Seeking Alpha

Michael Michaud's  Instablog

Michael Michaud
Send Message
Michael Michaud is the founder of Invest2Success.com (http://www.invest2success.com/) and the Invest2Success Blog (http://invest2success.blogspot.com/). He has been investing and trading in the financial markets since 1989. He founded Invest2Success.com to empower individual institutional... More
My company:
Invest2Success
My blog:
Invest2Success Blog
  • Investing In US Mortgage Profits 0 comments
    Aug 26, 2013 6:10 AM | about stocks: NSM, JPM, HST, SPG, EQR, AIV, VNO, BXP, FCH, CBG, JLL

    Click Here for a Free Trial of the "Profit Rockets" Stock Pick Service

    As a result of excellent second quarter results, earnings estimates have been rising for Nationalstar Mortage Holdings (NYSE:NSM), sending the stock back to Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy).

    About the Company

    Based in Lewisville, Texas, Nationstar is one of the leading residential mortgage services companies in the U.S., with a servicing portfolio of $312 billion. The company offers servicing, origination, and real estate services to financial institutions and consumers.

    Excellent Results for the Second Quarter

    On August 6, 2013, Nationstar reported its second quarter 2013 results. Pro-forma earnings for the quarter came in at of $1.50 per share substantially ahead of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.97 per share.

    Earnings were up in comparison to both the prior quarter pro forma earnings of $0.85 per share and Q2 2012 pro forma earnings of $0.44 per share.

    Total revenues came in at $603.7 million, up 40% from the prior quarter and up 198% from the second quarter of 2012. Total originations during the quarter surged to $7.1 billion, up 109% from $3.4 billion in the first quarter.

    Pro forma servicing portfolio stood at $435 billion and the bulk acquisition and flow pipelines grew to the $400 billion during the quarter.

    Strong results for the reported quarter were primarily a result of higher volumes, lower original expenses and the company's focus on high margin channels. During the quarter, Nationstar completed the acquisition of the mortgage origination business of Greenlight Financial Services for $75 million. The company expects Greenlight to originate more than $8 billion annually.

    The management reaffirmed its guidance for FY 2013 at $4.05-$4.75 per share and for FY 2014 at $6.45-$7.50 per share.

    Positive Earnings Estimates Revisions

    As a result of excellent results, analysts have been revising their estimates for current quarter and the fiscal year 2013. Zacks consensus estimates for the current quarter and the current year have increased to $1.25 and $4.63 per share respectively, up from $1.23 and $4.39 per share, 30 days ago. The company has delivered positive surprises in each of the last four quarter-with an average surprise of 21.75%.

    Solid Industry Outlook

    Mortgage servicing industry stands to benefit from the improving economy and the healing job market. As the economy improves and rates rise, prepayments slow down extending the cash flow of servicing assets. NSM had acquired a large amount of mortgaged assets over the last 3 years at very low acquisition multiples. The company expects the value of these assets to appreciate as the economy improves.

    Lower unemployment leads to a reduction in portfolio delinquencies, servicing costs and advance balances.

    Further, a number of large financial institutions have recently announced that they intend to explore the sale of additional servicing assets. According to NSM's management, this trend bodes well for Nationstar and will undoubtedly allow them to continue to grow their platform.

    The Bottom Line

    NSM is a Zacks Rank#1 (Strong Buy) stock. It also has a longer-term Zacks recommendation of "Outperform". Further with an improving outlook for the mortgage servicing, this stock should be a solid pick for your portfolio.

    Click Here to Review More Financial Intelligence

    Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, but may initiate a long position in NSM over the next 72 hours.

Back To Michael Michaud's Instablog HomePage »

Instablogs are blogs which are instantly set up and networked within the Seeking Alpha community. Instablog posts are not selected, edited or screened by Seeking Alpha editors, in contrast to contributors' articles.

Comments (0)
Track new comments
Be the first to comment
Full index of posts »
Latest Followers

StockTalks

More »

Latest Comments


Posts by Themes
Instablogs are Seeking Alpha's free blogging platform customized for finance, with instant set up and exposure to millions of readers interested in the financial markets. Publish your own instablog in minutes.