Caterpillar, Inc. - It Ran Like a Gazelle and Now is Crawling Back Again to Highs of 2011
Caterpillar, Inc. clearly has been one of the leading Ex-Dow 30 Companies. It has ascended very nicely over the past year. My Indicators (fundamentally and technically) are and have been breaking down that spells caution.
Recovering to its highs of April 2011 is not the kind of performance I am seeking.
How things change! And there are always "hind-sight" reasons why. My job is to provide "fore-sight" and I do! It is currently on a Hold-Cash, and my Indicators are continuing to break down. That decision was premature but we still registered a very fine profit.
My previously written articles on CAT (just click) provide you the history of my forecasting, its accuracy and support for my performance.
My Performance for Caterpillar can be found in the table below and is well over 140% per year for the three year holding period.
Look at the Profits for CAT - Over the Years
The Company like so many others has taken some big hits over the years!
Have a long look at this Chart, it tells you a story about how to make and preserve your profits. Click on CAT. It is not hard to understand how Bear Markets can cause financial set-backs for years and in many cases those set-backs are never recovered. I have over 50 years of successfully doing what I call "preventative maintenance."
A Special Note for Seniors & Retired Investors - Dividend Yield for Caterpillar: 2.56%
Forecast w/ 5 Year Performance
Caterpillar, Inc. and other Heavy Machinery Companies are tracking the Utilities sector well. There is always an end to a rally and many Utility Companies are not producing the price accent ion that is expected. There are very valid reasons why!
Note: The below Table is for your review, questions and perhaps thoughts. If you would like to "Invest Wisely" in my Income & Growth Asset Allocation Model," please email me to open a dialog on how I go about providing superior performance with a very low threshold of risk.
My Current Forecast is not as bright as you may think! (I will be more specific upon your email request).
If you own or are considering owning conventional electricity companies, the securities are becoming a mixed and rather negative bag. Caterpillar, Inc. is currently relatively weak technically and I have reservations about my fundamental valuation; however, it is on my Initial Bearish Forecast - "Warning."
My Current Opinion is to Hold-Cash. Profits were taken in July and cash is my current safe haven. For me, cash is a balancing of my below three (weighted) pillars of research.
* Fundamentally - ( weighting - - 40% ), my Valuations remains relatively strong but are "Poor - Flat" and on the Decline. That produces future declining valuation projections.
* Technically _ ( weighting - - 35% ), my Indicators are clearly breaking down. The current price of $110.
* Consensus Opinion - ( weighting - - 25% ): My third pillar of research is one that is always distorted to the positive by most all financial analysts. That's because they are afraid of being bearish. I am not! My articles on "reality" are supportive of the below 20 year Chart.
I will personally and promptly reply to any serious investor's inquiry as to my very cautious position for CAT !
"Selectivity" is what I preach (along with discipline and patience) and is what separates the average investor and mutual funds from the profits that come with long-hours / hard work and "selectivity."
Here are a number of the Component Companies / Peers in the Conventional Electricity Industry Group that I focus on rather frequently if you wish to follow me: (NYSE:CAT), (NYSE:MTW), (NYSE:DE), (NYSE:TEX), (NYSE:CMI), (NYSE:MTOR), (NASDAQ:WPRT), (NYSE:TRN). And, more . . .
Note: Should you have interest in my professional guidance and direction for your Portfolios, please Email Me with your questions or thoughts: firstname.lastname@example.org.
For Daily Updates and a Deeper View into my work / Analytics, you might want to Click and Scroll Down to my "Thumb-Nail" Articles within my personal blog.
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A relationship between You and Your Asset Manager must be a "Win / Win" affair. You get the Performance and the Education and I get paid for my Analytics / Work and Experience.
Smile, Have Fun, "Investing Wisely,"
CAT, MTW, DE, TEX, CMI, MTOR, WPRT, TRN