Shailesh Kumar is the founder of Value Stock Guide. He primarily invests in Stocks and likes to pay less for Stocks than he thinks they are worth.He likes to keep things simple. High finance often involves too much reliance on models at the expense of common sense which does a disservice to... More
Instablogs are Seeking Alpha's free blogging platform customized for finance, with instant set up and exposure to millions of readers interested in the financial markets. Publish your own instablog in minutes.
-
Instablogged Stocks
Stocks that instabloggers have most recently written about -
Latest Instablog Posts
- 1 Insurance Industry Stock Outlook
- 2 Trend Exhaustion On 3 Timeframes: We Finally...
- 3 Totally Tragic
- 4 SodaStream Research
- 5 Monetary Policy Week In Review – May 25, 201...
-
Top Instablogs
See all Top Instablogs »










Exited HLYS For 11.92% Gain - Margin Of Safety Is No Longer Enough 0 comments
More details about the transaction is on the site.
The purchase thesis for HLYS was its net-net valuation. Even while the business is struggling, the company's balance sheet is strong. The stock price has struggled but the market valuation was/is below the cash on hand. With no debt, the liquidation value of the company exceeded its market value when the stock was purchased.
Even today, the stock may still be considered undervalued. However, the margin of safety is much lower. As the stock approached my target sell price, it made sense to exit the position and redeploy the capital in other opportunities.
If you are still considering HLYS for its valuation, realize that the cash burn rate is quite high and the management has struggled to figure out a way of growing or stabilizing its business. Various safety issues around its wheeled footwear has not helped. While the management has blamed everything in sight, including the tsunami in Japan, the fact remains that the company has not been able to figure out a way out of its business decline.
Still, every stock is a buy at a low enough price, and HLYS was a buy when I purchased it. There is still a possibility that the company may be bought out for its cash, but with each passing day the possibility becomes less so. With the cash balance now eroding, it no longer fits my margin of safety requirement.
Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.
Additional disclosure: Prior holding
Instablogs are blogs which are instantly set up and networked within the Seeking Alpha community. Instablog posts are not selected, edited or screened by Seeking Alpha editors, in contrast to contributors' articles.
Share this Instablog
Latest Followers
StockTalks
-
We got out of $UVE with 76.14% total return in 6 months http://bit.ly/10nOzQk
May 7, 2013
-
We got out of $ROICW with 199.11% return in 1 year: http://bit.ly/10eiQzY
May 6, 2013
-
Out of $AM - 36.62% in 15 months http://bit.ly/Z4qdud
Apr 4, 2013
More »Latest Comments
Most Commented
Posts by Themes