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Michael Fitzsimmons
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Michael Fitzsimmons
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Michael Fitzsimmons believes worldwide oil supply will have much difficulty keeping pace with worldwide oil demand given a functioning world economy. The United States imports a large percentage of its oil leading to trade and fiscal deficits. Since natural gas is the only domestic fuel capable... More
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The Big Picture 22 comments
Regardless, to make up for this wealth outflow to pay for foreign oil, the U.S. simply turns on the printing presses and increases the number of U.S. dollars.
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This post has 22 comments:
You make the same mistake as Robert Hefner III.
(By the way, I did buy his recent book (The GET) and enjoyed it very much.)
An infrastructure that is used for natural gas CANNOT be used for hydrogen.
1) CH4 (methane or natural gas) is a huge molecule in comparison to the hydrogen atom. Existing NG infrastructure will easily contain natgas, but hydrogen would leak like crazy .
2) Furthermore, hydrogen is very reactive with most metals especially at low temperatures and would destroy infrastructure designed for natgas.
I agree with you on widespread natgas usage, but reusing existing natgas infrastructure for hydrogen is not feasible . A whole new infrastructure (estimated at more than 1 trillion dollars) for United States would be needed. The Hydrogen economy is a fairy tale.
I have some friends visiting from England. They've been driving diesel vehicles for years and get upwards of 50+ mpg. Diesels can also "turn the clock" three times. That means the odometer resets 3 times! No problems starting in cold weather either. When they asked me the other day why the US hasn't shifted their energy policy in this (or any) direction that is more constructive, I don't have an answer. It's a very sad reflection of a schizophrenic energy policy controlled by special interests. Instead of forward thinking, everything is ass-backwards.
"I have some friends visiting from England. They've been driving diesel vehicles for years and get upwards of 50+ mpg. Diesels can also "turn the clock" three times. That means the odometer resets 3 times! No problems starting in cold weather either. When they asked me the other day why the US hasn't shifted their energy policy in this (or any) direction that is more constructive, I don't have an answer. It's a very sad reflection of a schizophrenic energy policy controlled by special interests. Instead of forward thinking, everything is ass-backwards. Oct 03 11:18 AM".
Diesel is an Answer whose time has come. It doesn't require an Infrastructure build up, all it needs is more engines built to operate on it. The Transportation Industry has operated for decades on diesel. Imagine the mileage increase of a Hybrid Diesel if your English visitors already get 50+ mpg.
Coal Diesel Technology is available right now. US Coal Reserves are the largest in the world. Oil Independence is within our grasp, Now, not sometime in the future waiting for an Infrastructure to be built.
Obama wants to Force-feed Health care down our throats.
I say give the American People a Choice, Do not Force them into another Trillion Dollar outlay.
The following is a Huckabee link to protest to Congress on Balancing the Budget, our vote was number 88,443.
balancecutsave.com
My point is why would you build a pipeline that can carry both natural and natgas? A hydrogen pipeline costs ten times that of a natural gas pipeline. So why would you want to carry natural gas over a hydrogen compatible line ? The analogy would be like having a discount courier service where all the drivers are equipped with Rolls Royce's. The hydrogen economy is nice in theory, but uneconomical to build on a large scale.
I think you would agree with me that money destined for hydrogen infrastructure is better spent on technology for extracting unconventional natgas like shale gas, chalk gas, tight gas or even methyl hydrates.
Why no mention of methane? With our status as the biggest waste generators on the planet, this looks to be a more practical follow-on to natural gas. The changeover from CNG to methane would be minimal.
Note that Europe is using diesel fuel for cars because they are so much more efficient. $7-9/gal fuel prices makes efficiency much more valuable to consumers. Honda builds a European diesel car (Accord) that achieved 90 mpg in test runs and it wasn't a hybrid either. The engine was designed by their famous race engine designer who was given a free hand at his request to build an advanced engine. Note this engine doesn't require urea to meet all the clean air requirements using the low sulfur diesel fuel. Imagine what they could accomplish do if they applied this approach to a hybrid NG design.
ripsky: you are exactly right about Brazil and i saw Boone Pickens once mention that. of course then the right wingers on CNBC put Brazil President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the "communist/socialist looney bin" and i haven't seen Pickens use this example since. but yeah, there was a country who had a problem, figured out a solution, made a plan, and did it! now we are lending them money to drill for oil we need - how STUPID is that? interesting about the diesel story - i had not heard that. however, diesel still comes from oil, so i can't favor that over natural gas, although surely the efficiencies would save some oil, so i favor it over gasoline! anyhow, thanks for your comments. i was expecting you to think i was in the looney bin myself with the yale/harvard comments. you might still think so, and just be too much of a gentlemen to mention it.
"longoil: i don't think we're communicating. first, i have never said we should use existing natural gas pipelines to deliver hydrogen, that was your assumption. what i *have* said is that, if we are going to build out a natural gas refueling infrastructure (and i think we should), we should, when and where it makes sense, make that infrastructure compatible with hydrogen."
To my knowledge, longoil is the one who pointed this Flaw out to you in one of your Recent Articles. But since you are Now saying that you have promulgated the Following:
"what i *have* said is that, if we are going to build out a natural gas refueling infrastructure (and i think we should), we should, when and where it makes sense, make that infrastructure compatible with hydrogen."
When, Where, what Article? I hope to the Heavens that you go and alter One of Your Instas to include this statement.
" We can look at Brazil as an example of a country that woke up after the 1973 oil embargo, made a plan to solve their imported oil problem, executed it and are now completely free from imported oil. It is just a coincidence that they are now one of few the growth economies in the world currently."
What did Brazil do to free themselves from imported Oil?
They didn't have any oil fields to speak of, They did not have any Nat. Gas Fields either. Just how did they achieve their Independance?
Another also pointed out that H is extremely corrosive to metals (all or just steel? I can't recall) at low temperatures.
If you need support, I could undertake a search of my comments to see if I recall correctly.
HardToLove
On Oct 09 02:55 AM Freya wrote:
> Michael, In your comment to longoil, you said the Following:
>
> "longoil: i don't think we're communicating. first, i have never
> said we should use existing natural gas pipelines to deliver hydrogen,
> that was your assumption. what i *have* said is that, if we are going
> to build out a natural gas refueling infrastructure (and i think
> we should), we should, when and where it makes sense, make that infrastructure
> compatible with hydrogen."
>
> To my knowledge, longoil is the one who pointed this Flaw out to
> you in one of your Recent Articles. But since you are Now saying
> that you have promulgated the Following:
>
> "what i *have* said is that, if we are going to build out a natural
> gas refueling infrastructure (and i think we should), we should,
> when and where it makes sense, make that infrastructure compatible
> with hydrogen."
>
>
> When, Where, what Article? I hope to the Heavens that you go and
> alter One of Your Instas to include this statement.
> Michael, In your comment to longoil, you said the Following:
>
> "longoil: i don't think we're communicating. first, i have never
> said we should use existing natural gas pipelines to deliver hydrogen,
> that was your assumption. what i *have* said <snip>
Here he suggest that the NG infracstructure can be used for H
seekingalpha.com/artic...-
My reply here
in-america?source=comm...
seekingalpha.com/autho...
HardToLove
seekingalpha.com/artic...
On Oct 09 01:27 PM H. T. Love wrote:
> On Oct 09 02:55 AM Freya wrote:
ripskii, What did the Brazilians use? Don't want to tell me, don't know, don't want to know?
Use the Wikipedia to look up what Brazil had in the way of Fossil Fuels prior to the present PBR find. Zippo, Nada, close to nothing.
But they had a lot of Sugar Cane and it grew really, really fast. Ethanol galore, but it couldn't be used until the engines were built to handle the Mix. So They Built Multi-Fuel engines that would be able to use anything they had available and slowly over the years, every car had a multi-fuel engine and they were Fossil Fuel Independant if they wanted to be. Who really knows whether they will continue to use Ethanol, with all of the Oil coming down the Pike, But one thing is Damn sure, those engines are what saved them.
This will allow them, under continued wise decision making, to dramatically raise the standard of living, generate an ever-growing middle class and provide an on-going political stability that can be quite rare at times.
The reason I believe this is that people often demonstrate long-term traits but the path they have followed in the recent past.
With all the problems they do have, as one is solved I would expect to see them tackle the next, and then the next, ...
My Humble Opinion,
HardToLove
On Oct 09 02:58 PM Freya wrote:
> He's been making a Big Deal of how Compatible all of those Millions
> of Miles of In place NG pipelines could be used to link to all those
> homes with a Phill attachment to make it all viable. All those connections
> Including Phills would be Totally useless in a Hydrogen environment.
>
>
> ripskii, What did the Brazilians use? Don't want to tell me, don't
> know, don't want to know?
>
> Use the Wikipedia to look up what Brazil had in the way of Fossil
> Fuels prior to the present PBR find. Zippo, Nada, close to nothing.
>
>
> But they had a lot of Sugar Cane and it grew really, really fast.
> Ethanol galore, but it couldn't be used until the engines were built
> to handle the Mix. So They Built Multi-Fuel engines that would be
> able to use anything they had available and slowly over the years,
> every car had a multi-fuel engine and they were Fossil Fuel Independant
> if they wanted to be. Who really knows whether they will continue
> to use Ethanol, with all of the Oil coming down the Pike, But one
> thing is Damn sure, those engines are what saved them.
Great article Michael . Don't forget Total SA in your list of oil producers . Great dividend as well . Doesnt Covantra work on producing fuel from methane Ie garbage ?
It is Covanta hldg LLC that is doing waste to fuel , Actually doing it . AND I just read on E-Trade , can't beat them for info ,That Soros Fund management LLC + morgan Stanley are long this stock ! HELLO . Ticker = CVA
That's all they do. Income In, build, more income. Slow and Steady.
We sure as hell aren't going to run out of garbage.
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