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Moby Waller
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Moby Waller is a former CBOE Market Maker floor trader and off the floor London-based European Index Options Trader. He now works with BigTrends.com and is a Research Analyst and Portfolio Manager for BigTrends.com's ETF TRADR (http://www.bigtrends.com/getstarted/etfgrowth/), which provides... More
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  • Nasdaq Lagging in 2010 - Will It Continue? 0 comments
    Jan 19, 2010 3:42 PM | about stocks: SPY, IWM, QQQ, DIA, MSFT, GOOG, AAPL, QCOM, SPY
    Taking a look at the 4 major index ETFs -- (SPY) for S&P 500, (DIA) for Dow Jones Industrial Average, (QQQQ) for Nasdaq 100, and (IWM) for Russell 2000 -- one can see a clear laggard thus far in 2010 ... the "Qs".

    If you examine the price performance change chart covering this calendar year, you can see that the IWM (blue), SPY (green), and DIA (red) are in a similar performance range, while the QQQQ (yellow) has been an underperformer.



    What would continued Nasdaq underperformance mean for the markets?  Well ... this index is certainly more geared to technology, biotech and growth than the DIA and SPY.  But the small-cap Russell 2000 (which has many growth stocks) is also outperforming the Qs, so that is a bit contradictory.

    In this case it looks like the weightings of the QQQQ explain the lagging performance.  Basically 4 companies, Apple (AAPL), Google (GOOG), Microsoft (MSFT) and Qualcomm (QCOM) comprise over 32% of the holdings as of the latest data.  AAPL alone is  over a 15% weighting.  Thus, the performance of these giant technology bluechips will have a large impact on future QQQQ performance.

    Disclosure: My clients are currently long a partial SPY Call position.
    Stocks: SPY, IWM, QQQ, DIA, MSFT, GOOG, AAPL, QCOM, SPY
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