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Weekly Investment Research Digest - 14 Sep 2013

Sep. 15, 2013 11:58 AM ETVWO, GAZ-OLD, DNI, DVY, SDY, DBC, DJP, EUFN, EURS
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This edition of the Research Clippings Weekly Investment Research Digest features insights features research on quantitative driven investing in emerging markets, natural gas opportunities in Australia, the impact of rising rates on dividends, the case for commodities, how the Fed sees the unemployment rate, and why value stock hunters are looking to Europe.

A Quantitative Approach to Investing in Emerging Market Equities

Invesco outline the principles behind their quantitative approach for investing in emerging market equities. The article outlines how emerging market stocks are an increasingly important asset class; providing opportunities to benefit from stronger growth prospects and faster growing emerging markets. The article also details the framework for portfolio construction and implementation.

Natural Gas: Keeping Australia's Economy From Going Down Under

Sara Potter of FactSet reviews some of the recent developments in the Australian economy, including the change of government, monetary policy loosening, an anticipated downturn following the peak in mining investment, as well as some future opportunities for China; such as export growth.

What Rising Rates Mean for Stock Dividends

Darren Jaroch of Putnam explains that while rising interest rates will likely have a dampening effect on high dividend yielding stocks and sectors, the trend has been for more and more companies to pay dividends. Thus while rates may rise, dividends may also continue to rise.

The Party's Over. Why Own Commodities?

Jon Ruff and Seth Masters of AllianceBernstein describe how the commodity "supercycle" of the early 2000's may be over as new supply comes to market. In the case of iron ore and oil there are some natural limits to the price in the immediate term. In the longer term commodities will likely continue to combat inflation and outperform bonds and equities during inflation spikes.

Unemployment, Participation and the Fed

Zach Pandl of Columbia Management explains why he thinks the unemployment rate is still a very important measure for the Fed in conducting monetary policy - despite arguments about its deficiencies. He further points out that the labor force participation rate can remain persistently lower after a financial crisis, thus the Fed will be paying due attention to the lower official unemployment rate.

USGS - Non-Ferrous Metals Production Statistics

This article from CEIC outlines their new datasets on commodity production; with a focus on aluminium, copper, and lead; three key industrial commodities that are widely traded and also used as a proxy for detecting economic activity. The statistics show a marked improvement in supply over the last decade as a commodity price boom encouraged investment in commodity production.

What Value Hunters Might See in European Stocks

This brief note and video clip from Putnam reviews the opportunities that are starting to present themselves in Europe. Given the significant risks brought to light in Europe over the past couple of years valuations have been depressed. Now that economic growth is returning, there may be some interesting opportunities.

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