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Michael Michaud is the founder of Invest2Success.com (http://www.invest2success.com/) and the Invest2Success Blog (http://invest2success.blogspot.com/). He has been investing and trading in the financial markets since 1989. He founded Invest2Success.com to empower individual institutional... More
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  • Obama Will Announce His Selection Of Yellen To Replace Bernanke 0 comments
    Oct 9, 2013 4:21 AM

    The dollar got some support against the majors on Wednesday from news that President Obama has tapped dovish Federal Reserve Vice Chairwoman Janet Yellen to head the U.S. central bank… but still U.S. budget impasse kept the dollar index near an eight-month low.

    Asian shares: Japan's Nikkei 1.03%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng -0.63%(07:10 GMT), Australia's ASX 200 0.07% and China's Shanghai 0.62%.

    The dollar index DXY erased early losses and was up about 0.1 percent at 80.128. But it did not stray far from a 79.627 trough hit last Thursday, a low not seen since early February.

    Concerns are rising that a resolution will not be reached before that deadline when Congress must decide whether to raise the government's borrowing limit, or the U.S. faces an historic debt default.

    Holders of US government debt draw up contingency plans for default. No one expects it to happen, but everyone's making sure they're prepared for it. Banks, funds and asset management firms holding U.S. government bonds are drawing up contingency plans on how to deal with potentially the most cataclysmic financial and economic event of all - a default by the United States. The overwhelming consensus among all the firms contacted by Reuters is that Republicans and Democrats will come together at the 11th hour and avert disaster. Treasury bonds and bills remain the most liquid government securities in the world, however, and form the lion's share of the $11 trillion of central banks' foreign exchange reserves. No country rated triple-A or double-A, the highest investment-grade categories, has ever defaulted.

    S&P has said the country will be downgraded to "selective default" if it fails to service a debt obligation.

    Obama will announce his selection of Yellen later on Wednesday. If confirmed by the U.S. Senate, Yellen would replace Ben Bernanke, whose second four-year term ends on January 31.

    Americans' confidence in the economy has deteriorated more in the past week during the partial government shutdown than in any week since Lehman Brothers collapsed on Sept. 15, 2008.

    Japan's finance minister also pressed the United States on Tuesday to quickly resolve the deadlock while the International Monetary Fund's chief economist said a U.S. default could lead to a recession "or even worse".

    BOJ's Nakaso sees no immediate need to ease monetary policy. Will make necessary policy adjustment if external and domestic risks alter the BOJ's price and economic forecasts. Global economic uncertainty remains high. Fwd guidance and clear communication of policy intention is crucial for all central banks. Japan on path toward 2% inflation target.

    Koichi Hamada is an economic adviser to Japanese PM Abe. See Yellen keeping accommodative stance to spur recovery. Yellen 'most appropriate person to run the Fed. Wants BOJ to act if stronger yen threatens Japan's economic recovery.

    Australian consumer confidence eased in October, pulling back from a 33-month peak.

    Watch: UK & German industrial output, US Treasuries yield.

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