Sumeet Vatsa's  Instablog

Sumeet Vatsa
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I have been investing for over four years and have gone through booms, busts and flat cycles of the market. Yep, decent experience in short duration. I am an avid student of market and analyze almost all of the trades that I make, especially the ones that go belly up. I have gone through the... More
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midas returns
  • Take On The Market 0 comments
    Mar 22, 2012 3:17 AM | about stocks: ALLT, CAT, CMI, F, FFIV, FRAN, IWM, LNKD, LULU, OIH, QQQ, SPY, STX

    I noticed few things today which struck a chord somewhere -

    Almost all the breakouts today reversed, some gave in their gains. Look at ALLT, FRAN, LNKD, ASGN, IWM, etc. Ok! ASGN might be an exaggeration;)

    Not ready to party
    OIH, oil service companies, some industrials that sport cheap multiples, and small cap stock index seem to be reluctant to join the band wagon of Nasdaq and S&P 500. OIH, IWM, and companies such as CAT, CMI, F, etc have underperformed SPY and QQQ. In fact they have been flat for almost 20 sessions. The oil service company phenomena can be explained by cheap natural gas prices but what are rest waiting for - China PMI!

    There is divergence between stock price and MACD, specially the some stocks that have been leading thus far e.g. FFIV, LULU, STX, URI, etc. But some leaders have been marching ahead like a freight train such as AAPL, PCLN, CMG, etc. See below.

    Momos are missing
    Lastly, there seems to be a dearth of good stocks to own. Of course there are oil service companies and industrials but all the high growth stocks are going sideways.

    I think we might go side ways for sometime. So the million dollar question is - should I take some (more) profits off the table? But again if we see a correction, it will be short-lived, creating more opportunities. I think most stocks will bounce off their 50 DMA. After all the 800 pound Gorilla is on our side.

    Is this a Joey Tribbiani moment?

    Can someone enlighten me?

    Some good reads till I ponder about my next move -

    Goldman is bullish (BL)

    Keystone XL (BL)

    Home Sales Fall but.. (REU)

    Disclosure: I am long FFIV, PCLN, ALLT, F, LNKD.

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