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Michael McDonough
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Michael is an economist and primary contributor to the Bloomberg Brief: Economics Newsletter. To subscribe either go to {BRIEF <GO>} for terminal users, or alternatively http://www.bloomberg.com/brief for non-terminal users. The Economics Brief is intended for portfolio managers, traders,... More
My company:
Bloomberg LP
My blog:
Fiat Economics
  • Global Modified Misery Index as a Barometer for Civil Unrest 0 comments
    Jan 27, 2011 8:37 AM
    Social unrest in Tunisia has shone a spotlight on the country's high inflation and unemployment, characteristics shared by many of its neighbors. The misery index developed by economist Arthur Okun traditionally adds a country’s inflation rate and unemployment to measure quality of life.

    Bloomberg Brief modified this for the map below, adding in the Democracy Index as calculated by the Economist Intelligence Unit. The following formula was used: Annual inflation + unemployment rate + (10 – EI U Democracy Index), where 10 represents a perfect democracy. The countries in orange and red represent those most at risk.

    Tunisia and Egypt, which have already experienced unrest, scored 24.9 and 27.8, respectively in this calculation. Many other countries in the region also scored high. The global average is 19.3.

    Modified Misery index Heat Map:

    ***This is an excerpt from an article in the Bloomberg Brief: Economics.  To subscribe to the newsletter please go to {BRIEF <GO>} on your terminal or www.bloomberg.com/brief


    Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.
    Themes: protests, global macro, risk
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