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Laugh at My "Picks" Now / Later / Both / Neither

I’m posting here a record of my paper trades, with the intention of crowing about them later. (Or eating crow, as the case may be.) The outcome should instruct or amuse readers, depending on whether I’m right or wrong, so it’s a win/win situation for them. I've given myself 1000 "chips" and allocated them across 16 picks, plus cash.

My selections aren’t very non-correlated—the only non-bearish selections are Rambus and the agricultural commodities ETF. I’ve reduced my risk by setting tight stops. I’ve been bearish for a long time and I figure, like a stopped clock, that I’m due to be right—and that therefore THIS is the top--and so there’s not much chance of getting stopped out. (Anyway, with today’s commissions as low as they are, getting whipsawed out and in again isn’t costly.) 

All my initial positions were entered at the closing price on Friday, Nov. 13, 2009. (I put this table together the next day, so it was convenient for me to use those prices.) Whenever I make a new “trade,” I’ll append an update to this post in the form of a comment. After I’ve made several trades, or anyway after about four months, I’ll post a new thread containing an updated table showing accumulated profit/loss, etc.

Symbol
(- means short)
Name
Entry @
Date
(YR-MO-DA)
Stop loss @
Sold @
Chips-bet (of 1000)
Prof-it / Loss %
 
Long Stocks & Commods. (450):
 
 
 
 
 
 
+RMBS
Rambus (memory chip designer)
18.50
09-11-13
15.50
 
200
 
+GDXJ
Junior Gold Miners ETF
25.43
09-11-13
23.00
 
200
 
+RJA
Replication of Jim Rogers Agricultural Index ETN
7.66
09-11-13
6.50
 
50
 
 
Short US Stocks (150):
 
 
 
 
 
 
-GE
General Electric
15.66
09-11-13
17.00
 
30
 
-WFC
Wells Fargo
27.68
09-11-13
30.00
 
30
 
-NILE
Blue Nile (online diamonds)
58.43
09-11-13
60.00
 
30
 
-CRM
Salesforce.com
66.13
09-11-13
70.00
 
30
 
-PSS
Collective Brands
20.26
09-11-13
21.50
 
30
 
 
Short Real Estate (75):
 
 
 
 
 
 
-O
Realty Income Corp.
24.58
09-11-13
25.50
 
25
 
-IYR
Dow Jones Real Estate Index ETF
43.19
09-11-13
45.00
 
25
 
-ITB
DJ Home Construction Index ETF
12.06
09-11-13
13.25
 
25
 
 
Short Emerging Markets (75):
 
 
 
 
 
 
-RWX
DJ International Real Estate ETF
36.57
09-11-13
38.00
 
25
 
-EEM
Emerging Markets ETF
41.04
09-11-13
43.00
 
50
 
 
Short Commodities (75):
 
 
 
 
 
 
-JJC
Copper Sub-Index ETN
41.04
09-11-13
43.00
 
75
 
 
Short Bonds (100):
 
 
 
 
 
 
-MFL
MuniHoldings Fund ETF
12.48
09-11-13
13.50
 
50
 
-JNK
High Yield Bond ETF            
38.05
09-11-13
40.00
 
50
 
 
Cash for “dry powder” and for SPY-hedging with options (75):