Mike Serebrennik's  Instablog

Mike Serebrennik
Send Message
I am a physician by training and now a full-time investor and entrepreneur, with a focus on spin-offs. If spin-offs outperform as a group, why not select stocks from this group as opposed to the broader universe?
  • Organizing My Money As An Early Retiree 2 comments
    Dec 11, 2013 4:45 PM

    Having read the recent article by Roger Nusbaum regarding investing emergency cash, I decided to share the strategy that I use to organize my money as an early retiree. I will also include some variant views.

    I organize my money into the following three pools:

    1. Emergency cash

    My view: This pool contains enough cash to cover approximately one year of living expenses. I do not invest this cash at all and keep it in a checking account for easy access. I agree with Roger in thinking that it is just too risky to take a chance of an even temporary depletion of this pool of cash due to fluctuation of security prices.

    Variant view: Emergency cash does not have to be separated from the account which contains securities and can even be invested. With several brokerage houses offering "cash management accounts" that have debit card and check writing privileges, this may be the most convenient option for a disciplined investor. If this cash is not invested, an investor can simply withdraw it when it is needed. If more cash is needed than is available, some securities may be sold to raise it. For example, an investor may sell a losing position to simultaneously raise cash and receive a tax deduction (or offset a gain).

    2. Dry powder

    My view: I like to keep anywhere between 10% and 25% of my investment account as cash within the brokerage account, ready to be deployed. This cash tends to accumulate when there are few attractive investment opportunities, such as after market run-ups; it tends to run low during market corrections, when there are more securities on sale. These are not hard and fast numbers; if we have another 2008-style market meltdown, all dry powder cash may become invested. Conversely, if the market is grossly overvalued for quite some time, the cash balance may become higher than expected.

    Variant view: Having dry powder may reduce performance during bull markets. Instead, an investor may replace cash with very high-quality holdings, such as Berkshire Hathaway. This way, during rising markets, an investor will capture market performance, or even exceed it. During market corrections, holdings like Berkshire Hathaway will probably decrease in price to a much lesser extent than many other stocks. One may then sell a high-quality holding and purchase beaten-down securities that stand to rebound much more vigorously during a market recovery.

    3. Securities

    My view: As an early retiree, I favor income-producing securities acquired at cheap or at least reasonable prices. I believe that it allows me to live off my investments without depleting the principal. I do allow some non-dividend payers in my portfolio, if I consider their future prospects to be excellent. Should these non-dividend payers become overvalued, I may sell them and exchange them for more attractively priced income-producing securities. I strongly favor companies that buy back their stock for cancellation, increasing the percentage of my ownership of these companies. I like to buy securities that other investors hate at the moment; I am not afraid to look abroad for interesting investment candidates. Occasionally, I may sell put options on stocks that I would really like to own at the strike price minus premium.

    Variant view: Please post yours in the comments!

    Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Back To Mike Serebrennik's Instablog HomePage »

Instablogs are blogs which are instantly set up and networked within the Seeking Alpha community. Instablog posts are not selected, edited or screened by Seeking Alpha editors, in contrast to contributors' articles.

Comments (2)
Track new comments
  • The Behavioral Economist
    , contributor
    Comments (847) | Send Message
    This is a nice piece, and I enjoy articles that show variant views so that readers gain insight from dual perspectives. I believe the idea of "Emergency Cash", or what I refer to as "Reserves", to be crucial for "pre-retirees" leading into retirement.


    There is value in knowing that a certain portion of your liquidity is immediately accessible and not subject to market volatility or any vesting requirements. If for nothing other than peace of mind, I generally think it's worthwhile.


    Again, nice piece here.
    18 Dec 2013, 09:30 PM Reply Like
  • Mike Serebrennik
    , contributor
    Comments (1247) | Send Message
    Author’s reply » Thank you very much. I appreciate your comment. Believe it or not, SA rejected this piece as an article, said it is too "personal-finance" and not very "investment" or "actionable." I suppose it is true, but wanted to keep it so posted here.


    I believe that the optionality of cash is its greatest feature and even if cash allocation hurts short term performance, the ability to deploy cash at just the right time may offset that, especially on risk-adjusted basis.


    I am about to retire and will be using this, or similar, allocation strategy. Will let everyone know how it goes:)
    19 Dec 2013, 10:31 PM Reply Like
Full index of posts »
Latest Followers


  • $amkby wish I bought more. Many ways to win! Oil recovery, global trade recovery, accretive acquisitions. Did not think of spin-offs though.
    Jun 23, 2016
  • Just saw another "guru reading list." Reading is great, but remember the doing. No cash is found between pages of books. Only in executing.
    May 16, 2016
  • Just checked $SWMAY. Denominated in SEK, I nailed the timing: http://seekingalpha.com/a/15xqv In terms of USD? Not as impressive.
    Jan 19, 2016
More »

Latest Comments

Instablogs are Seeking Alpha's free blogging platform customized for finance, with instant set up and exposure to millions of readers interested in the financial markets. Publish your own instablog in minutes.