Alex Filonov's  Instablog

Alex Filonov
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I was born in 1956 in USSR. After graduation from college in 1979 I worked full-time as an IT specialist. Until 1990 I worked for different companies in the Soviet military industrial complex. I created a small software business in 1991, which failed in 1993. I worked for Oracle Corp in 1995 in... More
My blog:
Muddling Investor
  • See-Saw 0 comments
    Dec 5, 2012 10:29 PM | about stocks: FB

    Cody Willard is right. On two counts.

    Fiscal cliff negotiations present a good trade opportunity. Buy on dips, sell on rips, leave some significant long positions. True, too many people think than we see a show in Washington and everything is going to be good in the end. As a contrarian play, it's worth it to buy some protection. I'm thinking about it.

    Yes, Cody, Sandy was a black seagull. Not a black swan, too small for that. But I agree, there are too many people making Wall Street work who's been affected. And they had to pull some money out of market, because either insurance isn't paid immediately or it doesn't cover flood damage (and it doesn't, and even flood insurance doesn't cover much. Not in the area where houses worth half a million or more.

    Several developments this week, in no particular order.

    Nasdaq is trying to break 3000 and failing. Technically, it's bad. Past support is future resistance and future is now. If it breaks and holds, hoorah!

    Dow components rally. Of course, Dow doesn't mean much lately, but worth noting.

    Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) is up. A lot. Over the level I bought my first portion. Way to go.

    Munis are in fashion. Almost every muni CEF reduced payout all I hold did. Despite that, almost all of them are up. I will do some selling and readjusting before New Year, watch my StockTalk. I think many people are moving money from money market and CDs to the next safest (in common view) investment vehicle. Well, when the crown moves somewhere, time to think of getting out, eventually.

    Corporate debt is not in fashion. That's probably where I'm going to move part of my money from munis.

    Attention here! I don't give advice. I advise you not to follow my trades blindly. I do make mistakes and lose money. Yes, in the years I was successful, there is no guarantee that it was my brain and not just a blind luck. Even if it was brain, beware! Brains have a nasty habit to fade with time. So, do your own research and use your own brain. And beware the crowds.

    Disclosure: I am long FB.

    Additional disclosure: Positions can change any time

    Stocks: FB
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