Seeking Alpha

alpha_zeta's  Instablog

alpha_zeta
Send Message
A-Z
  • AEG & ING - costing them to stay in some insurance lines in USA? will they exit those, too? 0 comments
    Aug 1, 2011 8:59 AM | about stocks: AEG, ING
    AEG (and ING): very nice that you say the company plans to increase its ROE a little, but "How?" is not stated.

    In a low interest rate environment, the absolute yields are low and expenses cannot continue to be reduced, therefore shrinking investment margins are the norm.

    So, sell more volume you say?

    Now look at the risk based capital that must be posted :
    a) US regulatory - NAIC
    b) rating agency- S&P, Moody's, Fitch, etc
    c) European regulatory -- uh oh, whammmmo - look how much higher this cost is for some product lines sold by AEG (and ING )

    Solvency II is analogous to a "180 degree regulatory arbitrage", likely causing more strategic reviews of their businesses.

    Could the Europeans eventually divest some of their USA insurance operations? (in addition to the banking and reinsurance) AEG (and ING): very nice that you say the company plans to increase its ROE a little, but "How?" is not stated.

    In a low interest rate environment, the absolute yields are low and expenses cannot continue to be reduced, therefore shrinking investment margins are the norm.

    So, sell more volume you say?

    Now look at the risk based capital that must be posted :
    a) US regulatory - NAIC
    b) rating agency- S&P, Moody's, Fitch, etc
    c) European regulatory -- uh oh, whammmmo - look how much higher this cost is for some product lines sold by AEG (and ING )

    Solvency II is analogous to a "180 degree regulatory arbitrage", likely causing more strategic reviews of their businesses.

    Could the Europeans eventually divest some of their USA insurance operations? (in addition to the banking and reinsurance) 
    Stocks: AEG, ING
Back To alpha_zeta's Instablog HomePage »

Instablogs are blogs which are instantly set up and networked within the Seeking Alpha community. Instablog posts are not selected, edited or screened by Seeking Alpha editors, in contrast to contributors' articles.

Full index of posts »
Latest Followers

StockTalks

  • CEDC - costs will increase 35% b/c of regulations ; financing cost is increasing (lower credit quality, due to lower profits)
    Aug 4, 2011
  • CEDC guides 2011 EPS outlook down 25%
    Aug 4, 2011
  • CEDC Put:Call ratio very high. Very large Puts bets at lower strike prices. Could drop to $6,5 or $2.5 by year end 2011
    Aug 3, 2011
More »
Posts by Themes
Instablogs are Seeking Alpha's free blogging platform customized for finance, with instant set up and exposure to millions of readers interested in the financial markets. Publish your own instablog in minutes.