios, please Email Me with your questions or thoughts: firstname.lastname@example.org.
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A relationship between You and Your Asset Manager must be a "Win / Win" affair. You get the Performance and the Education and I get paid for my Analytics / Work and Experience.
Smile, Have Fun, "Investing Wisely,"
D, EXC, SO, FE, NRG, AEP, AES, CNP, PPL, DUK, CPN, CMS, XEL, PCG, CIG, ETR, TE, PEG, NVE, NEE, ED, EIX, NI, POM, AEE, NU, WEC, DTE